Publications

JGCRI PUBLICATIONS

2021 Fiscal Year

Anderson, Carolyn G., Ben Bond-Lamberty, and James C. Stegen. “Active Layer Depth and Soil Properties Impact Specific Leaf Area Variation and Ecosystem Productivity in a Boreal Forest.” Edited by Dafeng Hui. PLOS ONE 15, no. 12 (December 31, 2020): e0232506. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0232506 .

Anderson-Teixeira, Kristina J, Valentine Herrmann, Rebecca Banbury Morgan, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Susan C Cook-Patton, Abigail E Ferson, Helene C Muller-Landau, and Maria M H Wang. “Carbon Cycling in Mature and Regrowth Forests Globally.” Environmental Research Letters 16, no. 5 (May 1, 2021): 053009. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abed01 .

Arbuckle, Evan J., Matthew Binsted, Evan G.R. Davies, Diego V. Chiappori, Candelaria Bergero, Muhammad-Shahid Siddiqui, Christopher Roney, Haewon C. McJeon, Yuyu Zhou, and Nick Macaluso. “Insights for Canadian Electricity Generation Planning from an Integrated Assessment Model: Should We Be More Cautious about Hydropower Cost Overruns?” Energy Policy 150 (March 2021): 112138. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112138 .

Atkins, Jeff W., Elizabeth Agee, Alexandra Barry, Kyla M. Dahlin, Kalyn Dorheim, Maxim S. Grigri, Lisa T. Haber, et al. “The Fortedata R Package: Open-Science Datasets from a Manipulative Experiment Testing Forest Resilience.” Earth System Science Data 13, no. 3 (March 9, 2021): 943–52. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-943-2021 .

Banbury Morgan, Rebecca, Valentine Herrmann, Norbert Kunert, Ben Bond‐Lamberty, Helene C. Muller‐Landau, and Kristina J. Anderson‐Teixeira. “Global Patterns of Forest Autotrophic Carbon Fluxes.” Global Change Biology 27, no. 12 (June 2021): 2840–55. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15574 .

Binsted, Matthew, Gokul Iyer, Ryna Cui, Zarrar Khan, Kalyn Dorheim, and Leon Clarke. “Evaluating Long-Term Model-Based Scenarios of the Energy System.” Energy Strategy Reviews 32 (November 2020): 100551. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2020.100551 .

Bond-Lamberty, Ben. “[Re] Drivers of Evapotranspiration from Boreal Wildfires,” March 18, 2021. https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.4617894 .

Bond-Lamberty, Ben, Danielle S. Christianson, Robert Crystal-Ornelas, Kayla Mathes, and Stephanie C. Pennington. “A Reporting Format for Field Measurements of Soil Respiration.” Ecological Informatics 62 (May 2021): 101280. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2021.101280 .

Bond‐Lamberty, Ben, Danielle S. Christianson, Avni Malhotra, Stephanie C. Pennington, Debjani Sihi, Amir AghaKouchak, Hassan Anjileli, et al. “COSORE: A Community Database for Continuous Soil Respiration and Other Soil‐atmosphere Greenhouse Gas Flux Data.” Global Change Biology 26, no. 12 (December 2020): 7268–83. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15353 .

Burleyson, Casey D., Gokul Iyer, Mohamad Hejazi, Sonny Kim, Page Kyle, Jennie S. Rice, Amanda D. Smith, Z. Todd Taylor, Nathalie Voisin, and Yulong Xie. “Future Western U.S. Building Electricity Consumption in Response to Climate and Population Drivers: A Comparative Study of the Impact of Model Structure.” Energy 208 (October 2020): 118312. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2020.118312 .

Chen, Min, and Ken Caldeira. “Climate Change as an Incentive for Future Human Migration.” Earth System Dynamics 11, no. 4 (October 22, 2020): 875–83. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-875-2020 .

Chen, Min, Chris R. Vernon, Neal T. Graham, Mohamad Hejazi, Maoyi Huang, Yanyan Cheng, and Katherine Calvin. “Global Land Use for 2015–2100 at 0.05° Resolution under Diverse Socioeconomic and Climate Scenarios.” Scientific Data 7, no. 1 (December 2020): 320. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-020-00669-x .

Cheng, Jing, Dan Tong, Yang Liu, Sha Yu, Liu Yan, Bo Zheng, Guannan Geng, Kebin He, and Qiang Zhang. “Comparison of Current and Future PM2.5 Air Quality in China Under CMIP6 and DPEC Emission Scenarios.” Geophysical Research Letters 48, no. 11 (June 16, 2021). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL093197 .

Cohen, S.M., G.C. Iyer, M. Brown, J. Macknick, M. Wise, M. Binsted, N. Voisin, J. Rice, and M. Hejazi. “How Structural Differences Influence Cross-Model Consistency: An Electric Sector Case Study.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 144 (July 2021): 111009. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2021.111009 .

Crystal‐Ornelas, Robert, Charuleka Varadharajan, Ben Bond‐Lamberty, Kristin Boye, Madison Burrus, Shreyas Cholia, Michael Crow, et al. “A Guide to Using GitHub for Developing and Versioning Data Standards and Reporting Formats.” Earth and Space Science 8, no. 8 (August 2021). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EA001797 .

Daioglou, Vassilis, Matteo Muratori, Patrick Lamers, Shinichiro Fujimori, Alban Kitous, Alexandre C. Köberle, Nico Bauer, et al. “Implications of Climate Change Mitigation Strategies on International Bioenergy Trade.” Climatic Change 163, no. 3 (December 2020): 1639–58. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02877-1 .

Dolan, Flannery, Jonathan Lamontagne, Robert Link, Mohamad Hejazi, Patrick Reed, and Jae Edmonds. “Evaluating the Economic Impact of Water Scarcity in a Changing World.” Nature Communications 12, no. 1 (December 2021): 1915. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22194-0 .

Dorheim, Kalyn, Robert Link, Corinne Hartin, Ben Kravitz, and Abigail Snyder. “Calibrating Simple Climate Models to Individual Earth System Models: Lessons Learned From Calibrating Hector.” Earth and Space Science 7, no. 11 (November 2020). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EA000980 .

Dorheim, Kalyn, Steven J. Smith, and Ben Bond-Lamberty. “HIRM v1.0: A Hybrid Impulse Response Model for Climate Modeling and Uncertainty Analyses.” Geoscientific Model Development 14, no. 1 (January 22, 2021): 365–75. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-365-2021 .

Edmonds, James, Christopher Nichols, Misha Adamantiades, John Bistline, Jonathan Huster, Gokul Iyer, Nils Johnson, et al. “Could Congressionally Mandated Incentives Lead to Deployment of Large-Scale CO2 Capture, Facilities for Enhanced Oil Recovery CO2 Markets and Geologic CO2 Storage?” Energy Policy 146 (November 2020): 111775. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111775 .

Evanoff, Jason, Chris Vernon, Stephanie Waldhoff, Abigail Snyder, and Corinne Hartin. “Hectorui: A Web-Based Interactive Scenario Builder and Visualization Application for the Hector Climate Model.” Journal of Open Source Software 5, no. 56 (December 11, 2020): 2782. https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.02782 .

Fragkos, Panagiotis, Heleen Laura van Soest, Roberto Schaeffer, Luke Reedman, Alexandre C. Köberle, Nick Macaluso, Stavroula Evangelopoulou, et al. “Energy System Transitions and Low-Carbon Pathways in Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, EU-28, India, Indonesia, Japan, Republic of Korea, Russia and the United States.” Energy 216 (February 2021): 119385. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2020.119385 .

Fuhrman, Jay, Andres F Clarens, Haewon McJeon, Pralit Patel, Yang Ou, Scott C Doney, William M Shobe, and Shreekar Pradhan. “The Role of Negative Emissions in Meeting China’s 2060 Carbon Neutrality Goal.” Oxford Open Climate Change 1, no. 1 (May 26, 2021): kgab004. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfclm/kgab004 .

Fuhrman, Jay, Haewon McJeon, Pralit Patel, Scott C. Doney, William M. Shobe, and Andres F. Clarens. “Food–Energy–Water Implications of Negative Emissions Technologies in a +1.5 °C Future.” Nature Climate Change 10, no. 10 (October 2020): 920–27. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0876-z .

Graham, Emily B., Colin Averill, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Joseph E. Knelman, Stefan Krause, Ariane L. Peralta, Ashley Shade, et al. “Toward a Generalizable Framework of Disturbance Ecology Through Crowdsourced Science.” Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 9 (March 3, 2021): 588940. https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2021.588940 .

Grassi, Giacomo, Elke Stehfest, Joeri Rogelj, Detlef van Vuuren, Alessandro Cescatti, Jo House, Gert-Jan Nabuurs, et al. “Critical Adjustment of Land Mitigation Pathways for Assessing Countries’ Climate Progress.” Nature Climate Change, April 26, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01033-6 .

Grigri, Maxim S., Jeff W. Atkins, Christoph Vogel, Ben Bond-Lamberty, and Christopher M. Gough. “Aboveground Wood Production Is Sustained in the First Growing Season after Phloem-Disrupting Disturbance.” Forests 11, no. 12 (December 5, 2020): 1306. https://doi.org/10.3390/f11121306 .

Hao, Dalei, Yelu Zeng, Han Qiu, Khelvi Biriukova, Marco Celesti, Mirco Migliavacca, Micol Rossini, Ghassem R. Asrar, and Min Chen. “Practical Approaches for Normalizing Directional Solar-Induced Fluorescence to a Standard Viewing Geometry.” Remote Sensing of Environment 255 (March 2021): 112171. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2020.112171 .

Harmsen, Mathijs, Oliver Fricko, Jérôme Hilaire, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Laurent Drouet, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Shinichiro Fujimori, et al. “Taking Some Heat off the NDCs? The Limited Potential of Additional Short-Lived Climate Forcers’ Mitigation.” Climatic Change 163, no. 3 (December 2020): 1443–61. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02436-3 .

Harmsen, Mathijs, Elmar Kriegler, Detlef P van Vuuren, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Gunnar Luderer, Ryna Cui, Olivier Dessens, et al. “Integrated Assessment Model Diagnostics: Key Indicators and Model Evolution.” Environmental Research Letters 16, no. 5 (May 1, 2021): 054046. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abf964 .

Harmsen, Mathijs, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jean Chateau, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Laurent Drouet, Oliver Fricko, et al. “The Role of Methane in Future Climate Strategies: Mitigation Potentials and Climate Impacts.” Climatic Change 163, no. 3 (December 2020): 1409–25. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02437-2 .

Hughes, Barry B., and Kanishka Narayan. “Enhancing Integrated Analysis of National and Global Goal Pursuit by Endogenizing Economic Productivity.” Edited by Yangyang Xu. PLOS ONE 16, no. 2 (February 25, 2021): e0246797. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0246797 .

Hultman, Nathan E., Leon Clarke, Carla Frisch, Kevin Kennedy, Haewon McJeon, Tom Cyrs, Pete Hansel, et al. “Fusing Subnational with National Climate Action Is Central to Decarbonization: The Case of the United States.” Nature Communications 11, no. 1 (December 2020): 5255. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18903-w .

Hurtt, George C., Louise Chini, Ritvik Sahajpal, Steve Frolking, Benjamin L. Bodirsky, Katherine Calvin, Jonathan C. Doelman, et al. “Harmonization of Global Land Use Change and Management for the Period 850–2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6.” Geoscientific Model Development 13, no. 11 (November 10, 2020): 5425–64. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-5425-2020 .

Jian, Jinshi, Christopher Gough, Debjani Sihi, Anya M. Hopple, and Ben Bond‐Lamberty. “Collar Properties and Measurement Time Confer Minimal Bias Overall on Annual Soil Respiration Estimates in a Global Database.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 125, no. 12 (December 2020). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JG006066 .

Jian, Jinshi, Rodrigo Vargas, Kristina Anderson-Teixeira, Emma Stell, Valentine Herrmann, Mercedes Horn, Nazar Kholod, et al. “A Restructured and Updated Global Soil Respiration Database (SRDB-V5).” Earth System Science Data 13, no. 2 (February 3, 2021): 255–67. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-255-2021 .

Jian, Jinshi, Xuefeng Yuan, Meredith K. Steele, Can Du, and Oluwatosin Ogunmayowa. “Soil Respiration Spatial and Temporal Variability in China between 1961 and 2014.” European Journal of Soil Science 72, no. 2 (March 2021): 739–55. https://doi.org/10.1111/ejss.13061 .

Jones, Chris D., Jonathan E. Hickman, Steven T. Rumbold, Jeremy Walton, Robin D. Lamboll, Ragnhild B. Skeie, Stephanie Fiedler, et al. “The Climate Response to Emissions Reductions Due to COVID‐19: Initial Results From CovidMIP.” Geophysical Research Letters 48, no. 8 (April 28, 2021). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091883 .

Khan, Zarrar, Gokul Iyer, Pralit Patel, Son Kim, Mohamad Hejazi, Casey Burleyson, and Marshall Wise. “Impacts of Long-Term Temperature Change and Variability on Electricity Investments.” Nature Communications 12, no. 1 (December 2021): 1643. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21785-1 .

Khan, Zarrar, Thomas B Wild, Gokul Iyer, Mohamad Hejazi, and Chris R Vernon. “The Future Evolution of Energy-Water-Agriculture Interconnectivity across the US.” Environmental Research Letters 16, no. 6 (June 1, 2021): 065010. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac046c .

Kulkarni, Gourihar, Naruki Hiranuma, Ottmar Möhler, Kristina Höhler, Swarup China, Daniel J. Cziczo, and Paul J. DeMott. “A New Method for Operating a Continuous Flow Diffusion Chamber to Investigate Immersion Freezing: Assessment and Performance Study.” Preprint. Aerosols/Laboratory Measurement/Instruments and Platforms, January 20, 2020. https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-2019-386 .

Kyle, Page, Mohamad Hejazi, Son Kim, Pralit Patel, Neal Graham, and Yaling Liu. “Assessing the Future of Global Energy-for-Water.” Environmental Research Letters 16, no. 2 (February 1, 2021): 024031. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abd8a9 .

Lamb, Rachel L, Lei Ma, Ritvik Sahajpal, Jae Edmonds, Nathan E Hultman, Ralph O Dubayah, Jennifer Kennedy, and George C Hurtt. “Geospatial Assessment of the Economic Opportunity for Reforestation in Maryland, USA.” Environmental Research Letters 16, no. 8 (August 1, 2021): 084012. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac109a .

Mignone, Bryan K., Matthew Binsted, Maxwell Brown, Darek Imadi, Haewon McJeon, Matthew Mowers, Sharon Showalter, Daniel C. Steinberg, and Frances Wood. “Relative Cost-Effectiveness of Electricity and Transportation Policies as a Means to Reduce CO2 Emissions in the United States: A Multi-Model Assessment.” Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy 11, no. 1 (January 1, 2022). https://doi.org/10.5547/2160-5890.11.1.bmig .

Narayan, Kanishka, Chris Vernon, Stephanie Waldhoff, James Edmonds, and Ryna Cui. “Ambrosia: An R Package for Calculating and Analyzing Food Demand That Is Responsive to Changing Incomes and Prices.” Journal of Open Source Software 6, no. 59 (March 30, 2021): 2890. https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.02890 .

Nicholls, Z., M. Meinshausen, J. Lewis, M. Rojas Corradi, K. Dorheim, T. Gasser, R. Gieseke, et al. “Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Synthesizing Earth System Knowledge for Probabilistic Climate Projections.” Earth’s Future 9, no. 6 (June 2021). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001900 .

Nicholls, Zebedee R. J., Malte Meinshausen, Jared Lewis, Robert Gieseke, Dietmar Dommenget, Kalyn Dorheim, Chen-Shuo Fan, et al. “Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 1: Introduction and Evaluation of Global-Mean Temperature Response.” Geoscientific Model Development 13, no. 11 (October 31, 2020): 5175–90. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-5175-2020 .

Norwood, Matthew J., Nicholas D. Ward, Nate G. McDowell, Allison N. Myers‐Pigg, Ben Bond‐Lamberty, Julia Indivero, Stephanie Pennington, et al. “Coastal Forest Seawater Exposure Increases Stem Methane Concentration.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 126, no. 2 (February 2021). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JG005915 .

Patel, Kaizad F., Allison Myers-Pigg, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Sarah J. Fansler, Cooper G. Norris, Sophia A. McKever, Jianqiu Zheng, Kenton A. Rod, and Vanessa L. Bailey. “Soil Carbon Dynamics during Drying vs. Rewetting: Importance of Antecedent Moisture Conditions.” Soil Biology and Biochemistry 156 (May 2021): 108165. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soilbio.2021.108165 .

Peng, Wei, Gokul Iyer, Matthew Binsted, Jennifer Marlon, Leon Clarke, James A. Edmonds, and David G. Victor. “The Surprisingly Inexpensive Cost of State-Driven Emission Control Strategies.” Nature Climate Change, August 23, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01128-0 .

Peng, Wei, Gokul Iyer, Valentina Bosetti, Vaibhav Chaturvedi, James Edmonds, Allen A. Fawcett, Stéphane Hallegatte, David G. Victor, Detlef van Vuuren, and John Weyant. “Climate Policy Models Need to Get Real about People — Here’s How.” Nature 594, no. 7862 (June 10, 2021): 174–76. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-01500-2 .

Pradhan, Shreekar, William M. Shobe, Jay Fuhrman, Haewon McJeon, Matthew Binsted, Scott C. Doney, and Andres F. Clarens. “Effects of Direct Air Capture Technology Availability on Stranded Assets and Committed Emissions in the Power Sector.” Frontiers in Climate 3 (June 3, 2021): 660787. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2021.660787 .

Presser, Cary, Ashot Nazarian, Duli Chand, Joseph M. Conny, Arthur Sedlacek, and John M. Hubbe. “Simultaneous Transmission/Absorption Photometry of Particle-Laden Filters from Wildland Fires during the Biomass Burning Observation Project (BBOP) Field Campaign.” Journal of Aerosol Science 150 (December 2020): 105614. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaerosci.2020.105614 .

Roelfsema, Mark, Heleen L. van Soest, Mathijs Harmsen, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Christoph Bertram, Michel den Elzen, Niklas Höhne, et al. “Taking Stock of National Climate Policies to Evaluate Implementation of the Paris Agreement.” Nature Communications 11, no. 1 (December 2020): 2096. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15414-6 .

Sampedro, Jon. “Accounting for Access and Inequality.” Nature Energy 6, no. 8 (August 2021): 773–74. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-021-00872-z .

Santos da Silva, Silvia R., Mohamad I. Hejazi, Gokul Iyer, Thomas B. Wild, Matthew Binsted, Fernando Miralles-Wilhelm, Pralit Patel, Abigail C. Snyder, and Chris R. Vernon. “Power Sector Investment Implications of Climate Impacts on Renewable Resources in Latin America and the Caribbean.” Nature Communications 12, no. 1 (December 2021): 1276. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21502-y .

Schaeffer, R., A. Köberle, H. L. van Soest, C. Bertram, G. Luderer, K. Riahi, V. Krey, et al. “Comparing Transformation Pathways across Major Economies.” Climatic Change 162, no. 4 (October 2020): 1787–1803. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02837-9 .

Sengupta, Aditi, James C. Stegen, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Albert Rivas-Ubach, Jianqiu Zheng, Pubudu P. Handakumbura, Cooper Norris, et al. “Antecedent Conditions Determine the Biogeochemical Response of Coastal Soils to Seawater Exposure.” Soil Biology and Biochemistry 153 (February 2021): 108104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soilbio.2020.108104 .

Shiklomanov, Alexey N., Ben Bond‐Lamberty, Jeff W. Atkins, and Christopher M. Gough. “Structure and Parameter Uncertainty in Centennial Projections of Forest Community Structure and Carbon Cycling.” Global Change Biology 26, no. 11 (November 2020): 6080–96. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15164 .

Shinozuka, Yohei, Pablo E. Saide, Gonzalo A. Ferrada, Sharon P. Burton, Richard Ferrare, Sarah J. Doherty, Hamish Gordon, et al. “Modeling the Smoky Troposphere of the Southeast Atlantic: A Comparison to ORACLES Airborne Observations from September of 2016.” Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 20, no. 19 (October 7, 2020): 11491–526. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-11491-2020 .

Smith, Steven J. “Cleaning Cars, Grid and Air.” Nature Energy 6, no. 1 (January 2021): 19–20. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-00769-3 .

Smith, Steven J., Zbigniew Klimont, Laurent Drouet, Mathijs Harmsen, Gunnar Luderer, Keywan Riahi, Detlef P. van Vuuren, and John P. Weyant. “The Energy Modeling Forum (EMF)-30 Study on Short-Lived Climate Forcers: Introduction and Overview.” Climatic Change 163, no. 3 (December 2020): 1399–1408. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02938-5 .

Stell, Emma, Daniel Warner, Jinshi Jian, Ben Bond‐Lamberty, and Rodrigo Vargas. “Spatial Biases of Information Influence Global Estimates of Soil Respiration: How Can We Improve Global Predictions?” Global Change Biology 27, no. 16 (August 2021): 3923–38. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15666 .

Tebaldi, Claudia, Kevin Debeire, Veronika Eyring, Erich Fischer, John Fyfe, Pierre Friedlingstein, Reto Knutti, et al. “Climate Model Projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6.” Earth System Dynamics 12, no. 1 (March 1, 2021): 253–93. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-253-2021 .

Waldhoff, Stephanie T, Ian Sue Wing, James Edmonds, Guoyong Leng, and Xuesong Zhang. “Future Climate Impacts on Global Agricultural Yields over the 21st Century.” Environmental Research Letters 15, no. 11 (October 21, 2020): 114010. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abadcb .

Wang, Jingyu, Jiwen Fan, Robert A. Houze Jr., Stella R. Brodzik, Kai Zhang, Guang J. Zhang, and Po-Lun Ma. “Using Radar Observations to Evaluate 3-D Radar Echo Structure Simulated by the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Version 1.” Geoscientific Model Development 14, no. 2 (February 3, 2021): 719–34. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-719-2021 .

Wang, Qianfeng, Junyu Qi, Jia Li, Jefferson Cole, Stephanie T. Waldhoff, and Xuesong Zhang. “Nitrate Loading Projection Is Sensitive to Freeze-Thaw Cycle Representation.” Water Research 186 (November 2020): 116355. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2020.116355 .

Wang, Wenzhi, Nate G. McDowell, Stephanie Pennington, Charlotte Grossiord, Riley T Leff, Aditi Sengupta, Nicholas D. Ward, et al. “Tree Growth, Transpiration, and Water-Use Efficiency between Shoreline and Upland Red Maple (Acer Rubrum) Trees in a Coastal Forest.” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 295 (December 2020): 108163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108163 .

Wilbanks, Thomas J., Rae Zimmerman, Susan Julius, Paul Kirshen, Joel B. Smith, Richard Moss, William Solecki, et al. “Toward Indicators of the Performance of US Infrastructures under Climate Change Risks.” Climatic Change 163, no. 4 (December 2020): 1795–1813. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02942-9 .

Wild, Thomas B., Zarrar Khan, Leon Clarke, Mohamad Hejazi, Julia Lacal Bereslawski, Micaela Suriano, Paula Roberts, et al. “Integrated Energy-Water-Land Nexus Planning in the Colorado River Basin (Argentina).” Regional Environmental Change 21, no. 3 (September 2021): 62. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-021-01775-1 .

Wild, Thomas B., Zarrar Khan, Mengqi Zhao, Micaela Suriano, Julia L. Bereslawski, Paula Roberts, Jose Casado, et al. “The Implications of Global Change for the Co‐Evolution of Argentina’s Integrated Energy‐Water‐Land Systems.” Earth’s Future 9, no. 8 (August 2021). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001970 .

Wu, Shengbiao, Yelu Zeng, Dalei Hao, Qinhuo Liu, Jing Li, Xiuzhi Chen, Ghassem R. Asrar, et al. “Quantifying Leaf Optical Properties with Spectral Invariants Theory.” Remote Sensing of Environment 253 (February 2021): 112131. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2020.112131 .

Xing, Jia, Xi Lu, Shuxiao Wang, Tong Wang, Dian Ding, Sha Yu, Drew Shindell, et al. “The Quest for Improved Air Quality May Push China to Continue Its CO 2 Reduction beyond the Paris Commitment.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 117, no. 47 (November 24, 2020): 29535–42. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2013297117 .

Yalew, Seleshi G., Michelle T. H. van Vliet, David E. H. J. Gernaat, Fulco Ludwig, Ariel Miara, Chan Park, Edward Byers, et al. “Impacts of Climate Change on Energy Systems in Global and Regional Scenarios.” Nature Energy 5, no. 10 (October 2020): 794–802. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z .

Yao, Yitong, Philippe Ciais, Nicolas Viovy, Wei Li, Fabio Cresto‐Aleina, Hui Yang, Emilie Joetzjer, and Ben Bond‐Lamberty. “A Data‐Driven Global Soil Heterotrophic Respiration Dataset and the Drivers of Its Inter‐Annual Variability.” Global Biogeochemical Cycles 35, no. 8 (August 2021). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GB006918 .

Zhang, Yang, Steve J Smith, Michelle Bell, Amy Mueller, Matthew Eckelman, Sara Wylie, Elizabeth L Sweet, Ping Chen, and Deb A Niemeier. “Pollution Inequality 50 Years after the Clean Air Act: The Need for Hyperlocal Data and Action.” Environmental Research Letters 16, no. 7 (July 1, 2021): 071001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac09b1 .

Zhao, Xin, Farzad Taheripour, Robert Malina, Mark D. Staples, and Wallace E. Tyner. “Estimating Induced Land Use Change Emissions for Sustainable Aviation Biofuel Pathways.” Science of The Total Environment 779 (July 2021): 146238. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146238 .

Zommers, Zinta, Philippe Marbaix, Andreas Fischlin, Zelina Z. Ibrahim, Sean Grant, Alexandre K. Magnan, Hans-Otto Pörtner, et al. “Burning Embers: Towards More Transparent and Robust Climate-Change Risk Assessments.” Nature Reviews Earth & Environment 1, no. 10 (October 2020): 516–29. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-020-0088-0 .

 

2020 Fiscal Year

Binsted, Matthew, Gokul Iyer, James Edmonds, Adrien Vogt-Schilb, Ricardo Arguello, Angela Cadena, Ricardo Delgado, et al. “Stranded Asset Implications of the Paris Agreement in Latin America and the Caribbean.” Environmental Research Letters 15, no. 4 (April 7, 2020): 044026. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab506d .

Bond‐Lamberty, Ben, Stephanie C. Pennington, Jinshi Jian, J. Patrick Megonigal, Aditi Sengupta, and Nicholas Ward. “Soil Respiration Variability and Correlation Across a Wide Range of Temporal Scales.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 124, no. 11 (November 2019): 3672–83. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JG005265 .

Burrows, S. M., M. Maltrud, X. Yang, Q. Zhu, N. Jeffery, X. Shi, D. Ricciuto, et al. “The DOE E3SM v1.1 Biogeochemistry Configuration: Description and Simulated Ecosystem‐Climate Responses to Historical Changes in Forcing.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 12, no. 9 (September 2020). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001766 .

Calvin, Katherine, Robert Link, and Marshall Wise. “Gcamland v1.0 – An R Package for Modelling Land Use and Land Cover Change.” Journal of Open Research Software 7 (October 22, 2019): 31. https://doi.org/10.5334/jors.233 .

Calvin, Katherine, Bryan K. Mignone, Haroon S. Kheshgi, Abigail C. Snyder, Pralit Patel, Marshall Wise, Leon E. Clarke, and Jae Edmonds. “GLOBAL MARKET AND ECONOMIC WELFARE IMPLICATIONS OF CHANGES IN AGRICULTURAL YIELDS DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE.” Climate Change Economics 11, no. 01 (February 2020): 2050005. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007820500050 .

Chaturvedi, Vaibhav, Poonam Nagar Koti, Rudresh Sugam, Kangkanika Neog, and Mohamad Hejazi. “Cooperation or Rivalry? Impact of Alternative Development Pathways on India’s Long-Term Electricity Generation and Associated Water Demands.” Energy 192 (February 2020): 116708. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.116708 .

Cheng, Yanyan, Maoyi Huang, Min Chen, Kaiyu Guan, Carl Bernacchi, Bin Peng, and Zeli Tan. “Parameterizing Perennial Bioenergy Crops in Version 5 of the Community Land Model Based on Site‐Level Observations in the Central Midwestern United States.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 12, no. 1 (January 2020). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001719 .

Cui, Ryna Yiyun, Nathan Hultman, Morgan R. Edwards, Linlang He, Arijit Sen, Kavita Surana, Haewon McJeon, et al. “Quantifying Operational Lifetimes for Coal Power Plants under the Paris Goals.” Nature Communications 10, no. 1 (December 2019): 4759. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-12618-3 .

Di Vittorio, A.V., X. Shi, B. Bond‐Lamberty, K. Calvin, and A. Jones. “Initial Land Use/Cover Distribution Substantially Affects Global Carbon and Local Temperature Projections in the Integrated Earth System Model.” Global Biogeochemical Cycles 34, no. 5 (May 2020). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GB006383 .

Edelenbosch, O.Y., D.P. van Vuuren, K. Blok, K. Calvin, and S. Fujimori. “Mitigating Energy Demand Sector Emissions: The Integrated Modelling Perspective.” Applied Energy 261 (March 2020): 114347. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.114347 .

Fang, Yilin, Xingyuan Chen, Jesus Gomez Velez, Xuesong Zhang, Zhuoran Duan, Glenn E. Hammond, Amy E. Goldman, Vanessa A. Garayburu-Caruso, and Emily B. Graham. “A Multirate Mass Transfer Model to Represent the Interaction of Multicomponent Biogeochemical Processes between Surface Water and Hyporheic Zones (SWAT-MRMT-R 1.0).” Geoscientific Model Development 13, no. 8 (August 7, 2020): 3553–69. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-3553-2020 .

Feijoo, Felipe, Gokul Iyer, Matthew Binsted, and James Edmonds. “US Energy System Transitions under Cumulative Emissions Budgets.” Climatic Change 162, no. 4 (October 2020): 1947–63. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02670-0 .

Feng, Leyang, Steven J. Smith, Caleb Braun, Monica Crippa, Matthew J. Gidden, Rachel Hoesly, Zbigniew Klimont, Margreet van Marle, Maarten van den Berg, and Guido R. van der Werf. “The Generation of Gridded Emissions Data for CMIP6.” Geoscientific Model Development 13, no. 2 (February 6, 2020): 461–82. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-461-2020 .

Franke, James A., Christoph Müller, Joshua Elliott, Alex C. Ruane, Jonas Jägermeyr, Abigail Snyder, Marie Dury, et al. “The GGCMI Phase 2 Emulators: Global Gridded Crop Model Responses to Changes in CO<Sub>2</Sub>, Temperature, Water, and Nitrogen (Version 1.0).” Geoscientific Model Development 13, no. 9 (September 3, 2020): 3995–4018. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-3995-2020 .

Fuhrman, Jay, Haewon McJeon, Scott C. Doney, William Shobe, and Andres F. Clarens. “From Zero to Hero?: Why Integrated Assessment Modeling of Negative Emissions Technologies Is Hard and How We Can Do Better.” Frontiers in Climate 1 (December 4, 2019): 11. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2019.00011 .

Hao, Dalei, Ghassem R. Asrar, Yelu Zeng, Qing Zhu, Jianguang Wen, Qing Xiao, and Min Chen. “Estimating Hourly Land Surface Downward Shortwave and Photosynthetically Active Radiation from DSCOVR/EPIC Observations.” Remote Sensing of Environment 232 (October 2019): 111320. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2019.111320 .

Hilaire, Jérôme, Jan C. Minx, Max W. Callaghan, Jae Edmonds, Gunnar Luderer, Gregory F. Nemet, Joeri Rogelj, and Maria del Mar Zamora. “Negative Emissions and International Climate Goals—Learning from and about Mitigation Scenarios.” Climatic Change 157, no. 2 (November 2019): 189–219. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02516-4 .

Iyer, G.C., M. Brown, S.M. Cohen, J. Macknick, P. Patel, M. Wise, M. Binsted, and N. Voisin. “Improving Consistency among Models of Overlapping Scope in Multi-Sector Studies: The Case of Electricity Capacity Expansion Scenarios.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 116 (December 2019): 109416. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2019.109416 .

Iyer, Gokul. “A Decent Life.” Nature Energy 4, no. 12 (December 2019): 1010–11. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-019-0496-x .

Jian, Jinshi, Michael Bahn, Chuankuan Wang, Vanessa L. Bailey, and Ben Bond-Lamberty. “Prediction of Annual Soil Respiration from Its Flux at Mean Annual Temperature.” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 287 (June 2020): 107961. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.107961 .

Jian, Jinshi, Xuan Du, Mark S. Reiter, and Ryan D. Stewart. “A Meta-Analysis of Global Cropland Soil Carbon Changes Due to Cover Cropping.” Soil Biology and Biochemistry 143 (April 2020): 107735. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soilbio.2020.107735 .

Jian, Jinshi, Xuan Du, and Ryan D. Stewart. “A Database for Global Soil Health Assessment.” Scientific Data 7, no. 1 (December 2020): 16. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-020-0356-3 .

Jian, Jinshi, Brandon J. Lester, Xuan Du, Mark S. Reiter, and Ryan D. Stewart. “A Calculator to Quantify Cover Crop Effects on Soil Health and Productivity.” Soil and Tillage Research 199 (May 2020): 104575. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.still.2020.104575 .

Khan, Zarrar, Thomas B Wild, Maria Eugenia Silva Carrazzone, Rossana Gaudioso, María Pía Mascari, Fabiana Bianchi, Federico Weinstein, et al. “Integrated Energy-Water-Land Nexus Planning to Guide National Policy: An Example from Uruguay.” Environmental Research Letters 15, no. 9 (August 24, 2020): 094014. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab9389 .

Khan, Zarrar, Thomas Wild, Chris Vernon, Andy Miller, Mohamad Hejazi, Leon Clarke, Fernando Miralles-Wilhelm, et al. “Metis – A Tool to Harmonize and Analyze Multi-Sectoral Data and Linkages at Variable Spatial Scales.” Journal of Open Research Software 8 (March 30, 2020): 10. https://doi.org/10.5334/jors.292 .

Kholod, Nazar, Meredydd Evans, Raymond C. Pilcher, Volha Roshchanka, Felicia Ruiz, Michael Coté, and Ron Collings. “Global Methane Emissions from Coal Mining to Continue Growing Even with Declining Coal Production.” Journal of Cleaner Production 256 (May 2020): 120489. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.120489 .

Lee, Eun Kyung, Wang-Jian Zhang, Xuesong Zhang, Paul R. Adler, Shao Lin, Beth J. Feingold, Haider A. Khwaja, and Xiaobo X. Romeiko. “Projecting Life-Cycle Environmental Impacts of Corn Production in the U.S. Midwest under Future Climate Scenarios Using a Machine Learning Approach.” Science of The Total Environment 714 (April 2020): 136697. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.136697 .

Link, Robert, Thomas B. Wild, Abigail C. Snyder, Mohamad I. Hejazi, and Chris R. Vernon. “100 Years of Data Is Not Enough to Establish Reliable Drought Thresholds.” Journal of Hydrology X 7 (April 2020): 100052. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hydroa.2020.100052 .

Lou, Sijia, Yang Yang, Hailong Wang, Jian Lu, Steven J. Smith, Fukai Liu, and Philip J. Rasch. “Black Carbon Increases Frequency of Extreme ENSO Events.” Journal of Climate 32, no. 23 (December 1, 2019): 8323–33. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0549.1 .

Luderer, Gunnar, Michaja Pehl, Anders Arvesen, Thomas Gibon, Benjamin L. Bodirsky, Harmen Sytze de Boer, Oliver Fricko, et al. “Environmental Co-Benefits and Adverse Side-Effects of Alternative Power Sector Decarbonization Strategies.” Nature Communications 10, no. 1 (December 2019): 5229. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-13067-8 .

McDowell, Nate G., Craig D. Allen, Kristina Anderson-Teixeira, Brian H. Aukema, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Louise Chini, James S. Clark, et al. “Pervasive Shifts in Forest Dynamics in a Changing World.” Science 368, no. 6494 (May 29, 2020): eaaz9463. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaz9463 .

McElwee, Pamela, Katherine Calvin, Donovan Campbell, Francesco Cherubini, Giacomo Grassi, Vladimir Korotkov, Anh Le Hoang, et al. “The Impact of Interventions in the Global Land and Agri‐food Sectors on Nature’s Contributions to People and the UN Sustainable Development Goals.” Global Change Biology 26, no. 9 (September 2020): 4691–4721. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15219 .

Meng, Xianyong, Xuesong Zhang, Mingxiang Yang, Hao Wang, Ji Chen, Zhihua Pan, and Yiping Wu. “Application and Evaluation of the China Meteorological Assimilation Driving Datasets for the SWAT Model (CMADS) in Poorly Gauged Regions in Western China.” Water 11, no. 10 (October 18, 2019): 2171. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11102171 .

Ou, Yang, Steven J Smith, J Jason West, Christopher G Nolte, and Daniel H Loughlin. “State-Level Drivers of Future Fine Particulate Matter Mortality in the United States.” Environmental Research Letters 14, no. 12 (December 18, 2019): 124071. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab59cb .

Ou, Yang, J. Jason West, Steven J. Smith, Christopher G. Nolte, and Daniel H. Loughlin. “Air Pollution Control Strategies Directly Limiting National Health Damages in the US.” Nature Communications 11, no. 1 (December 2020): 957. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-14783-2 .

Palviainen, M., A. Laurén, J. Pumpanen, Y. Bergeron, B. Bond‐Lamberty, M. Larjavaara, D. M. Kashian, et al. “Decadal‐Scale Recovery of Carbon Stocks After Wildfires Throughout the Boreal Forests.” Global Biogeochemical Cycles 34, no. 8 (August 2020). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GB006612 .

Pennington, Stephanie C., Nate G. McDowell, J. Patrick Megonigal, James C. Stegen, and Ben Bond-Lamberty. “Localized Basal Area Affects Soil Respiration Temperature Sensitivity in a Coastal Deciduous Forest.” Biogeosciences 17, no. 3 (February 14, 2020): 771–80. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-771-2020 .

Qi, Junyu, Xinzhong Du, Xuesong Zhang, Sangchul Lee, Yiping Wu, Jia Deng, Glenn E. Moglen, Ali M. Sadeghi, and Gregory W. McCarty. “Modeling Riverine Dissolved and Particulate Organic Carbon Fluxes from Two Small Watersheds in the Northeastern United States.” Environmental Modelling & Software 124 (February 2020): 104601. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.104601 .

Qi, Junyu, Sangchul Lee, Xuesong Zhang, Qichun Yang, Gregory W. McCarty, and Glenn E. Moglen. “Effects of Surface Runoff and Infiltration Partition Methods on Hydrological Modeling: A Comparison of Four Schemes in Two Watersheds in the Northeastern US.” Journal of Hydrology 581 (February 2020): 124415. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124415 .

Qi, Junyu, Xuesong Zhang, Qichuan Yang, R. Srinivasan, Jeffrey G. Arnold, Jia Li, Stephanie T. Waldholf, and Jefferson Cole. “SWAT Ungauged: Water Quality Modeling in the Upper Mississippi River Basin.” Journal of Hydrology 584 (May 2020): 124601. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124601 .

Romeiko, Xiaobo Xue, Eun Kyung Lee, Yetunde Sorunmu, and Xuesong Zhang. “Spatially and Temporally Explicit Life Cycle Environmental Impacts of Soybean Production in the U.S. Midwest.” Environmental Science & Technology 54, no. 8 (April 21, 2020): 4758–68. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.9b06874 .

Saunois, Marielle, Ann R. Stavert, Ben Poulter, Philippe Bousquet, Josep G. Canadell, Robert B. Jackson, Peter A. Raymond, et al. “The Global Methane Budget 2000–2017.” Earth System Science Data 12, no. 3 (July 15, 2020): 1561–1623. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-1561-2020 .

Schwarber, Adria K., Steven J. Smith, Corinne A. Hartin, Benjamin Aaron Vega-Westhoff, and Ryan Sriver. “Evaluating Climate Emulation: Fundamental Impulse Testing of Simple Climate Models.” Earth System Dynamics 10, no. 4 (November 13, 2019): 729–39. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-729-2019 .

Scientific Data Curation Team. “Metadata Record for: A Database for Global Soil Health Assessment.” figshare, 2020. https://doi.org/10.6084/M9.FIGSHARE.10748210 .

Shiklomanov, Alexey N., Elizabeth M. Cowdery, Michael Bahn, Chaeho Byun, Steven Jansen, Koen Kramer, Vanessa Minden, et al. “Does the Leaf Economic Spectrum Hold within Plant Functional Types? A Bayesian Multivariate Trait Meta‐analysis.” Ecological Applications 30, no. 3 (April 2020). https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2064 .

Smith, Pete, Justin Adams, David J. Beerling, Tim Beringer, Katherine V. Calvin, Sabine Fuss, Bronson Griscom, et al. “Land-Management Options for Greenhouse Gas Removal and Their Impacts on Ecosystem Services and the Sustainable Development Goals.” Annual Review of Environment and Resources 44, no. 1 (October 17, 2019): 255–86. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-101718-033129 .

Smith, Pete, Katherine Calvin, Johnson Nkem, Donovan Campbell, Francesco Cherubini, Giacomo Grassi, Vladimir Korotkov, et al. “Which Practices Co‐deliver Food Security, Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation, and Combat Land Degradation and Desertification?” Global Change Biology 26, no. 3 (March 2020): 1532–75. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14878 .

Smith, Steven J, Jean Chateau, Kalyn Dorheim, Laurent Drouet, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, et al. “Impact of Methane and Black Carbon Mitigation on Forcing and Temperature: A Multi-Model Scenario Analysis.” Climatic Change, September 17, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02794-3 .

Snyder, Abigail, Katherine Calvin, Leon Clarke, James Edmonds, Page Kyle, Kanishka Narayan, Alan Di Vittorio, Stephanie Waldhoff, Marshall Wise, and Pralit Patel. “The Domestic and International Implications of Future Climate for U.S. Agriculture in GCAM.” Edited by Alejandro Raul Hernandez Montoya. PLOS ONE 15, no. 8 (August 28, 2020): e0237918. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0237918 .

Snyder, Abigail, Robert Link, Kalyn Dorheim, Ben Kravitz, Ben Bond-Lamberty, and Corinne Hartin. “Joint Emulation of Earth System Model Temperature-Precipitation Realizations with Internal Variability and Space-Time and Cross-Variable Correlation: Fldgen v2.0 Software Description.” Edited by Yangyang Xu. PLOS ONE 14, no. 10 (October 4, 2019): e0223542. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0223542 .

Tebaldi, C, A Armbruster, H P Engler, and R Link. “Emulating Climate Extreme Indices.” Environmental Research Letters 15, no. 7 (June 23, 2020): 074006. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8332 .

Tong, Dan, Jing Cheng, Yang Liu, Sha Yu, Liu Yan, Chaopeng Hong, Yu Qin, et al. “Dynamic Projection of Anthropogenic Emissions in China: Methodology and 2015–2050 Emission Pathways under a Range of Socio-Economic, Climate Policy, and Pollution Control Scenarios.” Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 20, no. 9 (May 14, 2020): 5729–57. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-5729-2020 .

Turnock, S T, S Smith, and F M O’Connor. “The Impact of Climate Mitigation Measures on near Term Climate Forcers.” Environmental Research Letters 14, no. 10 (October 15, 2019): 104013. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab4222 .

Ward, Nicholas D., J. Patrick Megonigal, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Vanessa L. Bailey, David Butman, Elizabeth A. Canuel, Heida Diefenderfer, et al. “Representing the Function and Sensitivity of Coastal Interfaces in Earth System Models.” Nature Communications 11, no. 1 (December 2020): 2458. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16236-2 .

Warner, D. L., B. Bond‐Lamberty, J. Jian, E. Stell, and R. Vargas. “Spatial Predictions and Associated Uncertainty of Annual Soil Respiration at the Global Scale.” Global Biogeochemical Cycles 33, no. 12 (December 2019): 1733–45. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GB006264 .

Weber, Theodore, Austin Corotan, Brian Hutchinson, Ben Kravitz, and Robert Link. “Technical Note: Deep Learning for Creating Surrogate Models of Precipitation in Earth System Models.” Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 20, no. 4 (February 26, 2020): 2303–17. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-2303-2020 .

Wise, Marshall, Pralit Patel, Zarrar Khan, Son H. Kim, Mohamad Hejazi, and Gokul Iyer. “Representing Power Sector Detail and Flexibility in a Multi-Sector Model.” Energy Strategy Reviews 26 (November 2019): 100411. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2019.100411 .

Yalew, Seleshi G., Michelle T. H. van Vliet, David E. H. J. Gernaat, Fulco Ludwig, Ariel Miara, Chan Park, Edward Byers, et al. “Impacts of Climate Change on Energy Systems in Global and Regional Scenarios.” Nature Energy 5, no. 10 (October 2020): 794–802. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z .

Yigzaw, Wondmagegn, Hong‐Yi Li, Xing Fang, L. Ruby Leung, Nathalie Voisin, Mohamad I. Hejazi, and Yonas Demissie. “A Multilayer Reservoir Thermal Stratification Module for Earth System Models.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 11, no. 10 (October 2019): 3265–83. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001632 .

Yu, Hongbin, Yang Yang, Hailong Wang, Qian Tan, Mian Chin, Robert C. Levy, Lorraine A. Remer, Steven J. Smith, Tianle Yuan, and Yingxi Shi. “Interannual Variability and Trends of Combustion Aerosol and Dust in Major Continental Outflows Revealed by MODIS Retrievals and CAM5 Simulations during 2003–2017.” Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 20, no. 1 (January 3, 2020): 139–61. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-139-2020 .

Yu, Sha, Brinda Yarlagadda, Jonas Elliott Siegel, Sheng Zhou, and Sonny Kim. “The Role of Nuclear in China’s Energy Future: Insights from Integrated Assessment.” Energy Policy 139 (April 2020): 111344. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111344 .

Zeist, Willem-Jan van, Elke Stehfest, Jonathan C. Doelman, Hugo Valin, Katherine Calvin, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, et al. “Are Scenario Projections Overly Optimistic about Future Yield Progress?” Global Environmental Change 64 (September 2020): 102120. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102120 .

Zeng, Yelu, Grayson Badgley, Benjamin Dechant, Youngryel Ryu, Min Chen, and J.A. Berry. “A Practical Approach for Estimating the Escape Ratio of Near-Infrared Solar-Induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence.” Remote Sensing of Environment 232 (October 2019): 111209. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2019.05.028 .

Zeng, Yelu, Jing Li, Qinhuo Liu, Alfredo R. Huete, Baodong Xu, Gaofei Yin, Weiliang Fan, et al. “A Radiative Transfer Model for Patchy Landscapes Based on Stochastic Radiative Transfer Theory.” IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing 58, no. 4 (April 2020): 2571–89. https://doi.org/10.1109/TGRS.2019.2952377 .

Zhang, Xiao, Hong‐Yi Li, L. Ruby Leung, Lu Liu, Mohamad I. Hejazi, Barton A. Forman, and Wondmagegn Yigzaw. “River Regulation Alleviates the Impacts of Climate Change on U.S. Thermoelectricity Production.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 125, no. 4 (February 27, 2020). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031618 .

Zhao, Fubo, Yiping Wu, Yingying Yao, Ke Sun, Xuesong Zhang, Leigh Winowiecki, Tor-G. Vågen, et al. “Predicting the Climate Change Impacts on Water-Carbon Coupling Cycles for a Loess Hilly-Gully Watershed.” Journal of Hydrology 581 (February 2020): 124388. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124388 .

Zhao, Xin, Katherine V. Calvin, and Marshall A. Wise. “THE CRITICAL ROLE OF CONVERSION COST AND COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE IN MODELING AGRICULTURAL LAND USE CHANGE.” Climate Change Economics 11, no. 01 (February 2020): 2050004. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007820500049 .

Zhao, Xin, Dominique Y. van der Mensbrugghe, Roman M. Keeney, and Wallace E. Tyner. “Improving the Way Land Use Change Is Handled in Economic Models.” Economic Modelling 84 (January 2020): 13–26. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2019.03.003 .

Zhu, Bowen, Maoyi Huang, Yanyan Cheng, Xianhong Xie, Ying Liu, Xuesong Zhang, Gautam Bisht, Xingyuan Chen, Justine Missik, and Heping Liu. “Effects of Irrigation on Water, Carbon, and Nitrogen Budgets in a Semiarid Watershed in the Pacific Northwest: A Modeling Study.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 12, no. 9 (September 2020). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001953 .

2019 Fiscal Year

Arango-Aramburo, Santiago, Sean W.D. Turner, Kathryn Daenzer, Juan Pablo Ríos-Ocampo, Mohamad I. Hejazi, Tom Kober, Andrés C. Álvarez-Espinosa, Germán D. Romero-Otalora, and Bob van der Zwaan. “Climate Impacts on Hydropower in Colombia: A Multi-Model Assessment of Power Sector Adaptation Pathways.” Energy Policy 128 (May 2019): 179–88. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.12.057 .

Binsted, Matthew, Gokul Iyer, James Edmonds, Adrien Vogt-Schilb, Ricardo Arguello, Angela Cadena, Ricardo Delgado, et al. “Stranded Asset Implications of the Paris Agreement in Latin America and the Caribbean.” Environmental Research Letters 15, no. 4 (April 7, 2020): 044026. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab506d .

Bjorkman, Anne D., Isla H. Myers-Smith, Sarah C. Elmendorf, Signe Normand, Nadja Rüger, Pieter S. A. Beck, Anne Blach-Overgaard, et al. “Plant Functional Trait Change across a Warming Tundra Biome.” Nature 562, no. 7725 (October 2018): 57–62. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0563-7 .

Bond-Lamberty, Ben, Kalyn Dorheim, Ryna Cui, Russell Horowitz, Abigail Snyder, Katherine Calvin, Leyang Feng, et al. “Gcamdata: An R Package for Preparation, Synthesis, and Tracking of Input Data for the GCAM Integrated Human-Earth Systems Model.” Journal of Open Research Software 7 (March 14, 2019): 6. https://doi.org/10.5334/jors.232 .

Calvin, Katherine, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Andrew Jones, Xiaoying Shi, Alan Di Vittorio, and Peter Thornton. “Characteristics of Human-Climate Feedbacks Differ at Different Radiative Forcing Levels.” Global and Planetary Change 180 (September 2019): 126–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.06.003 .

Calvin, Katherine, Bryan K. Mignone, Haroon S. Kheshgi, Abigail C. Snyder, Pralit Patel, Marshall Wise, Leon E. Clarke, and Jae Edmonds. “GLOBAL MARKET AND ECONOMIC WELFARE IMPLICATIONS OF CHANGES IN AGRICULTURAL YIELDS DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE.” Climate Change Economics 11, no. 01 (February 2020): 2050005. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007820500050 .

Calvin, Katherine, Pralit Patel, Leon Clarke, Ghassem Asrar, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Ryna Yiyun Cui, Alan Di Vittorio, et al. “GCAM v5.1: Representing the Linkages between Energy, Water, Land, Climate, and Economic Systems.” Geoscientific Model Development 12, no. 2 (February 15, 2019): 677–98. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-677-2019 .

Čapek, Petr, Robert Starke, Kirsten S. Hofmockel, Ben Bond-Lamberty, and Nancy Hess. “Apparent Temperature Sensitivity of Soil Respiration Can Result from Temperature Driven Changes in Microbial Biomass.” Soil Biology and Biochemistry 135 (August 2019): 286–93. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soilbio.2019.05.016 .

Chen, Min, Chris R. Vernon, Maoyi Huang, Katherine V. Calvin, and Ian P. Kraucunas. “Calibration and Analysis of the Uncertainty in Downscaling Global Land Use and Land Cover Projections from GCAM Using Demeter (v1.0.0).” Geoscientific Model Development 12, no. 5 (May 3, 2019): 1753–64. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-1753-2019 .

Collalti, Alessio, Carlo Trotta, Trevor F. Keenan, Andreas Ibrom, Ben Bond‐Lamberty, Ruediger Grote, Sara Vicca, et al. “Thinning Can Reduce Losses in Carbon Use Efficiency and Carbon Stocks in Managed Forests Under Warmer Climate.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 10, no. 10 (October 2018): 2427–52. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018MS001275 .

Du, Xinzhong, Xuesong Zhang, Rajith Mukundan, Linh Hoang, and Emmet M. Owens. “Integrating Terrestrial and Aquatic Processes toward Watershed Scale Modeling of Dissolved Organic Carbon Fluxes.” Environmental Pollution 249 (June 2019): 125–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2019.03.014 .

Feijoo, Felipe, Gokul C. Iyer, Charalampos Avraam, Sauleh A. Siddiqui, Leon E. Clarke, Sriram Sankaranarayanan, Matthew T. Binsted, et al. “The Future of Natural Gas Infrastructure Development in the United States.” Applied Energy 228 (October 2018): 149–66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.06.037 .

Feijoo, Felipe, Bryan K Mignone, Haroon S Kheshgi, Corinne Hartin, Haewon McJeon, and Jae Edmonds. “Climate and Carbon Budget Implications of Linked Future Changes in CO 2 and Non-CO 2 Forcing.” Environmental Research Letters 14, no. 4 (March 29, 2019): 044007. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab08a9 .

Fiedler, Stephanie, Bjorn Stevens, Matthew Gidden, Steven J. Smith, Keywan Riahi, and Detlef van Vuuren. “First Forcing Estimates from the Future CMIP6 Scenarios of Anthropogenic Aerosol Optical Properties and an Associated Twomey Effect.” Geoscientific Model Development 12, no. 3 (March 21, 2019): 989–1007. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-989-2019 .

Fitton, N., P. Alexander, N. Arnell, B. Bajzelj, K. Calvin, J. Doelman, J.S. Gerber, et al. “The Vulnerabilities of Agricultural Land and Food Production to Future Water Scarcity.” Global Environmental Change 58 (September 2019): 101944. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.101944 .

Gidden, Matthew J., Keywan Riahi, Steven J. Smith, Shinichiro Fujimori, Gunnar Luderer, Elmar Kriegler, Detlef P. van Vuuren, et al. “Global Emissions Pathways under Different Socioeconomic Scenarios for Use in CMIP6: A Dataset of Harmonized Emissions Trajectories through the End of the Century.” Geoscientific Model Development 12, no. 4 (April 12, 2019): 1443–75. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-1443-2019 .

Gillingham, Kenneth, William Nordhaus, David Anthoff, Geoffrey Blanford, Valentina Bosetti, Peter Christensen, Haewon McJeon, and John Reilly. “Modeling Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment of Climate Change: A Multimodel Comparison.” Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 5, no. 4 (October 2018): 791–826. https://doi.org/10.1086/698910 .

Harmsen, Mathijs, Oliver Fricko, Jérôme Hilaire, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Laurent Drouet, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Shinichiro Fujimori, et al. “Taking Some Heat off the NDCs? The Limited Potential of Additional Short-Lived Climate Forcers’ Mitigation.” Climatic Change, June 17, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02436-3 .

Harmsen, Mathijs, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jean Chateau, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Laurent Drouet, Oliver Fricko, et al. “The Role of Methane in Future Climate Strategies: Mitigation Potentials and Climate Impacts.” Climatic Change, May 24, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02437-2 .

Hoesly, Rachel M, and Steven J Smith. “Informing Energy Consumption Uncertainty: An Analysis of Energy Data Revisions.” Environmental Research Letters 13, no. 12 (December 17, 2018): 124023. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaebc3 .

Huang, Zhongwei, Mohamad Hejazi, Qiuhong Tang, Chris R. Vernon, Yaling Liu, Min Chen, and Kate Calvin. “Global Agricultural Green and Blue Water Consumption under Future Climate and Land Use Changes.” Journal of Hydrology 574 (July 2019): 242–56. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.04.046 .

Jones, Andrew D., Katherine V. Calvin, Xiaoying Shi, Alan V. Di Vittorio, Ben Bond‐Lamberty, Peter E. Thornton, and William D. Collins. “Quantifying Human‐Mediated Carbon Cycle Feedbacks.” Geophysical Research Letters 45, no. 20 (October 28, 2018). https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079350 .

Khan, Zarrar, Thomas Wild, Chris Vernon, Andy Miller, Mohamad Hejazi, Leon Clarke, Fernando Miralles-Wilhelm, et al. “Metis – A Tool to Harmonize and Analyze Multi-Sectoral Data and Linkages at Variable Spatial Scales.” Journal of Open Research Software 8 (March 30, 2020): 10. https://doi.org/10.5334/jors.292 .

Kim, Seungdo, Bruce E. Dale, Mingjie Jin, Kurt D. Thelen, Xuesong Zhang, Paul Meier, Ashwan Daram Reddy, et al. “Integration in a Depot‐based Decentralized Biorefinery System: Corn Stover‐based Cellulosic Biofuel.” GCB Bioenergy 11, no. 7 (July 2019): 871–82. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcbb.12613 .

Kim, Seungdo, Bruce E. Dale, Xuesong Zhang, Curtis Dinneen Jones, Ashwan Daram Reddy, and Roberto Cesar Izaurralde. “The Renewable Fuel Standard May Limit Overall Greenhouse Gas Savings by Corn Stover-Based Cellulosic Biofuels in the U.S. Midwest: Effects of the Regulatory Approach on Projected Emissions.” Environmental Science & Technology 53, no. 5 (March 5, 2019): 2288–94. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.8b02808 .

Krey, Volker, Fei Guo, Peter Kolp, Wenji Zhou, Roberto Schaeffer, Aayushi Awasthy, Christoph Bertram, et al. “Looking under the Hood: A Comparison of Techno-Economic Assumptions across National and Global Integrated Assessment Models.” Energy 172 (April 2019): 1254–67. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.131 .

Lamontagne, Jonathan R., Patrick M. Reed, Robert Link, Katherine V. Calvin, Leon E. Clarke, and James A. Edmonds. “Large Ensemble Analytic Framework for Consequence‐Driven Discovery of Climate Change Scenarios.” Earth’s Future 6, no. 3 (March 2018): 488–504. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017EF000701 .

Li, Xiaoma, Yuyu Zhou, Sha Yu, Gensuo Jia, Huidong Li, and Wenliang Li. “Urban Heat Island Impacts on Building Energy Consumption: A Review of Approaches and Findings.” Energy 174 (May 2019): 407–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.02.183 .

Li, Xuecao, Yuyu Zhou, Jiyong Eom, Sha Yu, and Ghassem R. Asrar. “Projecting Global Urban Area Growth Through 2100 Based on Historical Time Series Data and Future Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.” Earth’s Future 7, no. 4 (April 2019): 351–62. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001152 .

Link, Robert, Abigail Snyder, Cary Lynch, Corinne Hartin, Ben Kravitz, and Ben Bond-Lamberty. “Fldgen v1.0: An Emulator with Internal Variability and Space–Time Correlation for Earth System Models.” Geoscientific Model Development 12, no. 4 (April 12, 2019): 1477–89. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-1477-2019 .

Liu, Dan, Elizabeth Toman, Zane Fuller, Gang Chen, Alexis Londo, Xuesong Zhang, and Kaiguang Zhao. “Integration of Historical Map and Aerial Imagery to Characterize Long-Term Land-Use Change and Landscape Dynamics: An Object-Based Analysis via Random Forests.” Ecological Indicators 95 (December 2018): 595–605. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.08.004 .

Liu, Liang, Taesung Hwang, Sungwon Lee, Yanfeng Ouyang, Bumsoo Lee, Steven J. Smith, Christopher W. Tessum, et al. “Health and Climate Impacts of Future United States Land Freight Modelled with Global-to-Urban Models.” Nature Sustainability 2, no. 2 (February 2019): 105–12. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0224-3 .

Liu, Lu, Mohamad Hejazi, Gokul Iyer, and Barton A. Forman. “Implications of Water Constraints on Electricity Capacity Expansion in the United States.” Nature Sustainability 2, no. 3 (March 2019): 206–13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0235-0 .

Lou, Sijia, Yang Yang, Hailong Wang, Steven J. Smith, Yun Qian, and Philip J. Rasch. “Black Carbon Amplifies Haze Over the North China Plain by Weakening the East Asian Winter Monsoon.” Geophysical Research Letters 46, no. 1 (January 16, 2019): 452–60. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080941 .

Lucena, André F.P., Mohamad Hejazi, Eveline Vasquez-Arroyo, Sean Turner, Alexandre C. Köberle, Kathryn Daenzer, Pedro R.R. Rochedo, et al. “Interactions between Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation: The Case of Hydropower in Brazil.” Energy 164 (December 2018): 1161–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.09.005 .

Qi, Junyu, Qianfeng Wang, and Xuesong Zhang. “On the Use of NLDAS2 Weather Data for Hydrologic Modeling in the Upper Mississippi River Basin.” Water 11, no. 5 (May 8, 2019): 960. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11050960 .

Qi, Junyu, Xuesong Zhang, and Michael H. Cosh. “Modeling Soil Temperature in a Temperate Region: A Comparison between Empirical and Physically Based Methods in SWAT.” Ecological Engineering 129 (April 2019): 134–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2019.01.017 .

Qi, Junyu, Xuesong Zhang, Gregory W. McCarty, Ali M. Sadeghi, Michael H. Cosh, Xubin Zeng, Feng Gao, et al. “Assessing the Performance of a Physically-Based Soil Moisture Module Integrated within the Soil and Water Assessment Tool.” Environmental Modelling & Software 109 (November 2018): 329–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.08.024 .

Qi, Junyu, Xuesong Zhang, and Qianfeng Wang. “Improving Hydrological Simulation in the Upper Mississippi River Basin through Enhanced Freeze-Thaw Cycle Representation.” Journal of Hydrology 571 (April 2019): 605–18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.02.020 .

Qiu, Jiali, Zhenyao Shen, Maoyi Huang, and Xuesong Zhang. “Exploring Effective Best Management Practices in the Miyun Reservoir Watershed, China.” Ecological Engineering 123 (November 2018): 30–42. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2018.08.020 .

Qiu, Jiali, Qichun Yang, Xuesong Zhang, Maoyi Huang, Jennifer C. Adam, and Keyvan Malek. “Implications of Water Management Representations for Watershed Hydrologic Modeling in the Yakima River Basin.” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 23, no. 1 (January 3, 2019): 35–49. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-35-2019 .

Santos Da Silva, Silvia R., Fernando Miralles-Wilhelm, Raul Muñoz-Castillo, Leon E. Clarke, Caleb J. Braun, Alison Delgado, James A. Edmonds, et al. “The Paris Pledges and the Energy-Water-Land Nexus in Latin America: Exploring Implications of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions.” Edited by Puneet Dwivedi. PLOS ONE 14, no. 4 (April 16, 2019): e0215013. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0215013 .

Saravia, Leonardo A., Santiago R. Doyle, and Ben Bond-Lamberty. “Power Laws and Critical Fragmentation in Global Forests.” Scientific Reports 8, no. 1 (December 2018): 17766. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-36120-w .

Shiklomanov, Alexey N, Bethany A Bradley, Kyla M Dahlin, Andrew M Fox, Christopher M Gough, Forrest M Hoffman, Elizabeth M Middleton, Shawn P Serbin, Luke Smallman, and William K Smith. “Enhancing Global Change Experiments through Integration of Remote‐sensing Techniques.” Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 17, no. 4 (May 2019): 215–24. https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.2031 .

Sinha, E., A. M. Michalak, K. V. Calvin, and P. J. Lawrence. “Societal Decisions about Climate Mitigation Will Have Dramatic Impacts on Eutrophication in the 21st Century.” Nature Communications 10, no. 1 (December 2019): 939. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-08884-w .

Snyder, Abigail, Katherine V. Calvin, Meridel Phillips, and Alex C. Ruane. “A Crop Yield Change Emulator for Use in GCAM and Similar Models: Persephone v1.0.” Geoscientific Model Development 12, no. 4 (April 3, 2019): 1319–50. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-1319-2019 .

Stehfest, Elke, Willem-Jan van Zeist, Hugo Valin, Petr Havlik, Alexander Popp, Page Kyle, Andrzej Tabeau, et al. “Key Determinants of Global Land-Use Projections.” Nature Communications 10, no. 1 (December 2019): 2166. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09945-w .

Turner, Sean W. D., Mohamad Hejazi, Catherine Yonkofski, Son H. Kim, and Page Kyle. “Influence of Groundwater Extraction Costs and Resource Depletion Limits on Simulated Global Nonrenewable Water Withdrawals Over the Twenty‐First Century.” Earth’s Future 7, no. 2 (February 2019): 123–35. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF001105 .

Turner, Sean W.D., Mohamad Hejazi, Katherine Calvin, Page Kyle, and Sonny Kim. “A Pathway of Global Food Supply Adaptation in a World with Increasingly Constrained Groundwater.” Science of The Total Environment 673 (July 2019): 165–76. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.04.070 .

Van de Ven, Dirk-Jan, Jon Sampedro, Francis X Johnson, Rob Bailis, Aikaterini Forouli, Alexandros Nikas, Sha Yu, et al. “Integrated Policy Assessment and Optimisation over Multiple Sustainable Development Goals in Eastern Africa.” Environmental Research Letters 14, no. 9 (August 20, 2019): 094001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab375d .

Vega‐Westhoff, Ben, Ryan L. Sriver, Corinne A. Hartin, Tony E. Wong, and Klaus Keller. “Impacts of Observational Constraints Related to Sea Level on Estimates of Climate Sensitivity.” Earth’s Future 7, no. 6 (June 2019): 677–90. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF001082 .

Vernon, Chris R., Mohamad I. Hejazi, Sean W. D. Turner, Yaling Liu, Caleb J. Braun, Xinya Li, and Robert P. Link. “A Global Hydrologic Framework to Accelerate Scientific Discovery.” Journal of Open Research Software 7 (January 7, 2019): 1. https://doi.org/10.5334/jors.245 .

Waldhoff, Stephanie T, Ian Sue Wing, James Edmonds, Guoyong Leng, and Xuesong Zhang. “Future Climate Impacts on Global Agricultural Yields over the 21st Century.” Environmental Research Letters 15, no. 11 (October 21, 2020): 114010. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abadcb .

Wang, Xin, Jin Wu, Min Chen, Xiangtao Xu, Zhenhua Wang, Bin Wang, Chengzhang Wang, et al. “Field Evidences for the Positive Effects of Aerosols on Tree Growth.” Global Change Biology 24, no. 10 (October 2018): 4983–92. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14339 .

Weber, Christopher, David L. McCollum, Jae Edmonds, Pedro Faria, Alban Pyanet, Joeri Rogelj, Massimo Tavoni, Jakob Thoma, and Elmar Kriegler. “Mitigation Scenarios Must Cater to New Users.” Nature Climate Change 8, no. 10 (October 2018): 845–48. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0293-8 .

Weiskopf, Sarah R, Jennifer L McCarthy, Kyle P McCarthy, Alexey N Shiklomanov, Hariyo T Wibisono, and Wulan Pusparini. “The Conservation Value of Forest Fragments in the Increasingly Agrarian Landscape of Sumatra.” Environmental Conservation 46, no. 4 (December 2019): 340–46. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0376892919000195 .

Xu, Xiaoming, Atul K. Jain, and Katherine V. Calvin. “Quantifying the Biophysical and Socioeconomic Drivers of Changes in Forest and Agricultural Land in South and Southeast Asia.” Global Change Biology 25, no. 6 (June 2019): 2137–51. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14611 .

Xu, Xing-ya, Xuesong Zhang, Hong-wei Fang, Rui-xun Lai, Yue-feng Zhang, Lei Huang, and Xiao-bo Liu. “Improving the Real-Time Probabilistic Channel Flood Forecasting by Incorporating the Uncertainty of Inflow Using the Particle Filter.” Journal of Hydrodynamics 30, no. 5 (October 2018): 828–40. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42241-018-0110-x .

Yang, Qichun, Xuesong Zhang, James E. Almendinger, Maoyi Huang, Xingyuan Chen, Guoyong Leng, Yuyu Zhou, Kaiguang Zhao, Ghassem R. Asrar, and Xia Li. “Climate Change Will Pose Challenges to Water Quality Management in the St. Croix River Basin.” Environmental Pollution 251 (August 2019): 302–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2019.04.129 .

Yang, Qichun, Xuesong Zhang, James E. Almendinger, Maoyi Huang, Guoyong Leng, Yuyu Zhou, Kaiguang Zhao, Ghassem R. Asrar, Xia Li, and Jiali Qiu. “Improving the SWAT Forest Module for Enhancing Water Resource Projections: A Case Study in the St. Croix River Basin.” Hydrological Processes, December 16, 2018, hyp.13370. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13370 .

Yang, Yang, Steven J. Smith, Hailong Wang, Sijia Lou, and Philip J. Rasch. “Impact of Anthropogenic Emission Injection Height Uncertainty on Global Sulfur Dioxide and Aerosol Distribution.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 124, no. 8 (April 27, 2019): 4812–26. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD030001 .

Yang, Yang, Steven J. Smith, Hailong Wang, Catrin M. Mills, and Philip J. Rasch. “Variability, Timescales, and Nonlinearity in Climate Responses to Black Carbon Emissions.” Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 19, no. 4 (February 25, 2019): 2405–20. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-2405-2019 .

Yen, Haw, Seonggyu Park, Jeffrey G. Arnold, Raghavan Srinivasan, Celray James Chawanda, Ruoyu Wang, Qingyu Feng, et al. “IPEAT+: A Built-In Optimization and Automatic Calibration Tool of SWAT+.” Water 11, no. 8 (August 14, 2019): 1681. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11081681 .

Yigzaw, Wondmagegn, Hong‐Yi Li, Yonas Demissie, Mohamad I. Hejazi, L. Ruby Leung, Nathalie Voisin, and Rob Payn. “A New Global Storage‐Area‐Depth Data Set for Modeling Reservoirs in Land Surface and Earth System Models.” Water Resources Research 54, no. 12 (December 2018). https://doi.org/10.1029/2017WR022040 .

Yu, Sha, Jill Horing, Qiang Liu, Robert Dahowski, Casie Davidson, James Edmonds, Bo Liu, et al. “CCUS in China’s Mitigation Strategy: Insights from Integrated Assessment Modeling.” International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 84 (May 2019): 204–18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijggc.2019.03.004 .

Zhang, Liming, Qiaofeng Zheng, Yaling Liu, Shaogui Liu, Dongsheng Yu, Xuezheng Shi, Shihe Xing, Hanyue Chen, and Xieyu Fan. “Combined Effects of Temperature and Precipitation on Soil Organic Carbon Changes in the Uplands of Eastern China.” Geoderma 337 (March 2019): 1105–15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2018.11.026 .

Zhou, Yuyu, Xuecao Li, Ghassem R. Asrar, Steven J. Smith, and Marc Imhoff. “A Global Record of Annual Urban Dynamics (1992–2013) from Nighttime Lights.” Remote Sensing of Environment 219 (December 2018): 206–20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2018.10.015 .

 

2018 Fiscal Year

Anderson-Teixeira, Kristina J., Maria M. H. Wang, Jennifer C. McGarvey, Valentine Herrmann, Alan J. Tepley, Ben Bond-Lamberty, and David S. LeBauer. “ForC: A Global Database of Forest Carbon Stocks and Fluxes.” Ecology99, no. 6 (June 2018): 1507–1507. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.2229.

Bailey, Vanessa L., Ben Bond-Lamberty, Kristen DeAngelis, A. Stuart Grandy, Christine V. Hawkes, Kate Heckman, Kate Lajtha, et al. “Soil Carbon Cycling Proxies: Understanding Their Critical Role in Predicting Climate Change Feedbacks.” Global Change Biology24, no. 3 (March 2018): 895–905. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13926.

Barba, Josep, Alejandro Cueva, Michael Bahn, Greg A. Barron-Gafford, Benjamin Bond-Lamberty, Paul J. Hanson, Aline Jaimes, et al. “Comparing Ecosystem and Soil Respiration: Review and Key Challenges of Tower-Based and Soil Measurements.” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology249 (February 2018): 434–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.10.028.

Bauer, Nico, Steven K. Rose, Shinichiro Fujimori, Detlef P. van Vuuren, John Weyant, Marshall Wise, Yiyun Cui, et al. “Global Energy Sector Emission Reductions and Bioenergy Use: Overview of the Bioenergy Demand Phase of the EMF-33 Model Comparison.” Climatic Change, July 2, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2226-y.

Bond-Lamberty, B. “Data Sharing and Scientific Impact in Eddy Covariance Research.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences123, no. 4 (April 2018): 1440–43. https://doi.org/10.1002/2018JG004502.

Bond-Lamberty, Ben. “New Techniques and Data for Understanding the Global Soil Respiration Flux.” Earth’s Future6, no. 9 (September 2018): 1176–80. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF000866.

Bond-Lamberty, Ben, Vanessa L. Bailey, Min Chen, Christopher M. Gough, and Rodrigo Vargas. “Globally Rising Soil Heterotrophic Respiration over Recent Decades.” Nature560, no. 7716 (August 2018): 80–83. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0358-x.

Butler, Ethan E., Abhirup Datta, Habacuc Flores-Moreno, Ming Chen, Kirk R. Wythers, Farideh Fazayeli, Arindam Banerjee, et al. “Mapping Local and Global Variability in Plant Trait Distributions.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences114, no. 51 (December 19, 2017): E10937–46. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1708984114.

Calvin, Kate, and Karen Fisher-Vanden. “Quantifying the Indirect Impacts of Climate on Agriculture: An Inter-Method Comparison.” Environmental Research Letters12, no. 11 (November 1, 2017): 115004. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa843c.

Calvin, Katherine, and Ben Bond-Lamberty. “Integrated Human-Earth System Modeling—State of the Science and Future Directions.” Environmental Research Letters13, no. 6 (June 1, 2018): 063006. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aac642.

Clarke, Leon, Jiyong Eom, Elke Hodson Marten, Russell Horowitz, Page Kyle, Robert Link, Bryan K. Mignone, Anupriya Mundra, and Yuyu Zhou. “Effects of Long-Term Climate Change on Global Building Energy Expenditures.” Energy Economics72 (May 2018): 667–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.003.

Cui, Ryna Yiyun, Katherine Calvin, Leon Clarke, Mohamad Hejazi, Son Kim, Page Kyle, Pralit Patel, Sean Turner, and Marshall Wise. “Regional Responses to Future, Demand-Driven Water Scarcity.” Environmental Research Letters13, no. 9 (August 31, 2018): 094006. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aad8f7.

Davis, Steven J., Nathan S. Lewis, Matthew Shaner, Sonia Aggarwal, Doug Arent, Inês L. Azevedo, Sally M. Benson, et al. “Net-Zero Emissions Energy Systems.” Science360, no. 6396 (June 29, 2018): eaas9793. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aas9793.

Edmonds, James A., Robert Link, Stephanie T. Waldhoff, and Ryna Cui. “A GLOBAL FOOD DEMAND MODEL FOR THE ASSESSMENT OF COMPLEX HUMAN-EARTH SYSTEMS.” Climate Change Economics08, no. 04 (November 2017): 1750012. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007817500129.

Evans, Meredydd, Sha Yu, Aaron Staniszewski, Luting Jin, and Artur Denysenko. “The International Implications of National and Local Coordination on Building Energy Codes: Case Studies in Six Cities.” Journal of Cleaner Production191 (August 2018): 127–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.04.142.

Fragkos, Panagiotis, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Leonidas Paroussos, Roberta Pierfederici, Saritha S. Vishwanathan, Alexandre C. Köberle, Gokul Iyer, Chen-Min He, and Ken Oshiro. “Coupling National and Global Models to Explore Policy Impacts of NDCs.” Energy Policy118 (July 2018): 462–73. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.04.002.

Garvin, J. B., D. A. Slayback, V. Ferrini, J. Frawley, C. Giguere, G. R. Asrar, and K. Andersen. “Monitoring and Modeling the Rapid Evolution of Earth’s Newest Volcanic Island:Hunga Tonga Hunga Ha’apai(Tonga) Using High Spatial Resolution Satellite Observations.” Geophysical Research Letters45, no. 8 (April 28, 2018): 3445–52. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL076621.

Gidden, Matthew J., Shinichiro Fujimori, Maarten van den Berg, David Klein, Steven J. Smith, Detlef P. van Vuuren, and Keywan Riahi. “A Methodology and Implementation of Automated Emissions Harmonization for Use in Integrated Assessment Models.” Environmental Modelling & Software105 (July 2018): 187–200. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.04.002.

Guan, Kaiyu, Stephen P Good, Kelly K Caylor, David Medvigy, Ming Pan, Eric F Wood, Hisashi Sato, et al. “Simulated Sensitivity of African Terrestrial Ecosystem Photosynthesis to Rainfall Frequency, Intensity, and Rainy Season Length.” Environmental Research Letters13, no. 2 (February 1, 2018): 025013. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa9f30.

Gulbeyaz, Onder, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Zuhal Akyurek, and Tristram O West. “A New Approach to Evaluate the MODIS Annual NPP Product (MOD17A3) Using Forest Field Data from Turkey.” International Journal of Remote Sensing39, no. 8 (April 18, 2018): 2560–78. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2018.1430913.

Harden, Jennifer W., Gustaf Hugelius, Anders Ahlström, Joseph C. Blankinship, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Corey R. Lawrence, Julie Loisel, et al. “Networking Our Science to Characterize the State, Vulnerabilities, and Management Opportunities of Soil Organic Matter.” Global Change Biology24, no. 2 (February 2018): e705–18. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13896.

Hasegawa, Tomoko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Petr Havlík, Hugo Valin, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jonathan C. Doelman, Thomas Fellmann, et al. “Risk of Increased Food Insecurity under Stringent Global Climate Change Mitigation Policy.” Nature Climate Change8, no. 8 (August 2018): 699–703. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0230-x.

Hodson, Elke L., Maxwell Brown, Stuart Cohen, Sharon Showalter, Marshall Wise, Frances Wood, Justin Caron, Felipe Feijoo, Gokul Iyer, and Kathryne Cleary. “U.S. Energy Sector Impacts of Technology Innovation, Fuel Price, and Electric Sector CO2 Policy: Results from the EMF 32 Model Intercomparison Study.” Energy Economics73 (June 2018): 352–70. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.03.027.

Hoesly, Rachel M., Steven J. Smith, Leyang Feng, Zbigniew Klimont, Greet Janssens-Maenhout, Tyler Pitkanen, Jonathan J. Seibert, et al. “Historical (1750–2014) Anthropogenic Emissions of Reactive Gases and Aerosols from the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS).” Geoscientific Model Development11, no. 1 (January 29, 2018): 369–408. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-369-2018.

Huang, Zhongwei, Mohamad Hejazi, Xinya Li, Qiuhong Tang, Chris Vernon, Guoyong Leng, Yaling Liu, et al. “Reconstruction of Global Gridded Monthly Sectoral Water Withdrawals for 1971–2010 and Analysis of Their Spatiotemporal Patterns.” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences22, no. 4 (April 6, 2018): 2117–33. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2117-2018.

Iyer, Gokul, Katherine Calvin, Leon Clarke, James Edmonds, Nathan Hultman, Corinne Hartin, Haewon McJeon, Joseph Aldy, and William Pizer. “Implications of Sustainable Development Considerations for Comparability across Nationally Determined Contributions.” Nature Climate Change8, no. 2 (February 2018): 124–29. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-017-0039-z.

Iyer, Gokul, and James Edmonds. “Interpreting Energy Scenarios.” Nature Energy3, no. 5 (May 2018): 357–58. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-018-0145-9.

Iyer, Gokul, Catherine Ledna, Leon Clarke, James Edmonds, Haewon McJeon, Page Kyle, and James H Williams. “Measuring Progress from Nationally Determined Contributions to Mid-Century Strategies.” Nature Climate Change7, no. 12 (December 2017): 871–74. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-017-0005-9.

Jones, Curtis D., Xuesong Zhang, Ashwan D. Reddy, G. Philip Robertson, and Roberto César Izaurralde. “The Greenhouse Gas Intensity and Potential Biofuel Production Capacity of Maize Stover Harvest in the US Midwest.” GCB Bioenergy9, no. 10 (October 2017): 1543–54. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcbb.12473.

Lamontagne, Jonathan R., Patrick M. Reed, Robert Link, Katherine V. Calvin, Leon E. Clarke, and James A. Edmonds. “Large Ensemble Analytic Framework for Consequence-Driven Discovery of Climate Change Scenarios.” Earth’s Future6, no. 3 (March 2018): 488–504. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017EF000701.

Le Page, Yannick, Douglas Morton, Corinne Hartin, Ben Bond-Lamberty, José Miguel Cardoso Pereira, George Hurtt, and Ghassem Asrar. “Synergy between Land Use and Climate Change Increases Future Fire Risk in Amazon Forests.” Earth System Dynamics8, no. 4 (December 20, 2017): 1237–46. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-1237-2017.

Li, Fang, David M. Lawrence, and Ben Bond-Lamberty. “Human Impacts on 20th Century Fire Dynamics and Implications for Global Carbon and Water Trajectories.” Global and Planetary Change162 (March 2018): 18–27. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2018.01.002.

Li, Wenliang, Yuyu Zhou, Kristen Cetin, Jiyong Eom, Yu Wang, Gang Chen, and Xuesong Zhang. “Modeling Urban Building Energy Use: A Review of Modeling Approaches and Procedures.” Energy141 (December 2017): 2445–57. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.11.071.

Li, Wenliang, Yuyu Zhou, Kristen S. Cetin, Sha Yu, Yu Wang, and Bingqing Liang. “Developing a Landscape of Urban Building Energy Use with Improved Spatiotemporal Representations in a Cool-Humid Climate.” Building and Environment136 (May 2018): 107–17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2018.03.036.

Li, Xia, Chandana Mitra, Li Dong, and Qichun Yang. “Understanding Land Use Change Impacts on Microclimate Using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model.” Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C103 (February 2018): 115–26. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2017.01.017.

Li, Xiaoma, Yuyu Zhou, Ghassem R. Asrar, Marc Imhoff, and Xuecao Li. “The Surface Urban Heat Island Response to Urban Expansion: A Panel Analysis for the Conterminous United States.” Science of The Total Environment605–606 (December 2017): 426–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.06.229.

Li, Xiaoma, Yuyu Zhou, Ghassem R. Asrar, and Zhengyuan Zhu. “Creating a Seamless 1 Km Resolution Daily Land Surface Temperature Dataset for Urban and Surrounding Areas in the Conterminous United States.” Remote Sensing of Environment206 (March 2018): 84–97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2017.12.010.

———. “Developing a 1 Km Resolution Daily Air Temperature Dataset for Urban and Surrounding Areas in the Conterminous United States.” Remote Sensing of Environment215 (September 2018): 74–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2018.05.034.

Li, Xinya, Chris R. Vernon, Mohamad I. Hejazi, Robert P. Link, Zhongwei Huang, Lu Liu, and Leyang Feng. “Tethys – A Python Package for Spatial and Temporal Downscaling of Global Water Withdrawals.” Journal of Open Research Software6 (February 9, 2018). https://doi.org/10.5334/jors.197.

Li, Xuecao, Yuyu Zhou, Ghassem R. Asrar, and Lin Meng. “Characterizing Spatiotemporal Dynamics in Phenology of Urban Ecosystems Based on Landsat Data.” Science of The Total Environment605–606 (December 2017): 721–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.06.245.

Liu, Yaling, Mohamad Hejazi, Hongyi Li, Xuesong Zhang, and Guoyong Leng. “A Hydrological Emulator for Global Applications – HE v1.0.0.” Geoscientific Model Development11, no. 3 (March 23, 2018): 1077–92. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-1077-2018.

Lu, Xiaoliang, Zhunqiao Liu, Shuqing An, Diego G. Miralles, Wouter Maes, Yaling Liu, and Jianwu Tang. “Potential of Solar-Induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence to Estimate Transpiration in a Temperate Forest.” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology252 (April 2018): 75–87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.01.017.

Lu, Xiaoliang, Yuyu Zhou, Yaling Liu, and Yannick Le Page. “The Role of Protected Areas in Land Use/Land Cover Change and the Carbon Cycle in the Conterminous United States.” Global Change Biology24, no. 2 (February 2018): 617–30. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13816.

Lu, Xiaoliang, Yuyu Zhou, Qianlai Zhuang, Catherine Prigent, Yaling Liu, and Adriaan Teuling. “Increasing Methane Emissions From Natural Land Ecosystems Due to Sea-Level Rise.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences123, no. 5 (May 2018): 1756–68. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JG004273.

Luderer, Gunnar, Zoi Vrontisi, Christoph Bertram, Oreane Y. Edelenbosch, Robert C. Pietzcker, Joeri Rogelj, Harmen Sytze De Boer, et al. “Residual Fossil CO2 Emissions in 1.5–2 °C Pathways.” Nature Climate Change8, no. 7 (July 2018): 626–33. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0198-6.

Luo, Wei, Michael Steptoe, Zheng Chang, Robert Link, Leon Clarke, and Ross Maciejewski. “Impact of Spatial Scales on the Intercomparison of Climate Scenarios.” IEEE Computer Graphics and Applications37, no. 5 (2017): 40–49. https://doi.org/10.1109/MCG.2017.3621222.

Markandya, Anil, Jon Sampedro, Steven J Smith, Rita Van Dingenen, Cristina Pizarro-Irizar, Iñaki Arto, and Mikel González-Eguino. “Health Co-Benefits from Air Pollution and Mitigation Costs of the Paris Agreement: A Modelling Study.” The Lancet Planetary Health2, no. 3 (March 2018): e126–33. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30029-9.

McCollum, David L., Wenji Zhou, Christoph Bertram, Harmen-Sytze de Boer, Valentina Bosetti, Sebastian Busch, Jacques Després, et al. “Energy Investment Needs for Fulfilling the Paris Agreement and Achieving the Sustainable Development Goals.” Nature Energy3, no. 7 (July 2018): 589–99. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-018-0179-z.

Menzo, Zachary, Scott Elliott, Corinne Hartin, Forrest Hoffman, and Shanlin Wang. “Climate Change Impacts on Natural Sulfur Production: Ocean Acidification and Community Shifts.” Atmosphere9, no. 5 (May 1, 2018): 167. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos9050167.

Mignone, Bryan K., Sharon Showalter, Frances Wood, Haewon McJeon, and Daniel Steinberg. “Sensitivity of Natural Gas Deployment in the US Power Sector to Future Carbon Policy Expectations.” Energy Policy110 (November 2017): 518–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.08.012.

Mouratiadou, I., M. Bevione, D. L. Bijl, L. Drouet, M. Hejazi, S. Mima, M. Pehl, and G. Luderer. “Water Demand for Electricity in Deep Decarbonisation Scenarios: A Multi-Model Assessment.” Climatic Change147, no. 1–2 (March 2018): 91–106. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-2117-7.

Ou, Yang, Wenjing Shi, Steven J. Smith, Catherine M. Ledna, J. Jason West, Christopher G. Nolte, and Daniel H. Loughlin. “Estimating Environmental Co-Benefits of U.S. Low-Carbon Pathways Using an Integrated Assessment Model with State-Level Resolution.” Applied Energy216 (April 2018): 482–93. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.02.122.

Paladugula, Anantha Lakshmi, Nazar Kholod, Vaibhav Chaturvedi, Probal Pratap Ghosh, Sarbojit Pal, Leon Clarke, Meredydd Evans, et al. “A Multi-Model Assessment of Energy and Emissions for India’s Transportation Sector through 2050.” Energy Policy116 (May 2018): 10–18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.01.037.

Peng, Bin, Kaiyu Guan, Min Chen, David M. Lawrence, Yadu Pokhrel, Andrew Suyker, Timothy Arkebauer, and Yaqiong Lu. “Improving Maize Growth Processes in the Community Land Model: Implementation and Evaluation.” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology250–251 (March 2018): 64–89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.11.012.

Petrakis, Sandra, Josep Barba, Ben Bond-Lamberty, and Rodrigo Vargas. “Using Greenhouse Gas Fluxes to Define Soil Functional Types.” Plant and Soil423, no. 1–2 (February 2018): 285–94. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11104-017-3506-4.

Richardson, Andrew D., Koen Hufkens, Tom Milliman, Donald M. Aubrecht, Min Chen, Josh M. Gray, Miriam R. Johnston, et al. “Tracking Vegetation Phenology across Diverse North American Biomes Using PhenoCam Imagery.” Scientific Data5 (March 13, 2018): 180028. https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2018.28.

Rogelj, Joeri, Alexander Popp, Katherine V. Calvin, Gunnar Luderer, Johannes Emmerling, David Gernaat, Shinichiro Fujimori, et al. “Scenarios towards Limiting Global Mean Temperature Increase below 1.5 °C.” Nature Climate Change8, no. 4 (April 2018): 325–32. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0091-3.

Roshchanka, Volha, Meredydd Evans, Felicia Ruiz, and Nazar Kholod. “A Strategic Approach to Selecting Policy Mechanisms for Addressing Coal Mine Methane Emissions: A Case Study on Kazakhstan.” Environmental Science & Policy78 (December 2017): 185–92. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2017.08.005.

Ruane, Alex C, Cynthia Rosenzweig, Senthold Asseng, Kenneth J Boote, Joshua Elliott, Frank Ewert, James W Jones, et al. “An AgMIP Framework for Improved Agricultural Representation in Integrated Assessment Models.” Environmental Research Letters12, no. 12 (December 1, 2017): 125003. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa8da6.

Seneviratne, Sonia I., Richard Wartenburger, Benoit P. Guillod, Annette L. Hirsch, Martha M. Vogel, Victor Brovkin, Detlef P. van Vuuren, et al. “Climate Extremes, Land–Climate Feedbacks and Land-Use Forcing at 1.5°C.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical,                                                 Physical and Engineering Sciences376, no. 2119 (May 13, 2018): 20160450. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0450.

Shi, Wenjing, Yang Ou, Steven J. Smith, Catherine M. Ledna, Christopher G. Nolte, and Daniel H. Loughlin. “Projecting State-Level Air Pollutant Emissions Using an Integrated Assessment Model: GCAM-USA.” Applied Energy208 (December 2017): 511–21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.09.122.

Sihi, Debjani, Eric A. Davidson, Min Chen, Kathleen E. Savage, Andrew D. Richardson, Trevor F. Keenan, and David Y. Hollinger. “Merging a Mechanistic Enzymatic Model of Soil Heterotrophic Respiration into an Ecosystem Model in Two AmeriFlux Sites of Northeastern USA.” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology252 (April 2018): 155–66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.01.026.

Smith, A. Peyton, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Brian W. Benscoter, Malak M. Tfaily, C. Ross Hinkle, Chongxuan Liu, and Vanessa L. Bailey. “Shifts in Pore Connectivity from Precipitation versus Groundwater Rewetting Increases Soil Carbon Loss after Drought.” Nature Communications8, no. 1 (December 2017). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-017-01320-x.

Snyder, Abigail C., Robert P. Link, and Katherine V. Calvin. “Evaluation of Integrated Assessment Model Hindcast Experiments: A Case Study of the GCAM 3.0 Land Use Module.” Geoscientific Model Development10, no. 12 (November 29, 2017): 4307–19. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-4307-2017.

Srinivasan, Shweta, Nazar Kholod, Vaibhav Chaturvedi, Probal Pratap Ghosh, Ritu Mathur, Leon Clarke, Meredydd Evans, et al. “Water for Electricity in India: A Multi-Model Study of Future Challenges and Linkages to Climate Change Mitigation.” Applied Energy210 (January 2018): 673–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.04.079.

Tan, Zeli, L. Ruby Leung, Hongyi Li, Teklu Tesfa, Matthias Vanmaercke, Jean Poesen, Xuesong Zhang, Hui Lu, and Jens Hartmann. “A Global Data Analysis for Representing Sediment and Particulate Organic Carbon Yield in Earth System Models: A GLOBAL DATA ANALYSIS OF SEDIMENT YIELD.” Water Resources Research53, no. 12 (December 2017): 10674–700. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR020806.

Turner, Sean W.D., Mohamad Hejazi, Son H. Kim, Leon Clarke, and Jae Edmonds. “Climate Impacts on Hydropower and Consequences for Global Electricity Supply Investment Needs.” Energy141 (December 2017): 2081–90. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.11.089.

Vernon, Chris R., Yannick Le Page, Min Chen, Maoyi Huang, Katherine V. Calvin, Ian P. Kraucunas, and Caleb J. Braun. “Demeter – A Land Use and Land Cover Change Disaggregation Model.” Journal of Open Research Software6 (April 20, 2018). https://doi.org/10.5334/jors.208.

Vernon, Chris R., Nino Zuljevic, Jennie S. Rice, Timothy E. Seiple, Michael C. W. Kintner-Meyer, Nathalie Voisin, Ian P. Kraucunas, et al. “CERF – A Geospatial Model for Assessing Future Energy Production Technology Expansion Feasibility.” Journal of Open Research Software6 (August 6, 2018). https://doi.org/10.5334/jors.227.

Wan, Wenhua, Jianshi Zhao, Hong-Yi Li, Ashok Mishra, Mohamad Hejazi, Hui Lu, Yonas Demissie, and Hao Wang. “A Holistic View of Water Management Impacts on Future Droughts: A Global Multimodel Analysis.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres123, no. 11 (June 16, 2018): 5947–72. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JD027825.

Wan, Wenhua, Jianshi Zhao, Hong-Yi Li, Ashok Mishra, L. Ruby Leung, Mohamad Hejazi, Wei Wang, et al. “Hydrological Drought in the Anthropocene: Impacts of Local Water Extraction and Reservoir Regulation in the U.S.: Hydrological Drought in the Anthropocene.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres122, no. 21 (November 16, 2017): 11,313-11,328. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD026899.

Wang, Xingchang, Chuankuan Wang, and Ben Bond-Lamberty. “Quantifying and Reducing the Differences in Forest CO 2 -Fluxes Estimated by Eddy Covariance, Biometric and Chamber Methods: A Global Synthesis.” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology247 (December 2017): 93–103. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.07.023.

Yan, Zhifeng, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Katherine E. Todd-Brown, Vanessa L. Bailey, SiLiang Li, CongQiang Liu, and Chongxuan Liu. “A Moisture Function of Soil Heterotrophic Respiration That Incorporates Microscale Processes.” Nature Communications9, no. 1 (July 2, 2018). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04971-6.

Yang, Qichun, James E. Almendinger, Xuesong Zhang, Maoyi Huang, Xingyuan Chen, Guoyong Leng, Yuyu Zhou, et al. “Enhancing SWAT Simulation of Forest Ecosystems for Water Resource Assessment: A Case Study in the St. Croix River Basin.” Ecological Engineering120 (September 2018): 422–31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2018.06.020.

Yang, Yang, Hailong Wang, Steven J. Smith, Richard C. Easter, and Philip J. Rasch. “Sulfate Aerosol in the Arctic: Source Attribution and Radiative Forcing.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres123, no. 3 (February 16, 2018): 1899–1918. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD027298.

Yang, Yang, Hailong Wang, Steven J. Smith, Rudong Zhang, Sijia Lou, Yun Qian, Po-Lun Ma, and Philip J. Rasch. “Recent Intensification of Winter Haze in China Linked to Foreign Emissions and Meteorology.” Scientific Reports8, no. 1 (February 1, 2018). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-20437-7.

Yang, Yang, Hailong Wang, Steven J. Smith, Rudong Zhang, Sijia Lou, Hongbin Yu, Can Li, and Philip J. Rasch. “Source Apportionments of Aerosols and Their Direct Radiative Forcing and Long-Term Trends Over Continental United States.” Earth’s Future6, no. 6 (June 2018): 793–808. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF000859.

Yu, Sha, Meredydd Evans, Page Kyle, Linh Vu, Qing Tan, Ashu Gupta, and Pralit Patel. “Implementing Nationally Determined Contributions: Building Energy Policies in India’s Mitigation Strategy.” Environmental Research Letters13, no. 3 (March 1, 2018): 034034. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaad84.

Yu, Sha, Qing Tan, Meredydd Evans, Page Kyle, Linh Vu, and Pralit L. Patel. “Improving Building Energy Efficiency in India: State-Level Analysis of Building Energy Efficiency Policies.” Energy Policy110 (November 2017): 331–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.07.013.

Zhang, Liming, Yaling Liu, Xiaodi Li, Linbin Huang, Dongsheng Yu, Xuezheng Shi, Hanyue Chen, and Shihe Xing. “Effects of Soil Map Scales on Simulating Soil Organic Carbon Changes of Upland Soils in Eastern China.” Geoderma312 (February 2018): 159–69. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2017.10.017.

Zhang, Xiao, Hong-Yi Li, Zhiqun Daniel Deng, Claudia Ringler, Yang Gao, Mohamad I. Hejazi, and L. Ruby Leung. “Impacts of Climate Change, Policy and Water-Energy-Food Nexus on Hydropower Development.” Renewable Energy116 (February 2018): 827–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2017.10.030.

Zhang, Xuesong. “Simulating Eroded Soil Organic Carbon with the SWAT-C Model.” Environmental Modelling & Software102 (April 2018): 39–48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.01.005.

Zhang, Yuqiang, Steven J Smith, Jared H Bowden, Zachariah Adelman, and J Jason West. “Co-Benefits of Global, Domestic, and Sectoral Greenhouse Gas Mitigation for US Air Quality and Human Health in 2050.” Environmental Research Letters12, no. 11 (November 1, 2017): 114033. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa8f76.

Zhou, Qianqian, Guoyong Leng, and Maoyi Huang. “Impacts of Future Climate Change on Urban Flood Volumes in Hohhot in Northern China: Benefits of Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptations.” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences22, no. 1 (January 15, 2018): 305–16. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-305-2018.

Zhou, Sheng, Yu Wang, Yuyu Zhou, Leon E. Clarke, and James A. Edmonds. “Roles of Wind and Solar Energy in China’s Power Sector: Implications of Intermittency Constraints.” Applied Energy213 (March 2018): 22–30. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.01.025.

Zhou, Tian, Nathalie Voisin, Guoyong Leng, Maoyi Huang, and Ian Kraucunas. “Sensitivity of Regulated Flow Regimes to Climate Change in the Western United States.” Journal of Hydrometeorology19, no. 3 (March 2018): 499–515. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0095.1.

Zhu, Yuelu, Shengzhi Huang, Jianxia Chang, and Guoyong Leng. “Spatial–Temporal Changes in Potential Evaporation Patterns Based on the Cloud Model and Their Possible Causes.” Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment31, no. 8 (October 2017): 2147–58. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-016-1304-9.

 

 

2017 Fiscal Year

Aldy J, W Pizer, M Tavoni, L Reis, K Akimoto, GJ Blanford, C Carraro, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, GC Iyer, HC McJeon, RG Richels, S Rose, and F Sano.  2016.  “Economic Tools to Promote Transparency and Comparability in the Paris Agreement.”  Nature Climate Change 6:1000 – 1006.  doi:10.1038/nclimate3106

Alexander P, R Prestele, PH Verburg, A Arneth, C Baranzelli, F Batista e Silva, C Brown, A Butler, KV Calvin, N Dendoncker, J Doelman, R Dunford, K Engstrom, D Eitelberg, S Fujimori, P Harrison, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, S Holzhauer, F Humpenoder, C Jacobs-Crisioni, AK Jain, T Krisztin, GP Kyle, C Lavalle, T Lenton, J Liu, P Meiyappan, A Popp, T Powell, R Sands, R Schaldach, E Stehfest, J Steinbuks, A Tabeau, H van Meijl, MA Wise, and M Rounsevell.  2017.  “Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections.”  Global Change Biology 23(2):767-781.  doi:10.1063/1.4974492

Bailey VL, AP Smith, MM Tfaily, SJ Fansler, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2017. “Differences in Soluble Organic Carbon Chemistry in Pore Waters Sampled from Different Pore Size Domains.”  Soil Biology and Biochemistry 107:133-143.  doi:10.1016/j.soilbio.2016.11.025

Bauer N, KV Calvin, J Emmerling, O Fricko, S Fujimori, J Hilaire, J Eom, V Krey, E Kriegler, I Mouratiadou, H Sytze de Boer, M van den Berg, S Carrara, V Daioglou, L Drouet, JA Edmonds, D Gernaat, P Havlik, N Johnson, D Klein, GP Kyle, G Marangoni, T Masui, R Pietzcker, M Strubegger, MA Wise, K Riahi, and D Van Vuuren.  2017.  Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives.” Global Environmental Change 42:316-330.  doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006

Bond-Lamberty B, AP Smith, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Temperature and moisture effects on greenhouse gas emissions from deep active-layer boreal soils.”  Biogeosciences 13(24):6669-6681.  doi:10.5194/bg-13-6669-2016

Calvin KV, B Bond-Lamberty, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, J Eom, CA Hartin, SH Kim, GP Kyle, RP Link, RH Moss, HC McJeon, PL Patel, SJ Smith, ST Waldhoff, and MA Wise.  2017.  The SSP4: A World of Deepening Inequality.”  Global Environmental Change 42:284-296. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.010

Campbell JE, J Berry, U Seibt, SJ Smith, S Montzka, T Launois, S Belviso, L Bopp, and M Laine.  2017.  Large historical growth in global terrestrial gross primary production.” Nature 544(7648):84–87. doi:10.1038/nature22030

Chang J, P Ciais, X Wang, SL Piao, GR Asrar, R Betts, F Chevallier, M Dury, L Francois, K Frieler, AG Ros, AJ Henrot, T Hickler, A Ito, C Morfopoulos, G Munhoven, K Nishina, S Ostberg, S Pan, S Peng, R Rafique, C Reyer, C Rodenbeck, S Schaphoff, Jö Steinkamp, H Tian, N Viovy, J Yang, N Zeng, and F Zhao.  2017.  “Benchmarking carbon fluxes of the ISIMIP2a biome models.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(4):Article No. 045002.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa63fa

Chen M, R Rafique, GR Asrar, B Bond-Lamberty, P Ciais, F Zhao, C Reyer, S Ostberg, J Chang, A Ito, J Yang, N Zeng, E Kalnay, TO West, G Leng, L Francois, G Munhoven, AJ Henrot, H Tian, S Pan, K Nishina, N Viovy, C Morfopoulos, R Betts, S Schaphoff, J Steinkamp, and T Hickler.  2017.  “Regional Contribution to Variability and Trends of Global Gross Primary Productivity.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(10):105005.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8978

Collins W, JF Lamarque, M Schulz, O Boucher, V Eyring, MI Hegglin, A Maycock, G Myhre, M Prather, DT Shindell, and SJ Smith.  2017. “AerChemMIP: Quantifying the effects of chemistry and aerosols in CMIP6.”  Geoscientific Model Development 10(2):585-607.  doi:10.5194/gmd-10-585-2017

Dahowski RT, CL Davidson, S Yu, JD Horing, N Wei, LE Clarke, and SR Bender.  2017.  “The impact of CCS readiness on the evolution of China’s electric power sector.”  Energy Procedia 114:6631-6637. doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.1817

Davidson CL, RT Dahowski, HC McJeon, LE Clarke, GC Iyer, and M Muratori.  2017.  “The value of CCS under current policy scenarios: NDCs and beyond.”  Energy Procedia 114:7521-7527. doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.1885

Di Vittorio A, GP Kyle, and WD Collins.  2016.  What are the effects of Agro-Ecological Zones and land use region boundaries on land resource projection using the Global Change Assessment Model?”  Environmental Modelling & Software 85:246-265.  doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.08.016

Edelenbosch OY, K Kermeli, W Crijns-Graus, E Worrell, R Bibas, B Fais, S Fujimori, GP Kyle, F Sano, and D Van Vuuren.  2017.  Comparing projections of industrial energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions in long-term energy models.”  Energy 122:701–710.  doi:10.1016/j.energy.2017.01.017

Evans M, V Roshchanka, and P Graham.  2017.  “An International Survey of Building Energy Codes and Their Implementation.”  Journal of Cleaner Production 158:382-389.  doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.01.007

Evans M, N Kholod, T Kuklinski, A Denysenko, SJ Smith, AJ Staniszewski, WM Hao, L Liu, and TC Bond.  2017.  “Black carbon emissions in Russia: A critical review.”  Atmospheric Environment 163:9–21. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.05.026

Gu D, AB Guenther, JE Shilling, H Yu, M Huang, C Zhao, Q Yang, ST Martin, P Artaxo, S Kim, R Seco, T Stavrakou, K Longo, J Tota, R Augusto Ferreira de Souza, O Vega, Y Liu, MKB Shrivastava, E Alves, F Cavalcante Dos Santos, G Leng, and Z Hu.  2017.  “Airborne observations reveal elevational gradient in tropical forest isoprene emissions.”  Nature Communications 8:15541.  doi:10.1038/ncomms15541

Güneralp B, Y Zhou, D Ürge-Vorsatz, M Gupta, S Yu, PL Patel, M Fragkias, X Li, and K Seto.  2017.  Global scenarios of urban density and its impacts on building energy use through 2050.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 114(34):8945–8950. doi:10.1073/pnas.1606035114

Hattermann FF, V Krysanova, SN Gosling, R Dankers, P Daggupati, C Donnelly, M Florke, S Huang, Y Motovilov, S Buda, T Yang, C Mueller, G Leng, Q Tang, FT Portmann, S Hagemann, D Gerten , Y Wada, Y Masaki, T Alemayehu, Y Satoh, and L Samaniego.  2017.  Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins.”  Climatic Change 141(3):561-576. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1829-4

Huang L, H Fang, X Xu, G He, X Zhang, and D Reible.  2017.  “Stochastic modeling of phosphorus transport in the Three Gorges Reservoir by incorporating variability associated with the phosphorus partition coefficient.”  Science of the Total Environment 592:649–661.  doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.02.227

Huang S, B Ming, Q Huang, G Leng, and B Hou.  2017.  “A case study on a combination NDVI forecasting model based on the entropy weight method.”  Water Resources Management 31(11):3667–3681. doi:10.1007/s11269-017-1692-8

Huang S, Q Huang, G Leng, M Zhao, and E Meng.  2017.  “Variations in annual water-energy balance and their correlations with vegetation and soil moisture dynamics: A case study in the Wei River Basin, China.”  Journal of Hydrology 546:515–525. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.12.060

Ibrahim K, AFA Shabudin, KC Koshy, and GR Asrar.  2016. A new framework for integrated climate finance and inclusive responses to sustainable development in Malaysia.”  Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk 7(6):1754-1768.  doi:10.1080/19475705.2016.1155503

Irvine P, BS Kravitz, MG Lawrence, D Gerten , C Caminade, S Gosling, , E Hendy , B Kassie , DW Kissling , H Muri, A Oschlies, and SJ Smith.  2017. Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering.” Earths Future 5(1):93–106. doi:10.1002/2016EF000389

Iyer GC, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, and N Hultman.  2016.  “Do national-level policies to promote low-carbon technology deployment pay off for the investor countries?”  Energy Policy98:400–411.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2016.08.017

Iyer GC, and JA Edmonds.  2017. “Emission scenarios: Explaining differences.”  Nature Climate Change 7:99-100.  doi:10.1038/nclimate3200

Izaurralde RC, WB Mcgill, JR Williams, CD Jones, RP Link, D Manowitz, DE Schwab, X Zhang, GP Robertson, and N Milar.  2017.  “Simulating microbial denitrification with EPIC: Model description and initial testing.”  Ecological Modelling 359:349 – 362.  doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.06.007

Kravitz BS, CD Lynch, CA Hartin, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2017.  “Exploring precipitation pattern scaling methodologies and robustness among CMIP5 models.” Geoscientific Model Development 10(5):1889-1902.  doi:10.5194/gmd-10-1889-2017

Kriegler E, N Bauer, A Popp, F Humpenoder, M Leimbach, J Strefler, L Baumstark, B Bodirsky, J Hilaire, D Klein, I Mouratiadou, I Weindl, C Bertram, JP Dietrich, G Luderer, M Pehl, R Pietzcker, F Piontek, H Lotze-Campen, A Biewald, M Bonsch, A Giannousakis, U Kreidenweis, C Mueller, S Rolinski, A Schultes, J Schwanitz, M Stefanovic, KV Calvin, J Emmerling, S Fujimori, and O Edenhofer.  2017.  Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): an energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century.”  Global Environmental Change 42:297-315.  doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.015

Leng G, X Zhang, M Huang, Q Yang, R Rafique, GR Asrar, and LYR Leung.  2016.  “Simulating County-Level Crop Yields in the Conterminous United States Using the Community Land Model: the Effects of Optimizing Irrigation and Fertilization.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 8(4):1912–1931.  doi:10.1002/2016MS000645

Leng G, M Huang, N Voisin, X Zhang, GR Asrar, and LYR Leung.  2016.  “Emergence of new hydrologic regimes of surface water resources in the Conterminous United States under future warming.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(11):Article No. 114003.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/114003

Leng G, LY Leung, and M Huang.  2017.  “Significant impacts of irrigation water sources and methods on modeling irrigation effects in the ACME Land Model.”  Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 9(3):1665 – 1683.  doi:10.1002/2016MS000885

Leng G, and M Huang.  2017.  “Crop yield response to climate change varies with crop spatial distribution pattern.”  Scientific Reports 7:1463.  doi:10.1038/s41598-017-01599-2

Li F, DM Lawrence, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2017. “Impact of fire on global land surface air temperature and energy budget for the 20th century due to changes within ecosystems.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(4):Article No. 044014. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa6685

Li X, Y Zhou, GR Asrar, J Mao, X Li, and W Li.  2017.  “Response of vegetation phenology to urbanization in the conterminous United States.”  Global Change Biology 23(7):2818-2830.  doi:10.1111/gcb.13562

Li X, CR Vernon, MI Hejazi, RP Link, L Feng, Y Liu, and LT Rauchenstein.  2017.  “Xanthos – A Global Hydrologic Model.”  Journal of Open Research Software 5(1):21.  doi:10.5334/jors.181

Liu S, B Bond-Lamberty, LR Boysen, JD Ford, A Fox, K Gallo, J Hatfield, G Henebry, TG Huntington, Z Liu, T Loveland, RJ Norby, T Sohl, AL Steiner, W Yuan, Z Zhang, and S Zhao.  2017.  “Grand Challenges in Understanding the Interplay of Climate and Land Changes.”  Earth Interactions 21(2):1-43.  doi:10.1175/EI-D-16-0012.1

Liu B, M Evans, S Yu, V Roshchanka, S Dukkipati, and A Sreenivas.  2017.  “Effective Energy Data Management for Low-carbon Growth Planning: An Analytical Framework for Assessment.”  Energy Policy 107:32-42.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.03.059

Liu L, MI Hejazi, HY Li, B Forman, and X Zhang.  2017.  “Vulnerability of US thermoelectric power generation to climate change when incorporating state-level environmental regulations.”  Nature Energy 2:17109. doi:10.1038/nenergy.2017.109

Liu Y, MI Hejazi, H Li, X Zhang, and G Leng.  2017. A Hydrological Emulator for Global Applications.”  Geoscientific Model Development 1-37.  doi:10.5194/gmd-2017-113

Lu X, M Chen, Y Liu, D Miralles, and F Wang.  2017.  “Enhanced water use efficiency in global terrestrial ecosystems under increasing aerosol loadings.”  Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 237-238:39-49.  doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.02.002

Lynch CD, CA Hartin, B Bond-Lamberty, and BS Kravitz.  2017.  “An open-access CMIP5 pattern library for temperature and precipitation: Description and methodology.”  Earth System Science Data 9(1):281-292. doi:10.5194/essd-2016-68

Meehl GA, and RH Moss.  2016.  “Aspen Global Change Institute: 25 Years of Interdisciplinary Global Change Science.”  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 97(11):20027-2037. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00204.1

Mignone BK, S Showalter, F Wood, HC McJeon, and D Steinberg.  2017.  “Sensitivity of Natural Gas Deployment in the US Power Sector to Future Carbon Policy Expectations.”  Energy Policy 110:518-524. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.08.012

Motesharrei S, J Rivas, E Kalnay, GR Asrar, A Busalacchi, RF Cahalan, M Cane, RR Colwell, K Feng, RS Franklin, K Hubacek, F Miralles-Wilhelm, T Miyoshi, M Ruth, R Sagdeev, A Shirmohammadi, J Shukla, J Srebric, VM Yakovenko, and N Zeng.  2016.  “Modeling sustainability: population, inequality, consumption, and bidirectional coupling of the Earth and Human Systems.”  National Science Review 3(4):470–494.  doi:10.1093/nsr/nww081

Muratori M, CM Ledna, HC McJeon, GP Kyle, PL Patel, SH Kim, MA Wise, H Kheshgi, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2017.  “Cost of Power or Power of Cost: a U.S. Modeling Perspective.”  Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews 77:861-874.  doi:10.1016/j.rser.2017.04.055

Muratori M, H Kheshgi, BK Mignone, LE Clarke, HC McJeon, and JA Edmonds.  2017. Carbon Capture and Storage across Fuels and Sectors in Energy System Transformation Pathways.”  International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 57:34-41. doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2016.11.026

Muratori M, SJ Smith, GP Kyle, RP Link, BK Mignone, and H Kheshgi.  2017.  Role of the Freight Sector in Future Climate Change Mitigation Scenarios.”  Environmental Science & Technology 51(6):3526–3533.  doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b04515

Muratori M, H Kheshgi, BK Mignone, HC McJeon, and LE Clarke.  2017.  “The future role of CCS in electricity and liquid fuel supply.”  Energy Procedia 114:7606 – 7614.  doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.1893

Pan X, W Chen, LE Clarke, L Wang, and L Guannan.  2017.  “China’s energy system transformation towards the 2 °C goal: Implications of different effort-sharing principles.”  Energy Policy 103:116-126.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.01.020

Phillips C, B Bond-Lamberty, AR Desai, M Lavoie, D Risk, J Tang, KEO Todd-Brown, and R Vargas.  2017.  “The value of soil respiration measurements for interpreting and modeling terrestrial carbon cycling.”  Plant and Soil 413(1):1-25.  doi:10.1007/s11104-016-3084-x

Prestele R, P Alexander, M Rounsevell, A Arneth, KV Calvin, J Doelman, D Eitelberg, K Engstrom, S Fujimori, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, F Humpenoder, AK Jain, T Krisztin, GP Kyle, P Meiyappan, A Popp, R Sands, R Schaldach, J Schungel, E Stehfest, A Tabeau, H van Meijl, J Van Vliet, and PH Verburg.  2016.  Hotspots of uncertainty in land use and land cover change projections: a global scale model comparison.”  Global Change Biology22(12):3967-3983.  doi:10.1111/gcb.13337

Rafique R, J Xia, O Hararuk, G Leng, GR Asrar, and Y Luo.  2017.  “Comparing the performance of three land models in global C cycle simulations: A detailed structural analysis.”  Land Degradation and Development 28(2):524-533.  doi:10.1002/ldr.2506

Rao S, Z Klimont, J Leitao, K Riahi, R van Dingenen, L Reis, KV Calvin, F Dentener, L Drouet, S Fujimori, JHM Harmsen, G Luderer, C Heyes, J Stefler, M Tavoni, and D Van Vuuren.  2016.  A multi-model assessment of the co-benefits of climate mitigation for global air quality.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(12):Article No. 124013.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124013

Rao S, Z Klimont, SJ Smith, R van Dingenen, F Dentener, L Bouwman, K Riahi, M Amann, B Bodirsky, D Van Vuuren, L Reis, KV Calvin, L Drouet, O Fricko, S Fujimori, D Gernaat, P Havlik, M Harmsen, T Hasegawa, C Heyes, J Hilaire, G Luderer, T Masui, E Stehfest, J Strefler, S van der Sluis, and M Tavoni.  2017.  Future Air Pollution in the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways.”  Global Environmental Change 42:346-358. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.012

Riahi K, D Van Vuuren, E Kriegler, JA Edmonds, B O’Neill, S Fujimori, N Bauer, KV Calvin, R Dellink, O Fricko, W Lutz, A Popp, J Crespo Cuaresma, S Kc, M Leimbach, L Jiang, T Kram, S Rao, J Emmerling, K Ebi, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, F Humpenoder, L Da Silva, SJ Smith, E Stehfest, V Bosetti, J Eom, D Gernaat, T Masui, J Rogelj, J Strefler, L Drouet, V Krey, G Luderer, M Harmsen, K Takahashi, L Baumstark, J Doelman, M Kainuma, Z Klimont, G Marangoni, H Lotze-Campen, M Obersteiner, A Tabeau, and M Tavoni.  2017.  The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their Energy, Land Use, and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Implications: An Overview.”  Global Environmental Change 42:153–168. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009

Sarofim M, ST Waldhoff, and SC Anenberg.  2017.  Valuing the ozone-related health benefits of methane emissions controls.”  Environmental and Resource Economics 66(1):45-63.  doi:10.1007/s10640-015-9937-6

Shu L, Q Jiang, X Zhang, and K Zhao.  2017.  “Potential and limitations of satellite laser altimetry for monitoring water surface dynamics: ICESat for US lakes.”  International Journal of Agricultural and Biological Engineering 10(5):154-165.  doi:10.25165/j.ijabe.20171005.3426

Stegen JC, CG Anderson, B Bond-Lamberty, AR Crump, X Chen, and NJ Hess.  2017.  “Soil respiration across a permafrost transition zone: spatial structure and environmental correlates.”  Biogeosciences14(18):4341-4354.  doi:10.5194/bg-14-4341-2017

Stevens B, S Fiedler, S Kinne, K Peters, S Rast, J Musse, SJ Smith, and T Mauritsen.  2017.  “MACv2-SP: A parameterization of anthropogenic aerosol optical properties and an associated Twomey effect for use in CMIP6.”  Geoscientific Model Development 10(1):433-452.  doi:10.5194/gmd-10-433-2017

Talati SK, H Zhai, GP Kyle, MG Morgan, PL Patel, and L Liu.  2016.  Consumptive Water Use from Electricity Generation in the Southwest under Alternative Climate, Technology and Policy Futures.”  Environmental Science & Technology 50(22):12095-12104. doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b01389

Thornton PE, KV Calvin, AD Jones, A Di Vittorio, B Bond-Lamberty, LM Chini, X Shi, J Mao, WD Collins, JA Edmonds, AM Thomson, JE Truesdale, AP Craig, M Branstetter, and GC Hurtt.  2017.  “Biospheric feedback effects in a synchronously coupled model of human and Earth systems.”  Nature Climate Change 7:496-500. doi:10.1038/nclimate3310

Turner SWD, JY Ng, and S Galelli.  2017.  “Examining global electricity supply vulnerability to climate change using a high-fidelity hydropower dam model.”  Science of the Total Environment 590-591:663-675. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.03.022

Turner SWD, J Bennett, D Robertson, and S Galelli.  2017.  “Complex relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in reservoir operations.”  Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 21(9):4841-4859.  doi:10.5194/hess-21-4841-2017

Voisin N, MI Hejazi, LYR Leung, L Liu, M Huang, H Li, and TK Tesfa.  2017.  “Effects of spatially distributed sectoral water management on the redistribution of water resources in an integrated water model.”  Water Resources Research 53(5):4253-4270. doi:10.1002/2016WR019767

Voisin N, MCW Kintner-Meyer, R Skaggs, TB Nguyen, D Wu, JA Dirks, YL Xie, and MI Hejazi.  2016.  “Vulnerability of the US Western Electric Grid to Hydro-Climatological Conditions: How bad can it get?”  Energy 115(Part 1):1-12.  doi:10.1016/j.energy.2016.08.059

Weaver CP, RH Moss, K Ebi, PH Gleick, P Stern, C Tebaldi, RS Wilson, and J Arvai.  2017.  “Reframing Climate Change Assessments Around Risk: Recommendations for the U.S. National Climate Assessment.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(8):Article No. 080201. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa7494

Willner S, CA Hartin, and R Gieseke.  2017.  “pyhector: A Python interface for the simple climate model Hector.”  The Journal of Open Source Software 2(12):Article No. 248.  doi:10.21105/joss.00248

Wise MA, M Muratori, and GP Kyle.  2017.  “Biojet Fuels and Emissions Mitigation in Aviation: an Integrated Assessment Modeling Analysis.”  Transportation Research. Part D. Transport and Environment 52(Part A):244 – 253.  doi:10.1016/j.trd.2017.03.006

Wolf J, GR Asrar, and TO West.  2017.  “Revised Methane Emissions Factors and Spatially Distributed Annual Carbon Fluxes for Global Livestock.”  Carbon Balance and Management 12:Article No. 16.  doi:10.1186/s13021-017-0084-y

Yan Z, C Liu, K Todd-Brown, Y Liu, B Bond-Lamberty, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Pore-scale Investigation on the Response of Heterotrophic Respiration to Moisture Conditions in Heterogeneous Soils.”  Biogeochemistry 131(1):121-134.  doi:10.1007/s10533-016-0270-0

Yang Q, X Zhang, X Xu, and GR Asrar.  2017.  “An analysis of terrestrial and aquatic environmental controls of riverine dissolved organic carbon in the conterminous United States.”  Water 9(6):383.  doi:10.3390/w9060383

Yang Q, and X Zhang.  2016. Improving SWAT for simulating water and carbon fluxes of forest ecosystems.” Science of the Total Environment 569–570, 1478–1488.  doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.06.238

Yang Y, H Wang, SJ Smith, PL Ma, and PJ Rasch.  2017.  “Source attribution of black carbon and its direct radiative forcing in China.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 17(6):4319-4336.  doi:10.5194/acp-17-4319-2017

Yang Y, H Wang, SJ Smith, RC Easter, Jr, PL Ma, Y Qian, H Yu, C Li, and PJ Rasch.  2017.  “Global source attribution of sulfate concentration and direct and indirect radiative forcing.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 17(14):8903-8922.  doi:10.5194/acp-17-8903-2017

Yeh S, GS Mishra, LM Fulton, GP Kyle, D McCollum, J Miller, P Cazzola, and J Teter.  2017.  Detailed assessment of global transport-energy models’ structures and projections.” Transportation Research. Part D. Transport and Environment 55:294–309.  doi:10.1016/j.trd.2016.11.001

Zhang X, Q Tang, X Liu, G Leng, and Z Li.  2017.  “Soil Moisture Drought monitoring and forecasting using satellite and climate model data over Southwestern China.”  Journal of Hydrometeorology 18(1):5-23.  doi:10.1175/JHM-D-16-0045.1

Zhang L, G Wang, Q Zheng, Y Liu, D Yu, X Shi, S Xing, H Chen, and X Fan.  2017.  “Quantifying the impacts of agricultural management and climate change on soil organic carbon changes in the uplands of Eastern China.”  Soil & Tillage Research 174:81-91. doi:10.1016/j.still.2017.06.005

Zhao S, H Hu, F Tian, Q Tie, L Wang, Y Liu, and C Shi.  2017.  “Divergence of stable isotopes in tap water across China.”  Scientific Reports 7:43653-43653.  doi:10.1038/srep43653

Zhou Q, AJ Blohm, and B Liu.  2017.  “Planning Framework for Mesolevel Optimization of Urban Runoff Control Schemes.”  Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 143(4):04016083.  doi:10.1061/(asce)wr.1943-5452.0000748

Zumkehr A, TW Hilton, M Whelan, SJ Smith, and E Campbell.  2017.  “Gridded anthropogenic emissions inventory and atmospheric transport of carbonyl sulfide in the U.S.” Journal of Geophysical Research. D. (Atmospheres)122(4):2169-2178.  doi:10.1002/2016JD025550

2016 Fiscal Year

Abbott B, JB Jones, EA Schuur, FS Chapin, WB Bowden, MS Bret-Harte, HE Epstein, MD Flannigan, TK Harms, TN Hollingsworth, M Mack, AD McGuire, SM Natali, A Rocha, SE Tank, M Turetsky, JE Vonk, KP Wickland, GR Aiken, HD Alexander, RM Amon, BW Benscoter, Y Bergeron, K Bishop, O Blarquez, B Bond-Lamberty, AL Breen, I Buffam, Y Cai, C Carcaillet, SK Carey, JM Chen, HY Chen, TR Christensen, LW Cooper, JHC Cornelissen, WJ de Groot, TH DeLuca, E Dorrepaal, N Fetcher, JC Finlay, BC Forbes, NH French, S Gauthier, MP Girardin, SJ Goetz, JG Goldammer, L Gough, P Grogan, L Guo, PE Higuera, L Hinzman, FS Hu, G Hugelius, EE Jafarov, R Jandt, JF Johnstone, J Karlsson, ES Kasischke, G Kattner, R Kelly, F Keuper, G Kling, P Kortelainen, J Kouki, P Kuhry, H Laudon, I Laurion, RW Macdonald, PJ Mann, P Martikainen, JW McClelland, U Molau, SF Oberbauer, D Olefeldt, D Pare, MA Parisien, S Payette, C Peng, OS Pokrovesky, EB Rastetter, PA Raymond, MK Raynolds, G Rein, JF Reynolds, M Robards, BM Rogers, C Schadel, K Schaefer, IK Schmidt, A Shvidenko, J Sky, RG Spencer, G Starr, RG Striegl, R Teisserenc, LJ Tranvik, T Virtanen, JM Welker, and S Zimov.  2016.  “Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire: an expert assessment.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(3):Article No. 034014.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014

Asrar GR, RH Moss, and K Jacobs.  2016.  “Challenges and Opportunities in Earth-Human Systems Research.”  Eos 97:, doi:10.1029/2016EO050919

Bauer N, J Hilaire, RJ Brecha, JA Edmonds, K Jiang, E Kriegler, HH Rogner, and F Sferra.  2016.  “Assessing global fossil fuel availability in a scenario framework.”  Energy 111:580-592. doi:10.1016/j.energy.2016.05.088

Bond-Lamberty B, H Bolton, Jr, SJ Fansler, A Heredia-Langner, C Liu, LA McCue, JL Smith, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Soil respiration and bacterial structure and function after 17 years of a reciprocal soil transplant experiment.”  PLoS One 11(3):e0150599.  doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0150599

Bond-Lamberty B, D Epron, JW Harden, M Harmon, FM Hoffman, J Kumar, AD McGuire, and R Vargas.  2016.  “Estimating heterotrophic respiration at large scales: challenges, approaches, and next steps.”  Ecosphere 7(6):e01380. doi:10.1002/ecs2.1380

Bond-Lamberty B, AP Smith, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Running an open experiment: transparency and reproducibility in soil and ecosystem science.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(8):084004.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/8/084004

Buizer JL, K Dow, ME Black, K Jacobs, A Waple, RH Moss, S Moser, A Luers, DI Gustafson, TC Richmond, SL Hays, and CB Field.  2016.  “Building a sustained climate assessment process.”  Climatic Change 135(1):23-37. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1501-4

Cai X, ZL Yang, JB Fisher, X Zhang, M Barlage, and F Chen.  2016.  “Integration of nitrogen dynamics into the Noah-MP land surface model v1.1 for climate and environmental predictions.”  Geoscientific Model Development 9(1):1-15.  doi:10.5194/gmd-9-1-2016

Calderon S, AC Alvarez, AM Loboguerrero, S Arango, KV Calvin, T Kober, K Daenzer, and K Fisher-Vanden.  2016.  “ACHIEVING CO2 REDUCTIONS IN COLOMBIA: EFFECTS OF CARBON TAXES AND ABATEMENT TARGETS.”  Energy Economics 56:575-586.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.05.010

Calvin KV, MA Wise, P Luckow, GP Kyle, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2016.  Implications of uncertain future fossil energy resources on bioenergy use and terrestrial carbon emissions.”  Climatic Change136(1):57-68.  doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0923-0

Calvin KV, RH Beach, A Gurgel, M Labriet, and AM Loboguerrero.  2016.  “Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land-Use Emissions in Latin America.”  Energy Economics 56:615–624.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.03.020

Calvin KV, S Rose, MA Wise, HC McJeon, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2015.  “Global Climate, Energy, and Economic Implications of International Energy Offsets Programs.”  Climatic Change 133(4):583-596. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1482-3

Clarke LE, J McFarland, C Octaviano, B van Ruijven, RH Beach, K Daenzer, S Herreras Martinez, A Lucena, A Kitous, M Labriet, AM Loboguerrero Rodriguez, A Mundra, and B van der Zwaan.  2016.  Long-Term Abatement Potential and Current Policy Trajectories in Latin American Countries.” Energy Economics 56:513–525.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.01.011

Di Sbroiavacca N, G Nadal, F Lallana, J Falzon, and KV Calvin.  2016.  “Emissions reduction scenarios in the Argentinean Energy Sector.”  Energy Economics 56:552-563.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.03.021

Fawcett A, GC Iyer, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, N Hultman, HC McJeon, J Rogelj, R Schuler, J Alsalam, GR Asrar, J Creason, M Jeong, J McFarland, A Mundra, and W Shi.  2015.  “Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change?”  Science 350(6265):1168-1169 .  doi:10.1126/science.aad5761

Gao J, A Zhang, SK Lam, X Zhang, AM Thomson, E Lin, K Jiang, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, GP Kyle, S Yu, Y Zhou, and S Zhou.  2016.  An integrated assessment of the potential of agricultural and forestry residues for energy production in China.”  Global Change Biology Bioenergy 8(5):880-893. doi:10.1111/gcbb.12305

Gillingham K, W Nordhaus, D Anthoff, GJ Blanford, V Bosetti, P Christensen, HC McJeon, JM Reilly, and P Sztorc.  2015.  “Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Multi-Model Comparison.”  National Bureau of Economic Research Article No. 21637.  doi:10.3386/w21637

Gough C, P Curtis, B Hardiman, C Scheuermann, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2016.  “Disturbance, complexity, and succession of net ecosystem production in North America’s temperate deciduous forests.”  Ecosphere 7(6):e01375. doi:10.1002/ecs2.1375

Hallegatte S, J Rogelj, M Allen, LE Clarke, O Edenhofer, CB Field, P Friedlingstein, L van Kesteren, R Knutti, K Mach, M Mastrandrea, A Michel, J Minx, M Oppenheimer, GK Plattner, K Riahi, M Schaeffer, T Stocker, and D Van Vuuren.  2016.  Mapping the climate change challenge.”  Nature Climate Change 6(7):663–668.  doi:10.1038/nclimate3057

Hartin CA, B Bond-Lamberty, PL Patel, and A Mundra.  2016.  “Ocean acidification over the next three centuries using a simple global climate carbon-cycle model: projections and sensitivities.”  Biogeosciences 13(15):4329-4342. doi:10.5194/bg-13-4329-2016

Hegre H, H Buhaug, KV Calvin, J Nordkvelle, ST Waldhoff, and EA Gilmore.  2016.  “Forecasting Civil Conflict along the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(5):Article No. 054002. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054002

Huang S, Q Huang, G Leng, and J Chang.  2016.  “A hybrid index for characterizing drought based on a nonparametric kernel estimator.”  Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 55(6):1377-1389. doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0295.1

Iyer GC, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, N Hultman, and HC McJeon.  2015.  “Long-term payoffs of near-term low-carbon deployment policies.”  Energy Policy 86:493–505. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.08.004

Iyer GC, JA Edmonds, AA Fawcett, N Hultman, J Alsalam, GR Asrar, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, J Creason, M Jeong, J McFarland, A Mundra, PL Patel, W Shi, and HC McJeon.  2015.  “The contribution of Paris to limit global warming to 2 °C.”  Environmental Research Letters 10(12):Article No. 125002.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125002

Kholod N, M Evans, E Gusev, S Yu, V Malyshev, S Tretyakova, and A Barinov.  2016.  “A Methodology for Calculating Transport Emissions in Cities with Limited Traffic Data: Case Study of Diesel Particulates and Black Carbon Emissions in Murmansk.”  Science of the Total Environment 547:305-313. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.12.151

Kholod N, and M Evans.  2016.  “Reducing Black Carbon Emissions from Diesel Vehicles in Russia: An Assessment and Policy Recommendations.”  Environmental Science & Policy 56:1-8.  doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2015.10.017

Kholod N, M Evans, and T Kuklinski.  2016.  Russia’s black carbon emissions: focus on diesel sources.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 16(17):11267-11281.  doi:10.5194/acp-16-11267-2016

Kim SH, MI Hejazi, L Liu, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, GP Kyle, PL Patel, MA Wise, and E Davies.  2016.  “Balancing Global Water Availability and Use at Basin Scale in an Integrated Assessment Model.”  Climatic Change 136(2):217-231. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1604-6

Kober T, J Falzon, B van der Zwaan, KV Calvin, A Kanudia, A Kitous, and M Labriet.  2016.  “A Multi-Model Study of Energy Supply Investments in Latin America under Climate Control Policy.”  Energy Economics 56:543–551. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.01.005

Kriegler E, I Mouratiadou, G Luderer, N Bauer, RJ Brecha, KV Calvin, E DeCian , JA Edmonds, K Jiang, M Tavoni, and O Edenhofer.  2016.  “Will economic growth and fossil fuel scarcity help or hinder climate stabilization? Overview of the RoSE multi-model study.”  Climatic Change 136(1):7-22.  doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1668-3

Kriegler E, I Mouratiadou, G Luderer, JA Edmonds, and O Edenhofer.  2016.  Introduction to the RoSE special issue on the impact of economic growth and fossil fuel availability on climate protection.”  Climatic Change 136(1):1-6. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1667-4

Kunkel KE, RH Moss, and A Parris.  2016.  “Innovations in science and scenarios for assessment.”  Climatic Change 135(1):55-68. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1494-z

Kyle GP, AM Thomson, MA Wise, and X Zhang.  2015.  “Assessment of the importance of spatial scale in long-term land use modelling of the Midwestern United States.”  Environmental Modelling & Software 72:261-271. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.06.006

Lawrence DM, GC Hurtt, A Arneth, V Brovkin, KV Calvin, AD Jones, CD Jones, P Lawrence, N de Noblet-Ducoudr, J Pongratz, SI Seneviratne, and E Shevliakova.  2016.  “The Land-Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) Contribution to CMIP6: Rationale and Experimental Design.”  Geoscientific Model Development 9(9):2973-2998.  doi:10.5194/gmd-2016-76

Leng G, X Zhang, M Huang, GR Asrar, and LY Leung.  2016.  “The Role of Climate Covariability on Crop Yields in the Conterminous United States.”  Scientific Reports 6:33160.  doi:10.1038/srep33160

Li H, LYR Leung, TK Tesfa, N Voisin, MI Hejazi, L Liu, Y Liu, JS Rice, H Wu, and X Yang.  2015.  “Modeling stream temperature in the Anthropocene: An earth system modeling approach.”  Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 7(4):1661-1679.  doi:10.1002/2015MS000471

Liu Y, MI Hejazi, GP Kyle, SH Kim, E Davies, D Miralles, A Teuling, Y He, and D Niyogi.  2016.  Global and regional evaluation of energy for water.”  Environmental Science & Technology 50(17):9736-9745. doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b01065

Lucas P, J Nielsen, KV Calvin, D McCollum, G Marangoni, J Strefler, B van der Zwaan, and D Van Vuuren.  2015.  “Future energy system challenges for Africa: Insights from Integrated Assessment Models.”  Energy Policy 86:705 – 717.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.08.017

Luderer G, C Bertram, KV Calvin, E De Cian, and E Kriegler.  2016.  Implications of weak near-term climate policies on long-term climate mitigation pathways .” Climatic Change 136(1):127-140. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0899-9

Luo Y, A Ahlstrom, SD Allison, NH Batjes, V Brovkin, N Carvalhais, A Chappell, P Ciais, EA Davidson, A Finzi, K Georgiou, B Guenet, O Hararuk, JW Harden, Y He, F Hopkins, L Jiang, C Koven, RB Jackson, CD Jones, MJ Lara, J Liang, AD McGuire, WJ Parton, C Peng, J Randerson, A Salazar, CA Sierra , MJ Smith, H Tian, KEO Todd-Brown, MS Torn, KJ van Groenigen, YP Wang, TO West, Y Wei, WR Wieder, J Xia, X Xu, X Xu, and T Zhou.  2016.  “Towards More Realistic Projections of Soil Carbon Dynamics by Earth System Models.” Global Biogeochemical Cycles 30(1):40-56.  doi:10.1002/2015GB005239

McFarland J, Y Zhou, LE Clarke, P Sullivan, J Colman, W Jaglom, M Colley, PL Patel, J Eom, SH Kim, GP Kyle, P Schultz, B Venkatesh, J Haydel, C Mack, and J Creason.  2015.  “Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison.”  Climatic Change 131(1):111-125.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1380-8

McFarland J, Y Zhou, LE Clarke, P Sullivan, J Colman, W Jaglom, M Colley, PL Patel, J Eom, SH Kim, GP Kyle, P Schultz, B Venkatesh, J Haydel, C Mack, and J Creason.  2015.  “Erratum to: Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison.”  Climatic Change 132(4):739. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1452-9

Moser S, J Melillo, K Jacobs, RH Moss, and JL Buizer.  2016.  “Aspirations and common tensions: larger lessons from the third US national climate assessment.”  Climatic Change 135(1):187-201.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1530-z

Moss RH.  2016.  “Assessing Decision Support Systems and Levels of Confidence to Narrow the Climate Information “Usability Gap”.”  Climatic Change 135(1):143-155.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1549-1

Muratori M, and G Rizzoni.  2016.  “Residential Demand Response: Dynamic Energy Management and Time-Varying Electricity Pricing.”  IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 31(2):1108 -1 117.  doi:10.1109/TPWRS.2015.2414880

ONeill BC, C Tebaldi, D Van Vuuren, V Eyring, P Fridelingstein, G Hurtt, R Knutti, E Kriegler, JF Lamarque, J Lowe, GA Meehl, RH Moss, K Riahi, and BM Sanderson.  2016.  The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6.” Geoscientific Model Development 9(9):3461-3482.  doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016

Orsi F, M Muratori, M Rocco, E Colombo, and G Rizzoni.  2016.  “A multi-dimensional well-to-wheels analysis of passenger vehicles in different regions: Primary energy consumption, CO2 emissions, and economic cost.”  Applied Energy 169:197-209.  doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.02.039

Rafique R, F Zhao, R de Jong, N Zeng, and GR Asrar.  2016.  “Global and Regional Variability and Change in Terrestrial Ecosystems Net Primary Production and NDVI: A Model-Data Comparison.”  Remote Sensing 8(3):177. doi:10.3390/rs8030177

Roshchanka V, and M Evans.  2016.  “Scaling up the Energy Service Company (ESCO) Business: Market Status and Company Feedback in the Russian Federation.”  Journal of Cleaner Production 112(5):3905–3914. doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.05.078

Schafer A, GP Kyle, and R Pietzcker.  2016.  Exploring the use of dynamic linear panel data models for evaluating energy/economy/environment models — an application for the transportation sector.”  Climatic Change 136(1):141-154.  doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1293-y

Schuelke-Leech BA, B Barry, M Muratori, and BJ Yurkovich.  2015.  “Big Data issues and opportunities for electric utilities.”  Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews 52:937-947.  doi:10.1016/j.rser.2015.07.128

Scott MJ, DS Daly, JE Hathaway, CS Lansing, Y Liu, HC McJeon, RH Moss, PL Patel, MJ Peterson, JS Rice, and Y Zhou.  2015.  “Calculating Impacts of Energy Standards on Energy Demand in U.S. Buildings with Uncertainty in an Integrated Assessment Model.”  Energy90(Part 2):1682-1694.  doi:10.1016/j.energy.2015.06.127

Scott MJ, DS Daly, MI Hejazi, GP Kyle, L Liu, HC McJeon, A Mundra, PL Patel, JS Rice, and N Voisin.  2016.  “Sensitivity of Future U.S. Water Shortages to Socioeconomic and Climate Drivers: A Case Study in Georgia Using an Integrated Human-Earth System Modeling Framework.”  Climatic Change 136(2):233-246. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1602-8

Simmons A, JL Fellous, V Ramaswamy, K Trenberth, GR Asrar, MA Balmaseda, JP Burrows, P Cias, M Drinkwater, P Friedlingstein, N Gobron, E Guilyardi, D Halpern, M Heimann, J Johannessen, PF Levelt, LB Ernesto, JE Penner, R Scholes, and T Shepherd.  2016.  “Observation and integrated Earth-system science: A roadmap for 2016–2025.”  Advances in Space Research 57(10):2037-2103. doi:10.1016/j.asr.2016.03.008

Smith SJ, S Rao, K Riahi, D van Vuuren, KV Calvin, and GP Kyle.  2016.  Future Aerosol Emissions: A Multi-Model Comparison.”  Climatic Change 138(1):13–24. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1733-y

Smith P, SJ Davis, F Creutzig, S Fuss, J Minx, B Gabrielle, E Kato, RB Jackson, AL Cowie, E Kriegler, D Van Vuuren, J Rogelj, P Ciais, J Milne, JG Canadell, D McCollum, G Peters, R Andrew, V Krey, G Shrestha, P Friedlingstein, T Gasser, A Grubler, WK Heidug, M Jonas, CD Jones, F Kraxner, E Littleton, J Lowe, J Moreira, N Nakicenovic, M Obersteiner, A Patwardhan, M Rogner, ES Rubin, A Sharifi, A Torvanger, Y Yamagata, JA Edmonds, and C Yongsung.  2015.  “Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions.”  Nature Climate Change 6(1):42-50.  doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE2870

van der Zwaan B, KV Calvin, and LE Clarke.  2016.  “Climate Mitigation in Latin America: Implications for Energy and Land Use: Preface to the Special Section on the findings of the CLIMACAP-LAMP Project.”  Energy Economics 56:495–498. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.05.005

van der Zwaan B, T Kober, S Calderon, LE Clarke, K Daenzer, A Kitous, M Labriet, A Lucena, C Octaviano, and N Di Sbroiavacca.  2016.  Energy technology roll-out for climate change mitigation: A multi-model study for Latin America.”  Energy Economics 56:526–542.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.11.019

van Ruijven B, K Daenzer, K Fisher-Vanden, T Kober, S Paltsev, RH Beach, S Calderon, KV Calvin, M Labriet, A Kitous, A Lucena, and D Van Vuuren.  2016.  “Baseline Projections for Latin America: Base-Year Assumptions, Key Drivers and Greenhouse Emissions.”  Energy Economics 56:499-512. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.02.003

vanVuuren D, H van Soest, K Riahi, LE Clarke, V Krey, E Kriegler, J Rogelj, M Schaeffer, and M Tavoni.  2016.  Carbon budgets and energy transition pathways.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(7):Article No. 075002.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/075002

Veysey J, C Octaviano, KV Calvin, S Martinez, A Kitous, J McFarland, and B van der Zwaan.  2016.  “Pathways to Mexico’s Climate Change Mitigation Targets: A Multi-Model Analysis.”  Energy Economics 56:587-599. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.04.011

Wang L, PL Patel, S Yu, B Liu, JD Mcleod, LE Clarke, and W Chen.  2016.  “Win-Win strategies to promote air pollutant control policies and non-fossil energy target regulation in China.”  Applied Energy 163:244-253. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.10.189

Wobus C, M Flanner, M Sarofim, MC Pinto de Moura, and SJ Smith.  2016.  Future Arctic Temperature Change resulting from a Range of Aerosol Emissions Scenarios.” Earths Future 4(6):270-281. doi:10.1002/2016EF000361

Wolf J, TO West, YLB Le Page, GP Kyle, X Zhang, G Collatz, and ML Imhoff.  2015.  “Biogenic carbon fluxes from global agricultural production and consumption.”  Global Biogeochemical Cycles 29(10):1617-1639. doi:10.1002/2015GB005119

Yang Q, X Zhang, X Xu, GR Asrar, RA Smith, JS Shih, and S Duan.  2016.  “Spatial patterns and environmental controls of particulate organic carbon in surface waters in the conterminous United States.” Science of the Total Environment 554-555:266-275.  doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.02.164

Yang Q, H Tian, X Li, W Ren, B Zhang, X Zhang, and J Wolf.  2016.  “Spatiotemporal patterns of livestock manure nutrient production in the conterminous United States from 1930 to 2012.”  Science of the Total Environment 541:1592-1602. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.10.044

Zhang L, Q Zhuang, Y He, Y Liu, D Yu, Q Zhao, X Shi, S Xing, and G Wang.  2016.  Toward optimal Soil Organic Carbon Sequestration with effects of Agricultural Management Practices and Climate Change in Tai-Lake Paddy Soils of China.” Geoderma 275:28-39. doi:10.1016/j.geoderma.2016.04.001

Zhang Y, JH Bowden, Z Adelman, V Naik, L Horowitz, SJ Smith, and J West.  2016.  “Co-benefits of global and regional greenhouse gas mitigation for US air quality in 2050.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 16(15):9533-9548.  doi:10.5194/acp-16-9533-2016

Zhao F, N Zeng, GR Asrar, P Friedlingstein, I Akihiko, AK Jain, E Kalnay, E Kato, C Koven, B Poulter, R Rafique, S Sitch, S Shu, B Stocker, N Viovy, A Wiltshire, and S Zaehle.  2016.  “Role of CO2, climate and land use in regulating the seasonal amplitude increase of carbon fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems: a multimodel analysis.”  Biogeosciences 13(17):5121-5137. doi:10.5194/bg-2016-121

Zhu Y, CJ Munro, MJ Olszta, DJ Edwards, AB Braunschweig, MR Knecht, and ND Browning.  2016.  Dose-rate controlled energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopic mapping of the metallic components in a biohybrid nanosystem.”  Semiconductor Science and Technology 31(8):Article No. 084002.  doi:10.1088/0268-1242/31/8/084002

2015 JGCRI PUBLICATIONS

 

Alonso, W. J., B. J. J. McCormick, M. A. Miller, C. Schuck-Paim, and G. R. Asrar (2015), Beyond crystal balls: crosscutting solutions in global health to prepare for an unpredictable future, BMC Public Health, 15(1), doi:10.1186/s12889-015-2285-1.

Arent, D. et al. (2015), A review of water and greenhouse gas impacts of unconventional natural gas development in the United States, MRS Energy & Sustainability, 2, doi:10.1557/mre.2015.5.

Barron, R., and H. McJeon (2015), The differential impact of low-carbon technologies on climate change mitigation cost under a range of socioeconomic and climate policy scenarios, Energy Policy, 80, 264–274, doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.01.038.

Bauer, N. et al. (2015), CO2 emission mitigation and fossil fuel markets: Dynamic and international aspects of climate policies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 243–256, doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.009.

Beach, R. H. et al. (2015), Climate change impacts on US agriculture and forestry: benefits of global climate stabilization, Environmental Research Letters, 10(9), 95004, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/095004.

Bertram, C., N. Johnson, G. Luderer, K. Riahi, M. Isaac, and J. Eom (2015), Carbon lock-in through capital stock inertia associated with weak near-term climate policies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 62–72, doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.001.

Bond-Lamberty, B., K. Calvin, A. D. Jones, J. Mao, P. Patel, X. Y. Shi, A. Thomson, P. Thornton, and Y. Zhou (2014), On linking an Earth system model to the equilibrium carbon representation of an economically optimizing land use model, Geoscientific Model Development, 7(6), 2545–2555, doi:10.5194/gmd-7-2545-2014.

Bond-Lamberty, B., J. P. Fisk, J. A. Holm, V. Bailey, G. Bohrer, and C. M. Gough (2015), Moderate forest disturbance as a stringent test for gap and big-leaf models, Biogeosciences, 12(2), 513–526, doi:10.5194/bg-12-513-2015.

Bosetti, V., G. Marangoni, E. Borgonovo, L. Diaz Anadon, R. Barron, H. C. McJeon, S. Politis, and P. Friley (2015), Sensitivity to energy technology costs: A multi-model comparison analysis, Energy Policy, 80, 244–263, doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2014.12.012.

Calvin, K., B. Bond-Lamberty, J. Edmonds, M. Hejazi, S. Waldhoff, M. Wise, and Y. Zhou (2015), The effects of climate sensitivity and carbon cycle interactions on mitigation policy stringency, Climatic Change, 131(1), 35–50, doi:10.1007/s10584-013-1026-7.

Campbell, J. E., M. E. Whelan, U. Seibt, S. J. Smith, J. A. Berry, and T. W. Hilton (2015), Atmospheric carbonyl sulfide sources from anthropogenic activity: Implications for carbon cycle constraints: Atmospheric OCS sources, Geophysical Research Letters, 42(8), 3004–3010, doi:10.1002/2015GL063445.

Chaturvedi, V., and S. H. Kim (2015), Long term energy and emission implications of a global shift to electricity-based public rail transportation system, Energy Policy, 81, 176–185, doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2014.11.013.

Chaturvedi, V., M. Hejazi, J. Edmonds, L. Clarke, P. Kyle, E. Davies, and M. Wise (2015), Climate mitigation policy implications for global irrigation water demand, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 20(3), 389–407, doi:10.1007/s11027-013-9497-4.

Chen, J. M., J. W. Fung, G. Mo, F. Deng, and T. O. West (2015), Atmospheric inversion of surface carbon flux with consideration of the spatial distribution of US crop production and consumption, Biogeosciences, 12(2), 323–343, doi:10.5194/bg-12-323-2015.

Collins, W. D. et al. (2015), The integrated Earth system model version 1: formulation and functionality, Geoscientific Model Development, 8(7), 2203–2219, doi:10.5194/gmd-8-2203-2015.

Davidson, C. L., D. J. Watson, J. J. Dooley, and R. T. Dahowski (2014a), Benefits and Costs of Brine Extraction for Increasing Injection Efficiency In geologic CO2 Sequestration, Energy Procedia, 63, 4745–4749, doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.504.

Davidson, C. L., R. T. Dahowski, J. J. Dooley, and B. P. McGrail (2014b), Modelling the Deployment of CO2 Storage in U.S. Gas-bearing Shales, Energy Procedia, 63, 7272–7279, doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.763.

Di Vittorio, A. V. et al. (2014), From land use to land cover: restoring the afforestation signal in a coupled integrated assessment–earth system model and the implications for CMIP5 RCP simulations, Biogeosciences, 11(22), 6435–6450, doi:10.5194/bg-11-6435-2014.

Engle, N. L., A. de Bremond, E. L. Malone, and R. H. Moss (2014), Towards a resilience indicator framework for making climate-change adaptation decisions, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 19(8), 1295–1312, doi:10.1007/s11027-013-9475-x.

Eom, J., J. Edmonds, V. Krey, N. Johnson, T. Longden, G. Luderer, K. Riahi, and D. P. Van Vuuren (2015), The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 73–88, doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.017.

Evans, M., N. Kholod, V. Malyshev, S. Tretyakova, E. Gusev, S. Yu, and A. Barinov (2015), Black carbon emissions from Russian diesel sources: case study of Murmansk, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15(14), 8349–8359, doi:10.5194/acp-15-8349-2015.

Falster, D. S. et al. (2015), BAAD: a Biomass And Allometry Database for woody plants: Ecological Archives E096-128, Ecology, 96(5), 1445–1445, doi:10.1890/14-1889.1.

Gernaat, D. E. H. J., K. Calvin, P. L. Lucas, G. Luderer, S. A. C. Otto, S. Rao, J. Strefler, and D. P. van Vuuren (2015), Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios, Global Environmental Change, 33, 142–153, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.04.010.

Hartin, C. A., P. Patel, A. Schwarber, R. P. Link, and B. P. Bond-Lamberty (2015), A simple object-oriented and open-source model for scientific and policy analyses of the global climate system – Hector v1.0, Geoscientific Model Development, 8(4), 939–955, doi:10.5194/gmd-8-939-2015.

Hejazi, M. I. et al. (2015), 21st century United States emissions mitigation could increase water stress more than the climate change it is mitigating, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112(34), 10635–10640, doi:10.1073/pnas.1421675112.

Iyer, G., N. Hultman, J. Eom, H. McJeon, P. Patel, and L. Clarke (2015a), Diffusion of low-carbon technologies and the feasibility of long-term climate targets, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 103–118, doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.08.025.

Iyer, G. C., L. E. Clarke, J. A. Edmonds, B. P. Flannery, N. E. Hultman, H. C. McJeon, and D. G. Victor (2015b), Improved representation of investment decisions in assessments of CO2 mitigation, Nature Climate Change, 5(5), 436–440, doi:10.1038/nclimate2553.

Jones, A. D., K. V. Calvin, W. D. Collins, and J. Edmonds (2015), Accounting for radiative forcing from albedo change in future global land-use scenarios, Climatic Change, 131(4), 691–703, doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1411-5.

King, A. W. et al. (2015), North America’s net terrestrial CO<sub>2</sub> exchange with the atmosphere 1990–2009, Biogeosciences, 12(2), 399–414, doi:10.5194/bg-12-399-2015.

Kraucunas, I. et al. (2015), Investigating the nexus of climate, energy, water, and land at decision-relevant scales: the Platform for Regional Integrated Modeling and Analysis (PRIMA), Climatic Change, 129(3–4), 573–588, doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1064-9.

Kriegler, E. et al. (2015), Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 45–61, doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.020.

Le Page, Y., D. Morton, B. Bond-Lamberty, J. M. C. Pereira, and G. Hurtt (2015), HESFIRE: a global fire model to explore the role of anthropogenic and weather drivers, Biogeosciences, 12(3), 887–903, doi:10.5194/bg-12-887-2015.

Leng, G., Q. Tang, M. Huang, and L. R. Leung (2015a), A comparative analysis of the impacts of climate change and irrigation on land surface and subsurface hydrology in the North China Plain, Regional Environmental Change, 15(2), 251–263, doi:10.1007/s10113-014-0640-x.

Leng, G., M. Huang, Q. Tang, and L. R. Leung (2015b), A modeling study of irrigation effects on global surface water and groundwater resources under a changing climate: IRRIGATION EFFECTS ON WATER RESOURCES, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 7(3), 1285–1304, doi:10.1002/2015MS000437.

Leng, G., Q. Tang, M. Huang, Y. Hong, and L. L. Ruby (2015c), Projected changes in mean and interannual variability of surface water over continental China, Science China Earth Sciences, 58(5), 739–754, doi:10.1007/s11430-014-4987-0.

Liu, L., M. Hejazi, P. Patel, P. Kyle, E. Davies, Y. Zhou, L. Clarke, and J. Edmonds (2015a), Water demands for electricity generation in the U.S.: Modeling different scenarios for the water–energy nexus, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 94, 318–334, doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2014.11.004.

Liu, Y. et al. (2015b), Agriculture intensifies soil moisture decline in Northern China, Scientific Reports, 5, 11261, doi:10.1038/srep11261.

Malone, E. L., and S. Kinnear (2015), How and why: complementary analyses of social network structures and cultural values: improving flood response networks in Queensland, Australia, Quality & Quantity, 49(1), 203–220, doi:10.1007/s11135-013-9982-6.

McFarland, J. et al. (2015), Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison, Climatic Change, 131(1), 111–125, doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1380-8.

McJeon, H. et al. (2014), Limited impact on decadal-scale climate change from increased use of natural gas, Nature, 514(7523), 482–485, doi:10.1038/nature13837.

Moura, M. C. P., S. J. Smith, and D. B. Belzer (2015), 120 Years of U.S. Residential Housing Stock and Floor Space, edited by W.-X. Zhou, PLOS ONE, 10(8), e0134135, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0134135.

Ogle, S. M. et al. (2015), An approach for verifying biogenic greenhouse gas emissions inventories with atmospheric CO 2 concentration data, Environmental Research Letters, 10(3), 34012, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/3/034012.

Pizer, W. et al. (2014), Using and improving the social cost of carbon, Science, 346(6214), 1189–1190, doi:10.1126/science.1259774.

Rafique, R., S. Kumar, Y. Luo, G. Kiely, and G. Asrar (2015a), An algorithmic calibration approach to identify globally optimal parameters for constraining the DayCent model, Ecological Modelling, 297, 196–200, doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.11.022.

Rafique, R., J. Xia, O. Hararuk, G. Asrar, Y. Wang, and Y. Luo (2015b), Divergent predictions of carbon storage between two global land models: attribution of the causes through traceability analysis, Earth System Dynamics Discussions, 6(2), 1579–1604, doi:10.5194/esdd-6-1579-2015.

Riahi, K. et al. (2015), Locked into Copenhagen pledges — Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 8–23, doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.016.

Robertson, G. P., P. R. Grace, R. C. Izaurralde, W. P. Parton, and X. Zhang (2014), CO2 emissions from crop residue-derived biofuels, Nature Climate Change, 4(11), 933–934, doi:10.1038/nclimate2402.

Sahajpal, R., X. Zhang, R. C. Izaurralde, I. Gelfand, and G. C. Hurtt (2014), Identifying representative crop rotation patterns and grassland loss in the US Western Corn Belt, Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 108, 173–182, doi:10.1016/j.compag.2014.08.005.

Sarofim, M. C., S. T. Waldhoff, and S. C. Anenberg (2015), Valuing the Ozone-Related Health Benefits of Methane Emission Controls, Environmental and Resource Economics, doi:10.1007/s10640-015-9937-6.

Schäfer, A., P. Kyle, and R. Pietzcker (2016), Exploring the use of dynamic linear panel data models for evaluating energy/economy/environment models — an application for the transportation sector, Climatic Change, 136(1), 141–154, doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1293-y.

Sinistore, J. C., D. J. Reinemann, R. C. Izaurralde, K. R. Cronin, P. J. Meier, T. M. Runge, and X. Zhang (2015), Life Cycle Assessment of Switchgrass Cellulosic Ethanol Production in the Wisconsin and Michigan Agricultural Contexts, BioEnergy Research, 8(3), 897–909, doi:10.1007/s12155-015-9611-4.

Smith, S. J. et al. (2015a), Long history of IAM comparisons, Nature Climate Change, 5(5), 391–391, doi:10.1038/nclimate2576.

Smith, S. J., J. Edmonds, C. A. Hartin, A. Mundra, and K. Calvin (2015b), Near-term acceleration in the rate of temperature change, Nature Climate Change, 5(4), 333–336, doi:10.1038/nclimate2552.

Strzepek, K. et al. (2015), Benefits of greenhouse gas mitigation on the supply, management, and use of water resources in the United States, Climatic Change, 131(1), 127–141, doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1279-9.

Tavoni, M. et al. (2014), Post-2020 climate agreements in the major economies assessed in the light of global models, Nature Climate Change, 5(2), 119–126, doi:10.1038/nclimate2475.

Tian, H. et al. (2015), Global patterns and controls of soil organic carbon dynamics as simulated by multiple terrestrial biosphere models: Current status and future directions: MODELING GLOBAL SOIL CARBON DYNAMICS, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29(6), 775–792, doi:10.1002/2014GB005021.

Waldhoff, S., D. Anthoff, S. Rose, and R. S. J. Tol (2014), The Marginal Damage Costs of Different Greenhouse Gases: An Application of FUND, Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 8(2014–31), 1, doi:10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2014-31.

Waldhoff, S. T., J. Martinich, M. Sarofim, B. DeAngelo, J. McFarland, L. Jantarasami, K. Shouse, A. Crimmins, S. Ohrel, and J. Li (2015), Overview of the special issue: a multi-model framework to achieve consistent evaluation of climate change impacts in the United States, Climatic Change, 131(1), 1–20, doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1206-0.

Yang, X., C. Liu, Y. Fang, R. Hinkle, H.-Y. Li, V. Bailey, and B. Bond-Lamberty (2015), Simulations of ecosystem hydrological processes using a unified multi-scale model, Ecological Modelling, 296, 93–101, doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.10.032.

Yin, X., W. Chen, J. Eom, L. E. Clarke, S. H. Kim, P. L. Patel, S. Yu, and G. P. Kyle (2015), China’s transportation energy consumption and CO2 emissions from a global perspective, Energy Policy, 82, 233–248, doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.03.021.

Zeng, N., F. Zhao, G. J. Collatz, E. Kalnay, R. J. Salawitch, T. O. West, and L. Guanter (2014), Agricultural Green Revolution as a driver of increasing atmospheric CO2 seasonal amplitude, Nature, 515(7527), 394–397, doi:10.1038/nature13893.

Zhang, X., R. C. Izaurralde, D. H. Manowitz, R. Sahajpal, T. O. West, A. M. Thomson, M. Xu, K. Zhao, S. D. LeDuc, and J. R. Williams (2015), Regional scale cropland carbon budgets: Evaluating a geospatial agricultural modeling system using inventory data, Environmental Modelling & Software, 63, 199–216, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.10.005.

Zhao, N., Y. Zhou, and E. L. Samson (2015), Correcting Incompatible DN Values and Geometric Errors in Nighttime Lights Time-Series Images, IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 53(4), 2039–2049, doi:10.1109/TGRS.2014.2352598.

Zhou, Y., M. Hejazi, S. Smith, J. Edmonds, H. Li, L. Clarke, K. Calvin, and A. Thomson (2015a), A comprehensive view of global potential for hydro-generated electricity, Energy Environ. Sci., 8(9), 2622–2633, doi:10.1039/C5EE00888C.

Zhou, Y., S. J. Smith, K. Zhao, M. Imhoff, A. Thomson, B. Bond-Lamberty, G. R. Asrar, X. Zhang, C. He, and C. D. Elvidge (2015b), A global map of urban extent from nightlights, Environmental Research Letters, 10(5), 54011, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054011.

 

 

Notable Publications Previous to 2015

DIVISION PUBLICATIONS

Searchable Database Here