2019 Fiscal Year

Arango-Aramburo, Santiago, Sean W.D. Turner, Kathryn Daenzer, Juan Pablo Ríos-Ocampo, Mohamad I. Hejazi, Tom Kober, Andrés C. Álvarez-Espinosa, Germán D. Romero-Otalora, and Bob van der Zwaan. “Climate Impacts on Hydropower in Colombia: A Multi-Model Assessment of Power Sector Adaptation Pathways.” Energy Policy128 (May 2019): 179–88.

Bjorkman, Anne D., Isla H. Myers-Smith, Sarah C. Elmendorf, Signe Normand, Nadja Rüger, Pieter S. A. Beck, Anne Blach-Overgaard, et al. “Plant Functional Trait Change across a Warming Tundra Biome.” Nature562, no. 7725 (October 2018): 57–62.

Bond-Lamberty, Ben, Kalyn Dorheim, Ryna Cui, Russell Horowitz, Abigail Snyder, Katherine Calvin, Leyang Feng, et al. “Gcamdata: An R Package for Preparation, Synthesis, and Tracking of Input Data for the GCAM Integrated Human-Earth Systems Model.” Journal of Open Research Software7 (March 14, 2019): 6.

Calvin, Katherine, Pralit Patel, Leon Clarke, Ghassem Asrar, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Ryna Yiyun Cui, Alan Di Vittorio, et al. “GCAM v5.1: Representing the Linkages between Energy, Water, Land, Climate, and Economic Systems.” Geoscientific Model Development12, no. 2 (February 15, 2019): 677–98.

Chen, Min, Chris R. Vernon, Maoyi Huang, Katherine V. Calvin, and Ian P. Kraucunas. “Calibration and Analysis of the Uncertainty in Downscaling Global Land Use and Land Cover Projections from GCAM Using Demeter (v1.0.0).” Geoscientific Model Development12, no. 5 (May 3, 2019): 1753–64.

Collalti, Alessio, Carlo Trotta, Trevor F. Keenan, Andreas Ibrom, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Ruediger Grote, Sara Vicca, et al. “Thinning Can Reduce Losses in Carbon Use Efficiency and Carbon Stocks in Managed Forests Under Warmer Climate.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems10, no. 10 (October 2018): 2427–52.

Feijoo, Felipe, Gokul C. Iyer, Charalampos Avraam, Sauleh A. Siddiqui, Leon E. Clarke, Sriram Sankaranarayanan, Matthew T. Binsted, et al. “The Future of Natural Gas Infrastructure Development in the United States.” Applied Energy228 (October 2018): 149–66.

Feijoo, Felipe, Bryan K Mignone, Haroon S Kheshgi, Corinne Hartin, Haewon McJeon, and Jae Edmonds. “Climate and Carbon Budget Implications of Linked Future Changes in CO 2and Non-CO 2Forcing.” Environmental Research Letters14, no. 4 (March 29, 2019): 044007.

Fiedler, Stephanie, Bjorn Stevens, Matthew Gidden, Steven J. Smith, Keywan Riahi, and Detlef van Vuuren. “First Forcing Estimates from the Future CMIP6 Scenarios Ofanthropogenic Aerosol Optical Properties and an Associated Twomeyeffect.” Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, October 16, 2018, 1–26.

Gidden, Matthew J., Keywan Riahi, Steven J. Smith, Shinichiro Fujimori, Gunnar Luderer, Elmar Kriegler, Detlef P. van Vuuren, et al. “Global Emissions Pathways under Different Socioeconomic Scenarios for Use in CMIP6: A Dataset of Harmonized Emissions Trajectories through the End of the Century.” Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, November 9, 2018, 1–42.

Gillingham, Kenneth, William Nordhaus, David Anthoff, Geoffrey Blanford, Valentina Bosetti, Peter Christensen, Haewon McJeon, and John Reilly. “Modeling Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment of Climate Change: A Multimodel Comparison.” Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists5, no. 4 (October 2018): 791–826.

Hoesly, Rachel M, and Steven J Smith. “Informing Energy Consumption Uncertainty: An Analysis of Energy Data Revisions.” Environmental Research Letters13, no. 12 (December 17, 2018): 124023.

Huang, Zhongwei, Mohamad Hejazi, Qiuhong Tang, Chris R. Vernon, Yaling Liu, Min Chen, and Kate Calvin. “Global Agricultural Green and Blue Water Consumption under Future Climate and Land Use Changes.” Journal of Hydrology574 (July 2019): 242–56.

Jones, Andrew D., Katherine V. Calvin, Xiaoying Shi, Alan V. Di Vittorio, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Peter E. Thornton, and William D. Collins. “Quantifying Human-Mediated Carbon Cycle Feedbacks.” Geophysical Research Letters45, no. 20 (October 28, 2018): 11,370-11,379.

Kim, Seungdo, Bruce E. Dale, Xuesong Zhang, Curtis Dinneen Jones, Ashwan Daram Reddy, and Roberto Cesar Izaurralde. “The Renewable Fuel Standard May Limit Overall Greenhouse Gas Savings by Corn Stover-Based Cellulosic Biofuels in the U.S. Midwest: Effects of the Regulatory Approach on Projected Emissions.” Environmental Science & Technology53, no. 5 (March 5, 2019): 2288–94.

Krey, Volker, Fei Guo, Peter Kolp, Wenji Zhou, Roberto Schaeffer, Aayushi Awasthy, Christoph Bertram, et al. “Looking under the Hood: A Comparison of Techno-Economic Assumptions across National and Global Integrated Assessment Models.” Energy172 (April 2019): 1254–67.

Li, Xiaoma, Yuyu Zhou, Sha Yu, Gensuo Jia, Huidong Li, and Wenliang Li. “Urban Heat Island Impacts on Building Energy Consumption: A Review of Approaches and Findings.” Energy174 (May 2019): 407–19.

Li, Xuecao, Yuyu Zhou, Jiyong Eom, Sha Yu, and Ghassem R. Asrar. “Projecting Global Urban Area Growth Through 2100 Based on Historical Time Series Data and Future Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.” Earth’s Future, April 4, 2019, 2019EF001152.

Li, Xuecao, Yuyu Zhou, Lin Meng, Ghassem Asrar, Amir Sapkota, and Frances Coates. “Characterizing the Relationship between Satellite Phenology and Pollen Season: A Case Study of Birch.” Remote Sensing of Environment222 (March 2019): 267–74.

Link, Robert, Abigail Snyder, Cary Lynch, Corinne Hartin, Ben Kravitz, and Ben Bond-Lamberty. “Fldgen v1.0: An Emulator with Internal Variability and Space–Time Correlation for Earth System Models.” Geoscientific Model Development12, no. 4 (April 12, 2019): 1477–89.

Liu, Dan, Elizabeth Toman, Zane Fuller, Gang Chen, Alexis Londo, Xuesong Zhang, and Kaiguang Zhao. “Integration of Historical Map and Aerial Imagery to Characterize Long-Term Land-Use Change and Landscape Dynamics: An Object-Based Analysis via Random Forests.” Ecological Indicators95 (December 2018): 595–605.


Liu, Liang, Taesung Hwang, Sungwon Lee, Yanfeng Ouyang, Bumsoo Lee, Steven J. Smith, Christopher W. Tessum, et al. “Health and Climate Impacts of Future United States Land Freight Modelled with Global-to-Urban Models.” Nature Sustainability2, no. 2 (February 2019): 105–12.

Liu, Lu, Mohamad Hejazi, Gokul Iyer, and Barton A. Forman. “Implications of Water Constraints on Electricity Capacity Expansion in the United States.” Nature Sustainability2, no. 3 (March 2019): 206–13.

Lou, Sijia, Yang Yang, Hailong Wang, Steven J. Smith, Yun Qian, and Philip J. Rasch. “Black Carbon Amplifies Haze Over the North China Plain by Weakening the East Asian Winter Monsoon.” Geophysical Research Letters46, no. 1 (January 16, 2019): 452–60.

Lucena, André F.P., Mohamad Hejazi, Eveline Vasquez-Arroyo, Sean Turner, Alexandre C. Köberle, Kathryn Daenzer, Pedro R.R. Rochedo, et al. “Interactions between Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation: The Case of Hydropower in Brazil.” Energy164 (December 2018): 1161–77.

Qi, Junyu, Xuesong Zhang, and Michael H. Cosh. “Modeling Soil Temperature in a Temperate Region: A Comparison between Empirical and Physically Based Methods in SWAT.” Ecological Engineering129 (April 2019): 134–43.

Qi, Junyu, Xuesong Zhang, Gregory W. McCarty, Ali M. Sadeghi, Michael H. Cosh, Xubin Zeng, Feng Gao, et al. “Assessing the Performance of a Physically-Based Soil Moisture Module Integrated within the Soil and Water Assessment Tool.” Environmental Modelling & Software109 (November 2018): 329–41.

Qi, Junyu, Xuesong Zhang, and Qianfeng Wang. “Improving Hydrological Simulation in the Upper Mississippi River Basin through Enhanced Freeze-Thaw Cycle Representation.” Journal of Hydrology571 (April 2019): 605–18.

Qiu, Jiali, Zhenyao Shen, Maoyi Huang, and Xuesong Zhang. “Exploring Effective Best Management Practices in the Miyun Reservoir Watershed, China.” Ecological Engineering123 (November 2018): 30–42.

Qiu, Jiali, Qichun Yang, Xuesong Zhang, Maoyi Huang, Jennifer C. Adam, and Keyvan Malek. “Implications of Water Management Representations for Watershed Hydrologic Modeling in the Yakima River Basin.” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences23, no. 1 (January 3, 2019): 35–49.

Santos Da Silva, Silvia R., Fernando Miralles-Wilhelm, Raul Muñoz-Castillo, Leon E. Clarke, Caleb J. Braun, Alison Delgado, James A. Edmonds, et al. “The Paris Pledges and the Energy-Water-Land Nexus in Latin America: Exploring Implications of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions.” Edited by Puneet Dwivedi. PLOS ONE14, no. 4 (April 16, 2019): e0215013.

Saravia, Leonardo A., Santiago R. Doyle, and Ben Bond-Lamberty. “Power Laws and Critical Fragmentation in Global Forests.” Scientific Reports8, no. 1 (December 2018): 17766.


Sinha, E., A. M. Michalak, K. V. Calvin, and P. J. Lawrence. “Societal Decisions about Climate Mitigation Will Have Dramatic Impacts on Eutrophication in the 21st Century.” Nature Communications10, no. 1 (December 2019): 939.

Snyder, Abigail, Katherine V. Calvin, Meridel Phillips, and Alex C. Ruane. “A Crop Yield Change Emulator for Use in GCAM and Similar Models: Persephone v1.0.” Geoscientific Model Development12, no. 4 (April 3, 2019): 1319–50.

Turner, Sean W. D., Mohamad Hejazi, Catherine Yonkofski, Son H. Kim, and Page Kyle. “Influence of Groundwater Extraction Costs and Resource Depletion Limits on Simulated Global Nonrenewable Water Withdrawals Over the Twenty‐First Century.” Earth’s Future7, no. 2 (February 2019): 123–35.

Turner, Sean W.D., Mohamad Hejazi, Katherine Calvin, Page Kyle, and Sonny Kim. “A Pathway of Global Food Supply Adaptation in a World with Increasingly Constrained Groundwater.” Science of The Total Environment673 (July 2019): 165–76.

Vernon, Chris R., Mohamad I. Hejazi, Sean W. D. Turner, Yaling Liu, Caleb J. Braun, Xinya Li, and Robert P. Link. “A Global Hydrologic Framework to Accelerate Scientific Discovery.” Journal of Open Research Software7 (January 7, 2019): 1.

Wang, Xin, Jin Wu, Min Chen, Xiangtao Xu, Zhenhua Wang, Bin Wang, Chengzhang Wang, et al. “Field Evidences for the Positive Effects of Aerosols on Tree Growth.” Global Change Biology24, no. 10 (October 2018): 4983–92.

Weber, Christopher, David L. McCollum, Jae Edmonds, Pedro Faria, Alban Pyanet, Joeri Rogelj, Massimo Tavoni, Jakob Thoma, and Elmar Kriegler. “Mitigation Scenarios Must Cater to New Users.” Nature Climate Change8, no. 10 (October 2018): 845–48.

Yang, Qichun, Xuesong Zhang, James E. Almendinger, Maoyi Huang, Guoyong Leng, Yuyu Zhou, Kaiguang Zhao, Ghassem R. Asrar, Xia Li, and Jiali Qiu. “Improving the SWAT Forest Module for Enhancing Water Resource Projections: A Case Study in the St. Croix River Basin.” Hydrological Processes, December 16, 2018, hyp.13370.

Yang, Yang, Steven J. Smith, Hailong Wang, Catrin M. Mills, and Philip J. Rasch. “Variability, Timescales, and Nonlinearity in Climate Responses to Black Carbon Emissions.” Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics19, no. 4 (February 25, 2019): 2405–20.

Yigzaw, Wondmagegn, Hong-Yi Li, Yonas Demissie, Mohamad I. Hejazi, L. Ruby Leung, Nathalie Voisin, and Rob Payn. “A New Global Storage-Area-Depth Data Set for Modeling Reservoirs in Land Surface and Earth System Models.” Water Resources Research54, no. 12 (December 2018): 10,372-10,386.

Yu, Sha, Jill Horing, Qiang Liu, Robert Dahowski, Casie Davidson, James Edmonds, Bo Liu, et al. “CCUS in China’s Mitigation Strategy: Insights from Integrated Assessment Modeling.” International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control84 (May 2019): 204–18.


Zhang, Liming, Qiaofeng Zheng, Yaling Liu, Shaogui Liu, Dongsheng Yu, Xuezheng Shi, Shihe Xing, Hanyue Chen, and Xieyu Fan. “Combined Effects of Temperature and Precipitation on Soil Organic Carbon Changes in the Uplands of Eastern China.” Geoderma337 (March 2019): 1105–15.

Zhou, Yuyu, Xuecao Li, Ghassem R. Asrar, Steven J. Smith, and Marc Imhoff. “A Global Record of Annual Urban Dynamics (1992–2013) from Nighttime Lights.” Remote Sensing of Environment219 (December 2018): 206–20.

2018 Fiscal Year

Anderson-Teixeira, Kristina J., Maria M. H. Wang, Jennifer C. McGarvey, Valentine Herrmann, Alan J. Tepley, Ben Bond-Lamberty, and David S. LeBauer. “ForC: A Global Database of Forest Carbon Stocks and Fluxes.” Ecology99, no. 6 (June 2018): 1507–1507.

Bailey, Vanessa L., Ben Bond-Lamberty, Kristen DeAngelis, A. Stuart Grandy, Christine V. Hawkes, Kate Heckman, Kate Lajtha, et al. “Soil Carbon Cycling Proxies: Understanding Their Critical Role in Predicting Climate Change Feedbacks.” Global Change Biology24, no. 3 (March 2018): 895–905.

Barba, Josep, Alejandro Cueva, Michael Bahn, Greg A. Barron-Gafford, Benjamin Bond-Lamberty, Paul J. Hanson, Aline Jaimes, et al. “Comparing Ecosystem and Soil Respiration: Review and Key Challenges of Tower-Based and Soil Measurements.” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology249 (February 2018): 434–43.

Bauer, Nico, Steven K. Rose, Shinichiro Fujimori, Detlef P. van Vuuren, John Weyant, Marshall Wise, Yiyun Cui, et al. “Global Energy Sector Emission Reductions and Bioenergy Use: Overview of the Bioenergy Demand Phase of the EMF-33 Model Comparison.” Climatic Change, July 2, 2018.

Bond-Lamberty, B. “Data Sharing and Scientific Impact in Eddy Covariance Research.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences123, no. 4 (April 2018): 1440–43.

Bond-Lamberty, Ben. “New Techniques and Data for Understanding the Global Soil Respiration Flux.” Earth’s Future6, no. 9 (September 2018): 1176–80.

Bond-Lamberty, Ben, Vanessa L. Bailey, Min Chen, Christopher M. Gough, and Rodrigo Vargas. “Globally Rising Soil Heterotrophic Respiration over Recent Decades.” Nature560, no. 7716 (August 2018): 80–83.

Butler, Ethan E., Abhirup Datta, Habacuc Flores-Moreno, Ming Chen, Kirk R. Wythers, Farideh Fazayeli, Arindam Banerjee, et al. “Mapping Local and Global Variability in Plant Trait Distributions.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences114, no. 51 (December 19, 2017): E10937–46.

Calvin, Kate, and Karen Fisher-Vanden. “Quantifying the Indirect Impacts of Climate on Agriculture: An Inter-Method Comparison.” Environmental Research Letters12, no. 11 (November 1, 2017): 115004.

Calvin, Katherine, and Ben Bond-Lamberty. “Integrated Human-Earth System Modeling—State of the Science and Future Directions.” Environmental Research Letters13, no. 6 (June 1, 2018): 063006.

Clarke, Leon, Jiyong Eom, Elke Hodson Marten, Russell Horowitz, Page Kyle, Robert Link, Bryan K. Mignone, Anupriya Mundra, and Yuyu Zhou. “Effects of Long-Term Climate Change on Global Building Energy Expenditures.” Energy Economics72 (May 2018): 667–77.

Cui, Ryna Yiyun, Katherine Calvin, Leon Clarke, Mohamad Hejazi, Son Kim, Page Kyle, Pralit Patel, Sean Turner, and Marshall Wise. “Regional Responses to Future, Demand-Driven Water Scarcity.” Environmental Research Letters13, no. 9 (August 31, 2018): 094006.

Davis, Steven J., Nathan S. Lewis, Matthew Shaner, Sonia Aggarwal, Doug Arent, Inês L. Azevedo, Sally M. Benson, et al. “Net-Zero Emissions Energy Systems.” Science360, no. 6396 (June 29, 2018): eaas9793.

Edmonds, James A., Robert Link, Stephanie T. Waldhoff, and Ryna Cui. “A GLOBAL FOOD DEMAND MODEL FOR THE ASSESSMENT OF COMPLEX HUMAN-EARTH SYSTEMS.” Climate Change Economics08, no. 04 (November 2017): 1750012.

Evans, Meredydd, Sha Yu, Aaron Staniszewski, Luting Jin, and Artur Denysenko. “The International Implications of National and Local Coordination on Building Energy Codes: Case Studies in Six Cities.” Journal of Cleaner Production191 (August 2018): 127–34.

Fragkos, Panagiotis, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Leonidas Paroussos, Roberta Pierfederici, Saritha S. Vishwanathan, Alexandre C. Köberle, Gokul Iyer, Chen-Min He, and Ken Oshiro. “Coupling National and Global Models to Explore Policy Impacts of NDCs.” Energy Policy118 (July 2018): 462–73.

Garvin, J. B., D. A. Slayback, V. Ferrini, J. Frawley, C. Giguere, G. R. Asrar, and K. Andersen. “Monitoring and Modeling the Rapid Evolution of Earth’s Newest Volcanic Island:Hunga Tonga Hunga Ha’apai(Tonga) Using High Spatial Resolution Satellite Observations.” Geophysical Research Letters45, no. 8 (April 28, 2018): 3445–52.

Gidden, Matthew J., Shinichiro Fujimori, Maarten van den Berg, David Klein, Steven J. Smith, Detlef P. van Vuuren, and Keywan Riahi. “A Methodology and Implementation of Automated Emissions Harmonization for Use in Integrated Assessment Models.” Environmental Modelling & Software105 (July 2018): 187–200.

Guan, Kaiyu, Stephen P Good, Kelly K Caylor, David Medvigy, Ming Pan, Eric F Wood, Hisashi Sato, et al. “Simulated Sensitivity of African Terrestrial Ecosystem Photosynthesis to Rainfall Frequency, Intensity, and Rainy Season Length.” Environmental Research Letters13, no. 2 (February 1, 2018): 025013.

Gulbeyaz, Onder, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Zuhal Akyurek, and Tristram O West. “A New Approach to Evaluate the MODIS Annual NPP Product (MOD17A3) Using Forest Field Data from Turkey.” International Journal of Remote Sensing39, no. 8 (April 18, 2018): 2560–78.

Harden, Jennifer W., Gustaf Hugelius, Anders Ahlström, Joseph C. Blankinship, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Corey R. Lawrence, Julie Loisel, et al. “Networking Our Science to Characterize the State, Vulnerabilities, and Management Opportunities of Soil Organic Matter.” Global Change Biology24, no. 2 (February 2018): e705–18.

Hasegawa, Tomoko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Petr Havlík, Hugo Valin, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jonathan C. Doelman, Thomas Fellmann, et al. “Risk of Increased Food Insecurity under Stringent Global Climate Change Mitigation Policy.” Nature Climate Change8, no. 8 (August 2018): 699–703.

Hodson, Elke L., Maxwell Brown, Stuart Cohen, Sharon Showalter, Marshall Wise, Frances Wood, Justin Caron, Felipe Feijoo, Gokul Iyer, and Kathryne Cleary. “U.S. Energy Sector Impacts of Technology Innovation, Fuel Price, and Electric Sector CO2 Policy: Results from the EMF 32 Model Intercomparison Study.” Energy Economics73 (June 2018): 352–70.

Hoesly, Rachel M., Steven J. Smith, Leyang Feng, Zbigniew Klimont, Greet Janssens-Maenhout, Tyler Pitkanen, Jonathan J. Seibert, et al. “Historical (1750–2014) Anthropogenic Emissions of Reactive Gases and Aerosols from the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS).” Geoscientific Model Development11, no. 1 (January 29, 2018): 369–408.

Huang, Zhongwei, Mohamad Hejazi, Xinya Li, Qiuhong Tang, Chris Vernon, Guoyong Leng, Yaling Liu, et al. “Reconstruction of Global Gridded Monthly Sectoral Water Withdrawals for 1971–2010 and Analysis of Their Spatiotemporal Patterns.” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences22, no. 4 (April 6, 2018): 2117–33.

Iyer, Gokul, Katherine Calvin, Leon Clarke, James Edmonds, Nathan Hultman, Corinne Hartin, Haewon McJeon, Joseph Aldy, and William Pizer. “Implications of Sustainable Development Considerations for Comparability across Nationally Determined Contributions.” Nature Climate Change8, no. 2 (February 2018): 124–29.

Iyer, Gokul, and James Edmonds. “Interpreting Energy Scenarios.” Nature Energy3, no. 5 (May 2018): 357–58.

Iyer, Gokul, Catherine Ledna, Leon Clarke, James Edmonds, Haewon McJeon, Page Kyle, and James H Williams. “Measuring Progress from Nationally Determined Contributions to Mid-Century Strategies.” Nature Climate Change7, no. 12 (December 2017): 871–74.

Jones, Curtis D., Xuesong Zhang, Ashwan D. Reddy, G. Philip Robertson, and Roberto César Izaurralde. “The Greenhouse Gas Intensity and Potential Biofuel Production Capacity of Maize Stover Harvest in the US Midwest.” GCB Bioenergy9, no. 10 (October 2017): 1543–54.

Lamontagne, Jonathan R., Patrick M. Reed, Robert Link, Katherine V. Calvin, Leon E. Clarke, and James A. Edmonds. “Large Ensemble Analytic Framework for Consequence-Driven Discovery of Climate Change Scenarios.” Earth’s Future6, no. 3 (March 2018): 488–504.

Le Page, Yannick, Douglas Morton, Corinne Hartin, Ben Bond-Lamberty, José Miguel Cardoso Pereira, George Hurtt, and Ghassem Asrar. “Synergy between Land Use and Climate Change Increases Future Fire Risk in Amazon Forests.” Earth System Dynamics8, no. 4 (December 20, 2017): 1237–46.

Li, Fang, David M. Lawrence, and Ben Bond-Lamberty. “Human Impacts on 20th Century Fire Dynamics and Implications for Global Carbon and Water Trajectories.” Global and Planetary Change162 (March 2018): 18–27.

Li, Wenliang, Yuyu Zhou, Kristen Cetin, Jiyong Eom, Yu Wang, Gang Chen, and Xuesong Zhang. “Modeling Urban Building Energy Use: A Review of Modeling Approaches and Procedures.” Energy141 (December 2017): 2445–57.

Li, Wenliang, Yuyu Zhou, Kristen S. Cetin, Sha Yu, Yu Wang, and Bingqing Liang. “Developing a Landscape of Urban Building Energy Use with Improved Spatiotemporal Representations in a Cool-Humid Climate.” Building and Environment136 (May 2018): 107–17.

Li, Xia, Chandana Mitra, Li Dong, and Qichun Yang. “Understanding Land Use Change Impacts on Microclimate Using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model.” Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C103 (February 2018): 115–26.

Li, Xiaoma, Yuyu Zhou, Ghassem R. Asrar, Marc Imhoff, and Xuecao Li. “The Surface Urban Heat Island Response to Urban Expansion: A Panel Analysis for the Conterminous United States.” Science of The Total Environment605–606 (December 2017): 426–35.

Li, Xiaoma, Yuyu Zhou, Ghassem R. Asrar, and Zhengyuan Zhu. “Creating a Seamless 1 Km Resolution Daily Land Surface Temperature Dataset for Urban and Surrounding Areas in the Conterminous United States.” Remote Sensing of Environment206 (March 2018): 84–97.

———. “Developing a 1 Km Resolution Daily Air Temperature Dataset for Urban and Surrounding Areas in the Conterminous United States.” Remote Sensing of Environment215 (September 2018): 74–84.

Li, Xinya, Chris R. Vernon, Mohamad I. Hejazi, Robert P. Link, Zhongwei Huang, Lu Liu, and Leyang Feng. “Tethys – A Python Package for Spatial and Temporal Downscaling of Global Water Withdrawals.” Journal of Open Research Software6 (February 9, 2018).

Li, Xuecao, Yuyu Zhou, Ghassem R. Asrar, and Lin Meng. “Characterizing Spatiotemporal Dynamics in Phenology of Urban Ecosystems Based on Landsat Data.” Science of The Total Environment605–606 (December 2017): 721–34.

Liu, Yaling, Mohamad Hejazi, Hongyi Li, Xuesong Zhang, and Guoyong Leng. “A Hydrological Emulator for Global Applications – HE v1.0.0.” Geoscientific Model Development11, no. 3 (March 23, 2018): 1077–92.

Lu, Xiaoliang, Zhunqiao Liu, Shuqing An, Diego G. Miralles, Wouter Maes, Yaling Liu, and Jianwu Tang. “Potential of Solar-Induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence to Estimate Transpiration in a Temperate Forest.” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology252 (April 2018): 75–87.

Lu, Xiaoliang, Yuyu Zhou, Yaling Liu, and Yannick Le Page. “The Role of Protected Areas in Land Use/Land Cover Change and the Carbon Cycle in the Conterminous United States.” Global Change Biology24, no. 2 (February 2018): 617–30.

Lu, Xiaoliang, Yuyu Zhou, Qianlai Zhuang, Catherine Prigent, Yaling Liu, and Adriaan Teuling. “Increasing Methane Emissions From Natural Land Ecosystems Due to Sea-Level Rise.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences123, no. 5 (May 2018): 1756–68.

Luderer, Gunnar, Zoi Vrontisi, Christoph Bertram, Oreane Y. Edelenbosch, Robert C. Pietzcker, Joeri Rogelj, Harmen Sytze De Boer, et al. “Residual Fossil CO2 Emissions in 1.5–2 °C Pathways.” Nature Climate Change8, no. 7 (July 2018): 626–33.

Luo, Wei, Michael Steptoe, Zheng Chang, Robert Link, Leon Clarke, and Ross Maciejewski. “Impact of Spatial Scales on the Intercomparison of Climate Scenarios.” IEEE Computer Graphics and Applications37, no. 5 (2017): 40–49.

Markandya, Anil, Jon Sampedro, Steven J Smith, Rita Van Dingenen, Cristina Pizarro-Irizar, Iñaki Arto, and Mikel González-Eguino. “Health Co-Benefits from Air Pollution and Mitigation Costs of the Paris Agreement: A Modelling Study.” The Lancet Planetary Health2, no. 3 (March 2018): e126–33.

McCollum, David L., Wenji Zhou, Christoph Bertram, Harmen-Sytze de Boer, Valentina Bosetti, Sebastian Busch, Jacques Després, et al. “Energy Investment Needs for Fulfilling the Paris Agreement and Achieving the Sustainable Development Goals.” Nature Energy3, no. 7 (July 2018): 589–99.

Menzo, Zachary, Scott Elliott, Corinne Hartin, Forrest Hoffman, and Shanlin Wang. “Climate Change Impacts on Natural Sulfur Production: Ocean Acidification and Community Shifts.” Atmosphere9, no. 5 (May 1, 2018): 167.

Mignone, Bryan K., Sharon Showalter, Frances Wood, Haewon McJeon, and Daniel Steinberg. “Sensitivity of Natural Gas Deployment in the US Power Sector to Future Carbon Policy Expectations.” Energy Policy110 (November 2017): 518–24.

Mouratiadou, I., M. Bevione, D. L. Bijl, L. Drouet, M. Hejazi, S. Mima, M. Pehl, and G. Luderer. “Water Demand for Electricity in Deep Decarbonisation Scenarios: A Multi-Model Assessment.” Climatic Change147, no. 1–2 (March 2018): 91–106.

Ou, Yang, Wenjing Shi, Steven J. Smith, Catherine M. Ledna, J. Jason West, Christopher G. Nolte, and Daniel H. Loughlin. “Estimating Environmental Co-Benefits of U.S. Low-Carbon Pathways Using an Integrated Assessment Model with State-Level Resolution.” Applied Energy216 (April 2018): 482–93.

Paladugula, Anantha Lakshmi, Nazar Kholod, Vaibhav Chaturvedi, Probal Pratap Ghosh, Sarbojit Pal, Leon Clarke, Meredydd Evans, et al. “A Multi-Model Assessment of Energy and Emissions for India’s Transportation Sector through 2050.” Energy Policy116 (May 2018): 10–18.

Peng, Bin, Kaiyu Guan, Min Chen, David M. Lawrence, Yadu Pokhrel, Andrew Suyker, Timothy Arkebauer, and Yaqiong Lu. “Improving Maize Growth Processes in the Community Land Model: Implementation and Evaluation.” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology250–251 (March 2018): 64–89.

Petrakis, Sandra, Josep Barba, Ben Bond-Lamberty, and Rodrigo Vargas. “Using Greenhouse Gas Fluxes to Define Soil Functional Types.” Plant and Soil423, no. 1–2 (February 2018): 285–94.

Richardson, Andrew D., Koen Hufkens, Tom Milliman, Donald M. Aubrecht, Min Chen, Josh M. Gray, Miriam R. Johnston, et al. “Tracking Vegetation Phenology across Diverse North American Biomes Using PhenoCam Imagery.” Scientific Data5 (March 13, 2018): 180028.

Rogelj, Joeri, Alexander Popp, Katherine V. Calvin, Gunnar Luderer, Johannes Emmerling, David Gernaat, Shinichiro Fujimori, et al. “Scenarios towards Limiting Global Mean Temperature Increase below 1.5 °C.” Nature Climate Change8, no. 4 (April 2018): 325–32.

Roshchanka, Volha, Meredydd Evans, Felicia Ruiz, and Nazar Kholod. “A Strategic Approach to Selecting Policy Mechanisms for Addressing Coal Mine Methane Emissions: A Case Study on Kazakhstan.” Environmental Science & Policy78 (December 2017): 185–92.

Ruane, Alex C, Cynthia Rosenzweig, Senthold Asseng, Kenneth J Boote, Joshua Elliott, Frank Ewert, James W Jones, et al. “An AgMIP Framework for Improved Agricultural Representation in Integrated Assessment Models.” Environmental Research Letters12, no. 12 (December 1, 2017): 125003.

Seneviratne, Sonia I., Richard Wartenburger, Benoit P. Guillod, Annette L. Hirsch, Martha M. Vogel, Victor Brovkin, Detlef P. van Vuuren, et al. “Climate Extremes, Land–Climate Feedbacks and Land-Use Forcing at 1.5°C.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical,                                                 Physical and Engineering Sciences376, no. 2119 (May 13, 2018): 20160450.

Shi, Wenjing, Yang Ou, Steven J. Smith, Catherine M. Ledna, Christopher G. Nolte, and Daniel H. Loughlin. “Projecting State-Level Air Pollutant Emissions Using an Integrated Assessment Model: GCAM-USA.” Applied Energy208 (December 2017): 511–21.

Sihi, Debjani, Eric A. Davidson, Min Chen, Kathleen E. Savage, Andrew D. Richardson, Trevor F. Keenan, and David Y. Hollinger. “Merging a Mechanistic Enzymatic Model of Soil Heterotrophic Respiration into an Ecosystem Model in Two AmeriFlux Sites of Northeastern USA.” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology252 (April 2018): 155–66.

Smith, A. Peyton, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Brian W. Benscoter, Malak M. Tfaily, C. Ross Hinkle, Chongxuan Liu, and Vanessa L. Bailey. “Shifts in Pore Connectivity from Precipitation versus Groundwater Rewetting Increases Soil Carbon Loss after Drought.” Nature Communications8, no. 1 (December 2017).

Snyder, Abigail C., Robert P. Link, and Katherine V. Calvin. “Evaluation of Integrated Assessment Model Hindcast Experiments: A Case Study of the GCAM 3.0 Land Use Module.” Geoscientific Model Development10, no. 12 (November 29, 2017): 4307–19.

Srinivasan, Shweta, Nazar Kholod, Vaibhav Chaturvedi, Probal Pratap Ghosh, Ritu Mathur, Leon Clarke, Meredydd Evans, et al. “Water for Electricity in India: A Multi-Model Study of Future Challenges and Linkages to Climate Change Mitigation.” Applied Energy210 (January 2018): 673–84.

Tan, Zeli, L. Ruby Leung, Hongyi Li, Teklu Tesfa, Matthias Vanmaercke, Jean Poesen, Xuesong Zhang, Hui Lu, and Jens Hartmann. “A Global Data Analysis for Representing Sediment and Particulate Organic Carbon Yield in Earth System Models: A GLOBAL DATA ANALYSIS OF SEDIMENT YIELD.” Water Resources Research53, no. 12 (December 2017): 10674–700.

Turner, Sean W.D., Mohamad Hejazi, Son H. Kim, Leon Clarke, and Jae Edmonds. “Climate Impacts on Hydropower and Consequences for Global Electricity Supply Investment Needs.” Energy141 (December 2017): 2081–90.

Vernon, Chris R., Yannick Le Page, Min Chen, Maoyi Huang, Katherine V. Calvin, Ian P. Kraucunas, and Caleb J. Braun. “Demeter – A Land Use and Land Cover Change Disaggregation Model.” Journal of Open Research Software6 (April 20, 2018).

Vernon, Chris R., Nino Zuljevic, Jennie S. Rice, Timothy E. Seiple, Michael C. W. Kintner-Meyer, Nathalie Voisin, Ian P. Kraucunas, et al. “CERF – A Geospatial Model for Assessing Future Energy Production Technology Expansion Feasibility.” Journal of Open Research Software6 (August 6, 2018).

Wan, Wenhua, Jianshi Zhao, Hong-Yi Li, Ashok Mishra, Mohamad Hejazi, Hui Lu, Yonas Demissie, and Hao Wang. “A Holistic View of Water Management Impacts on Future Droughts: A Global Multimodel Analysis.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres123, no. 11 (June 16, 2018): 5947–72.

Wan, Wenhua, Jianshi Zhao, Hong-Yi Li, Ashok Mishra, L. Ruby Leung, Mohamad Hejazi, Wei Wang, et al. “Hydrological Drought in the Anthropocene: Impacts of Local Water Extraction and Reservoir Regulation in the U.S.: Hydrological Drought in the Anthropocene.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres122, no. 21 (November 16, 2017): 11,313-11,328.

Wang, Xingchang, Chuankuan Wang, and Ben Bond-Lamberty. “Quantifying and Reducing the Differences in Forest CO 2 -Fluxes Estimated by Eddy Covariance, Biometric and Chamber Methods: A Global Synthesis.” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology247 (December 2017): 93–103.

Yan, Zhifeng, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Katherine E. Todd-Brown, Vanessa L. Bailey, SiLiang Li, CongQiang Liu, and Chongxuan Liu. “A Moisture Function of Soil Heterotrophic Respiration That Incorporates Microscale Processes.” Nature Communications9, no. 1 (July 2, 2018).

Yang, Qichun, James E. Almendinger, Xuesong Zhang, Maoyi Huang, Xingyuan Chen, Guoyong Leng, Yuyu Zhou, et al. “Enhancing SWAT Simulation of Forest Ecosystems for Water Resource Assessment: A Case Study in the St. Croix River Basin.” Ecological Engineering120 (September 2018): 422–31.

Yang, Yang, Hailong Wang, Steven J. Smith, Richard C. Easter, and Philip J. Rasch. “Sulfate Aerosol in the Arctic: Source Attribution and Radiative Forcing.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres123, no. 3 (February 16, 2018): 1899–1918.

Yang, Yang, Hailong Wang, Steven J. Smith, Rudong Zhang, Sijia Lou, Yun Qian, Po-Lun Ma, and Philip J. Rasch. “Recent Intensification of Winter Haze in China Linked to Foreign Emissions and Meteorology.” Scientific Reports8, no. 1 (February 1, 2018).

Yang, Yang, Hailong Wang, Steven J. Smith, Rudong Zhang, Sijia Lou, Hongbin Yu, Can Li, and Philip J. Rasch. “Source Apportionments of Aerosols and Their Direct Radiative Forcing and Long-Term Trends Over Continental United States.” Earth’s Future6, no. 6 (June 2018): 793–808.

Yu, Sha, Meredydd Evans, Page Kyle, Linh Vu, Qing Tan, Ashu Gupta, and Pralit Patel. “Implementing Nationally Determined Contributions: Building Energy Policies in India’s Mitigation Strategy.” Environmental Research Letters13, no. 3 (March 1, 2018): 034034.

Yu, Sha, Qing Tan, Meredydd Evans, Page Kyle, Linh Vu, and Pralit L. Patel. “Improving Building Energy Efficiency in India: State-Level Analysis of Building Energy Efficiency Policies.” Energy Policy110 (November 2017): 331–41.

Zhang, Liming, Yaling Liu, Xiaodi Li, Linbin Huang, Dongsheng Yu, Xuezheng Shi, Hanyue Chen, and Shihe Xing. “Effects of Soil Map Scales on Simulating Soil Organic Carbon Changes of Upland Soils in Eastern China.” Geoderma312 (February 2018): 159–69.

Zhang, Xiao, Hong-Yi Li, Zhiqun Daniel Deng, Claudia Ringler, Yang Gao, Mohamad I. Hejazi, and L. Ruby Leung. “Impacts of Climate Change, Policy and Water-Energy-Food Nexus on Hydropower Development.” Renewable Energy116 (February 2018): 827–34.

Zhang, Xuesong. “Simulating Eroded Soil Organic Carbon with the SWAT-C Model.” Environmental Modelling & Software102 (April 2018): 39–48.

Zhang, Yuqiang, Steven J Smith, Jared H Bowden, Zachariah Adelman, and J Jason West. “Co-Benefits of Global, Domestic, and Sectoral Greenhouse Gas Mitigation for US Air Quality and Human Health in 2050.” Environmental Research Letters12, no. 11 (November 1, 2017): 114033.

Zhou, Qianqian, Guoyong Leng, and Maoyi Huang. “Impacts of Future Climate Change on Urban Flood Volumes in Hohhot in Northern China: Benefits of Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptations.” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences22, no. 1 (January 15, 2018): 305–16.

Zhou, Sheng, Yu Wang, Yuyu Zhou, Leon E. Clarke, and James A. Edmonds. “Roles of Wind and Solar Energy in China’s Power Sector: Implications of Intermittency Constraints.” Applied Energy213 (March 2018): 22–30.

Zhou, Tian, Nathalie Voisin, Guoyong Leng, Maoyi Huang, and Ian Kraucunas. “Sensitivity of Regulated Flow Regimes to Climate Change in the Western United States.” Journal of Hydrometeorology19, no. 3 (March 2018): 499–515.

Zhu, Yuelu, Shengzhi Huang, Jianxia Chang, and Guoyong Leng. “Spatial–Temporal Changes in Potential Evaporation Patterns Based on the Cloud Model and Their Possible Causes.” Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment31, no. 8 (October 2017): 2147–58.



2017 Fiscal Year

Aldy J, W Pizer, M Tavoni, L Reis, K Akimoto, GJ Blanford, C Carraro, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, GC Iyer, HC McJeon, RG Richels, S Rose, and F Sano.  2016.  “Economic Tools to Promote Transparency and Comparability in the Paris Agreement.”  Nature Climate Change 6:1000 – 1006.  doi:10.1038/nclimate3106

Alexander P, R Prestele, PH Verburg, A Arneth, C Baranzelli, F Batista e Silva, C Brown, A Butler, KV Calvin, N Dendoncker, J Doelman, R Dunford, K Engstrom, D Eitelberg, S Fujimori, P Harrison, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, S Holzhauer, F Humpenoder, C Jacobs-Crisioni, AK Jain, T Krisztin, GP Kyle, C Lavalle, T Lenton, J Liu, P Meiyappan, A Popp, T Powell, R Sands, R Schaldach, E Stehfest, J Steinbuks, A Tabeau, H van Meijl, MA Wise, and M Rounsevell.  2017.  “Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections.”  Global Change Biology 23(2):767-781.  doi:10.1063/1.4974492

Bailey VL, AP Smith, MM Tfaily, SJ Fansler, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2017. “Differences in Soluble Organic Carbon Chemistry in Pore Waters Sampled from Different Pore Size Domains.”  Soil Biology and Biochemistry 107:133-143.  doi:10.1016/j.soilbio.2016.11.025

Bauer N, KV Calvin, J Emmerling, O Fricko, S Fujimori, J Hilaire, J Eom, V Krey, E Kriegler, I Mouratiadou, H Sytze de Boer, M van den Berg, S Carrara, V Daioglou, L Drouet, JA Edmonds, D Gernaat, P Havlik, N Johnson, D Klein, GP Kyle, G Marangoni, T Masui, R Pietzcker, M Strubegger, MA Wise, K Riahi, and D Van Vuuren.  2017.  Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives.” Global Environmental Change 42:316-330.  doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006

Bond-Lamberty B, AP Smith, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Temperature and moisture effects on greenhouse gas emissions from deep active-layer boreal soils.”  Biogeosciences 13(24):6669-6681.  doi:10.5194/bg-13-6669-2016

Calvin KV, B Bond-Lamberty, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, J Eom, CA Hartin, SH Kim, GP Kyle, RP Link, RH Moss, HC McJeon, PL Patel, SJ Smith, ST Waldhoff, and MA Wise.  2017.  The SSP4: A World of Deepening Inequality.”  Global Environmental Change 42:284-296. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.010

Campbell JE, J Berry, U Seibt, SJ Smith, S Montzka, T Launois, S Belviso, L Bopp, and M Laine.  2017.  Large historical growth in global terrestrial gross primary production.” Nature 544(7648):84–87. doi:10.1038/nature22030

Chang J, P Ciais, X Wang, SL Piao, GR Asrar, R Betts, F Chevallier, M Dury, L Francois, K Frieler, AG Ros, AJ Henrot, T Hickler, A Ito, C Morfopoulos, G Munhoven, K Nishina, S Ostberg, S Pan, S Peng, R Rafique, C Reyer, C Rodenbeck, S Schaphoff, Jö Steinkamp, H Tian, N Viovy, J Yang, N Zeng, and F Zhao.  2017.  “Benchmarking carbon fluxes of the ISIMIP2a biome models.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(4):Article No. 045002.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa63fa

Chen M, R Rafique, GR Asrar, B Bond-Lamberty, P Ciais, F Zhao, C Reyer, S Ostberg, J Chang, A Ito, J Yang, N Zeng, E Kalnay, TO West, G Leng, L Francois, G Munhoven, AJ Henrot, H Tian, S Pan, K Nishina, N Viovy, C Morfopoulos, R Betts, S Schaphoff, J Steinkamp, and T Hickler.  2017.  “Regional Contribution to Variability and Trends of Global Gross Primary Productivity.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(10):105005.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8978

Collins W, JF Lamarque, M Schulz, O Boucher, V Eyring, MI Hegglin, A Maycock, G Myhre, M Prather, DT Shindell, and SJ Smith.  2017. “AerChemMIP: Quantifying the effects of chemistry and aerosols in CMIP6.”  Geoscientific Model Development 10(2):585-607.  doi:10.5194/gmd-10-585-2017

Dahowski RT, CL Davidson, S Yu, JD Horing, N Wei, LE Clarke, and SR Bender.  2017.  “The impact of CCS readiness on the evolution of China’s electric power sector.”  Energy Procedia 114:6631-6637. doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.1817

Davidson CL, RT Dahowski, HC McJeon, LE Clarke, GC Iyer, and M Muratori.  2017.  “The value of CCS under current policy scenarios: NDCs and beyond.”  Energy Procedia 114:7521-7527. doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.1885

Di Vittorio A, GP Kyle, and WD Collins.  2016.  What are the effects of Agro-Ecological Zones and land use region boundaries on land resource projection using the Global Change Assessment Model?”  Environmental Modelling & Software 85:246-265.  doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.08.016

Edelenbosch OY, K Kermeli, W Crijns-Graus, E Worrell, R Bibas, B Fais, S Fujimori, GP Kyle, F Sano, and D Van Vuuren.  2017.  Comparing projections of industrial energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions in long-term energy models.”  Energy 122:701–710.  doi:10.1016/

Evans M, V Roshchanka, and P Graham.  2017.  “An International Survey of Building Energy Codes and Their Implementation.”  Journal of Cleaner Production 158:382-389.  doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.01.007

Evans M, N Kholod, T Kuklinski, A Denysenko, SJ Smith, AJ Staniszewski, WM Hao, L Liu, and TC Bond.  2017.  “Black carbon emissions in Russia: A critical review.”  Atmospheric Environment 163:9–21. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.05.026

Gu D, AB Guenther, JE Shilling, H Yu, M Huang, C Zhao, Q Yang, ST Martin, P Artaxo, S Kim, R Seco, T Stavrakou, K Longo, J Tota, R Augusto Ferreira de Souza, O Vega, Y Liu, MKB Shrivastava, E Alves, F Cavalcante Dos Santos, G Leng, and Z Hu.  2017.  “Airborne observations reveal elevational gradient in tropical forest isoprene emissions.”  Nature Communications 8:15541.  doi:10.1038/ncomms15541

Güneralp B, Y Zhou, D Ürge-Vorsatz, M Gupta, S Yu, PL Patel, M Fragkias, X Li, and K Seto.  2017.  Global scenarios of urban density and its impacts on building energy use through 2050.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 114(34):8945–8950. doi:10.1073/pnas.1606035114

Hattermann FF, V Krysanova, SN Gosling, R Dankers, P Daggupati, C Donnelly, M Florke, S Huang, Y Motovilov, S Buda, T Yang, C Mueller, G Leng, Q Tang, FT Portmann, S Hagemann, D Gerten , Y Wada, Y Masaki, T Alemayehu, Y Satoh, and L Samaniego.  2017.  Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins.”  Climatic Change 141(3):561-576. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1829-4

Huang L, H Fang, X Xu, G He, X Zhang, and D Reible.  2017.  “Stochastic modeling of phosphorus transport in the Three Gorges Reservoir by incorporating variability associated with the phosphorus partition coefficient.”  Science of the Total Environment 592:649–661.  doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.02.227

Huang S, B Ming, Q Huang, G Leng, and B Hou.  2017.  “A case study on a combination NDVI forecasting model based on the entropy weight method.”  Water Resources Management 31(11):3667–3681. doi:10.1007/s11269-017-1692-8

Huang S, Q Huang, G Leng, M Zhao, and E Meng.  2017.  “Variations in annual water-energy balance and their correlations with vegetation and soil moisture dynamics: A case study in the Wei River Basin, China.”  Journal of Hydrology 546:515–525. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.12.060

Ibrahim K, AFA Shabudin, KC Koshy, and GR Asrar.  2016. A new framework for integrated climate finance and inclusive responses to sustainable development in Malaysia.”  Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk 7(6):1754-1768.  doi:10.1080/19475705.2016.1155503

Irvine P, BS Kravitz, MG Lawrence, D Gerten , C Caminade, S Gosling, , E Hendy , B Kassie , DW Kissling , H Muri, A Oschlies, and SJ Smith.  2017. Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering.” Earths Future 5(1):93–106. doi:10.1002/2016EF000389

Iyer GC, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, and N Hultman.  2016.  “Do national-level policies to promote low-carbon technology deployment pay off for the investor countries?”  Energy Policy98:400–411.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2016.08.017

Iyer GC, and JA Edmonds.  2017. “Emission scenarios: Explaining differences.”  Nature Climate Change 7:99-100.  doi:10.1038/nclimate3200

Izaurralde RC, WB Mcgill, JR Williams, CD Jones, RP Link, D Manowitz, DE Schwab, X Zhang, GP Robertson, and N Milar.  2017.  “Simulating microbial denitrification with EPIC: Model description and initial testing.”  Ecological Modelling 359:349 – 362.  doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.06.007

Kravitz BS, CD Lynch, CA Hartin, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2017.  “Exploring precipitation pattern scaling methodologies and robustness among CMIP5 models.” Geoscientific Model Development 10(5):1889-1902.  doi:10.5194/gmd-10-1889-2017

Kriegler E, N Bauer, A Popp, F Humpenoder, M Leimbach, J Strefler, L Baumstark, B Bodirsky, J Hilaire, D Klein, I Mouratiadou, I Weindl, C Bertram, JP Dietrich, G Luderer, M Pehl, R Pietzcker, F Piontek, H Lotze-Campen, A Biewald, M Bonsch, A Giannousakis, U Kreidenweis, C Mueller, S Rolinski, A Schultes, J Schwanitz, M Stefanovic, KV Calvin, J Emmerling, S Fujimori, and O Edenhofer.  2017.  Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): an energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century.”  Global Environmental Change 42:297-315.  doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.015

Leng G, X Zhang, M Huang, Q Yang, R Rafique, GR Asrar, and LYR Leung.  2016.  “Simulating County-Level Crop Yields in the Conterminous United States Using the Community Land Model: the Effects of Optimizing Irrigation and Fertilization.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 8(4):1912–1931.  doi:10.1002/2016MS000645

Leng G, M Huang, N Voisin, X Zhang, GR Asrar, and LYR Leung.  2016.  “Emergence of new hydrologic regimes of surface water resources in the Conterminous United States under future warming.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(11):Article No. 114003.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/114003

Leng G, LY Leung, and M Huang.  2017.  “Significant impacts of irrigation water sources and methods on modeling irrigation effects in the ACME Land Model.”  Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 9(3):1665 – 1683.  doi:10.1002/2016MS000885

Leng G, and M Huang.  2017.  “Crop yield response to climate change varies with crop spatial distribution pattern.”  Scientific Reports 7:1463.  doi:10.1038/s41598-017-01599-2

Li F, DM Lawrence, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2017. “Impact of fire on global land surface air temperature and energy budget for the 20th century due to changes within ecosystems.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(4):Article No. 044014. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa6685

Li X, Y Zhou, GR Asrar, J Mao, X Li, and W Li.  2017.  “Response of vegetation phenology to urbanization in the conterminous United States.”  Global Change Biology 23(7):2818-2830.  doi:10.1111/gcb.13562

Li X, CR Vernon, MI Hejazi, RP Link, L Feng, Y Liu, and LT Rauchenstein.  2017.  “Xanthos – A Global Hydrologic Model.”  Journal of Open Research Software 5(1):21.  doi:10.5334/jors.181

Liu S, B Bond-Lamberty, LR Boysen, JD Ford, A Fox, K Gallo, J Hatfield, G Henebry, TG Huntington, Z Liu, T Loveland, RJ Norby, T Sohl, AL Steiner, W Yuan, Z Zhang, and S Zhao.  2017.  “Grand Challenges in Understanding the Interplay of Climate and Land Changes.”  Earth Interactions 21(2):1-43.  doi:10.1175/EI-D-16-0012.1

Liu B, M Evans, S Yu, V Roshchanka, S Dukkipati, and A Sreenivas.  2017.  “Effective Energy Data Management for Low-carbon Growth Planning: An Analytical Framework for Assessment.”  Energy Policy 107:32-42.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.03.059

Liu L, MI Hejazi, HY Li, B Forman, and X Zhang.  2017.  “Vulnerability of US thermoelectric power generation to climate change when incorporating state-level environmental regulations.”  Nature Energy 2:17109. doi:10.1038/nenergy.2017.109

Liu Y, MI Hejazi, H Li, X Zhang, and G Leng.  2017. A Hydrological Emulator for Global Applications.”  Geoscientific Model Development 1-37.  doi:10.5194/gmd-2017-113

Lu X, M Chen, Y Liu, D Miralles, and F Wang.  2017.  “Enhanced water use efficiency in global terrestrial ecosystems under increasing aerosol loadings.”  Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 237-238:39-49.  doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.02.002

Lynch CD, CA Hartin, B Bond-Lamberty, and BS Kravitz.  2017.  “An open-access CMIP5 pattern library for temperature and precipitation: Description and methodology.”  Earth System Science Data 9(1):281-292. doi:10.5194/essd-2016-68

Meehl GA, and RH Moss.  2016.  “Aspen Global Change Institute: 25 Years of Interdisciplinary Global Change Science.”  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 97(11):20027-2037. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00204.1

Mignone BK, S Showalter, F Wood, HC McJeon, and D Steinberg.  2017.  “Sensitivity of Natural Gas Deployment in the US Power Sector to Future Carbon Policy Expectations.”  Energy Policy 110:518-524. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.08.012

Motesharrei S, J Rivas, E Kalnay, GR Asrar, A Busalacchi, RF Cahalan, M Cane, RR Colwell, K Feng, RS Franklin, K Hubacek, F Miralles-Wilhelm, T Miyoshi, M Ruth, R Sagdeev, A Shirmohammadi, J Shukla, J Srebric, VM Yakovenko, and N Zeng.  2016.  “Modeling sustainability: population, inequality, consumption, and bidirectional coupling of the Earth and Human Systems.”  National Science Review 3(4):470–494.  doi:10.1093/nsr/nww081

Muratori M, CM Ledna, HC McJeon, GP Kyle, PL Patel, SH Kim, MA Wise, H Kheshgi, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2017.  “Cost of Power or Power of Cost: a U.S. Modeling Perspective.”  Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews 77:861-874.  doi:10.1016/j.rser.2017.04.055

Muratori M, H Kheshgi, BK Mignone, LE Clarke, HC McJeon, and JA Edmonds.  2017. Carbon Capture and Storage across Fuels and Sectors in Energy System Transformation Pathways.”  International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 57:34-41. doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2016.11.026

Muratori M, SJ Smith, GP Kyle, RP Link, BK Mignone, and H Kheshgi.  2017.  Role of the Freight Sector in Future Climate Change Mitigation Scenarios.”  Environmental Science & Technology 51(6):3526–3533.  doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b04515

Muratori M, H Kheshgi, BK Mignone, HC McJeon, and LE Clarke.  2017.  “The future role of CCS in electricity and liquid fuel supply.”  Energy Procedia 114:7606 – 7614.  doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.1893

Pan X, W Chen, LE Clarke, L Wang, and L Guannan.  2017.  “China’s energy system transformation towards the 2 °C goal: Implications of different effort-sharing principles.”  Energy Policy 103:116-126.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.01.020

Phillips C, B Bond-Lamberty, AR Desai, M Lavoie, D Risk, J Tang, KEO Todd-Brown, and R Vargas.  2017.  “The value of soil respiration measurements for interpreting and modeling terrestrial carbon cycling.”  Plant and Soil 413(1):1-25.  doi:10.1007/s11104-016-3084-x

Prestele R, P Alexander, M Rounsevell, A Arneth, KV Calvin, J Doelman, D Eitelberg, K Engstrom, S Fujimori, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, F Humpenoder, AK Jain, T Krisztin, GP Kyle, P Meiyappan, A Popp, R Sands, R Schaldach, J Schungel, E Stehfest, A Tabeau, H van Meijl, J Van Vliet, and PH Verburg.  2016.  Hotspots of uncertainty in land use and land cover change projections: a global scale model comparison.”  Global Change Biology22(12):3967-3983.  doi:10.1111/gcb.13337

Rafique R, J Xia, O Hararuk, G Leng, GR Asrar, and Y Luo.  2017.  “Comparing the performance of three land models in global C cycle simulations: A detailed structural analysis.”  Land Degradation and Development 28(2):524-533.  doi:10.1002/ldr.2506

Rao S, Z Klimont, J Leitao, K Riahi, R van Dingenen, L Reis, KV Calvin, F Dentener, L Drouet, S Fujimori, JHM Harmsen, G Luderer, C Heyes, J Stefler, M Tavoni, and D Van Vuuren.  2016.  A multi-model assessment of the co-benefits of climate mitigation for global air quality.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(12):Article No. 124013.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124013

Rao S, Z Klimont, SJ Smith, R van Dingenen, F Dentener, L Bouwman, K Riahi, M Amann, B Bodirsky, D Van Vuuren, L Reis, KV Calvin, L Drouet, O Fricko, S Fujimori, D Gernaat, P Havlik, M Harmsen, T Hasegawa, C Heyes, J Hilaire, G Luderer, T Masui, E Stehfest, J Strefler, S van der Sluis, and M Tavoni.  2017.  Future Air Pollution in the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways.”  Global Environmental Change 42:346-358. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.012

Riahi K, D Van Vuuren, E Kriegler, JA Edmonds, B O’Neill, S Fujimori, N Bauer, KV Calvin, R Dellink, O Fricko, W Lutz, A Popp, J Crespo Cuaresma, S Kc, M Leimbach, L Jiang, T Kram, S Rao, J Emmerling, K Ebi, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, F Humpenoder, L Da Silva, SJ Smith, E Stehfest, V Bosetti, J Eom, D Gernaat, T Masui, J Rogelj, J Strefler, L Drouet, V Krey, G Luderer, M Harmsen, K Takahashi, L Baumstark, J Doelman, M Kainuma, Z Klimont, G Marangoni, H Lotze-Campen, M Obersteiner, A Tabeau, and M Tavoni.  2017.  The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their Energy, Land Use, and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Implications: An Overview.”  Global Environmental Change 42:153–168. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009

Sarofim M, ST Waldhoff, and SC Anenberg.  2017.  Valuing the ozone-related health benefits of methane emissions controls.”  Environmental and Resource Economics 66(1):45-63.  doi:10.1007/s10640-015-9937-6

Shu L, Q Jiang, X Zhang, and K Zhao.  2017.  “Potential and limitations of satellite laser altimetry for monitoring water surface dynamics: ICESat for US lakes.”  International Journal of Agricultural and Biological Engineering 10(5):154-165.  doi:10.25165/j.ijabe.20171005.3426

Stegen JC, CG Anderson, B Bond-Lamberty, AR Crump, X Chen, and NJ Hess.  2017.  “Soil respiration across a permafrost transition zone: spatial structure and environmental correlates.”  Biogeosciences14(18):4341-4354.  doi:10.5194/bg-14-4341-2017

Stevens B, S Fiedler, S Kinne, K Peters, S Rast, J Musse, SJ Smith, and T Mauritsen.  2017.  “MACv2-SP: A parameterization of anthropogenic aerosol optical properties and an associated Twomey effect for use in CMIP6.”  Geoscientific Model Development 10(1):433-452.  doi:10.5194/gmd-10-433-2017

Talati SK, H Zhai, GP Kyle, MG Morgan, PL Patel, and L Liu.  2016.  Consumptive Water Use from Electricity Generation in the Southwest under Alternative Climate, Technology and Policy Futures.”  Environmental Science & Technology 50(22):12095-12104. doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b01389

Thornton PE, KV Calvin, AD Jones, A Di Vittorio, B Bond-Lamberty, LM Chini, X Shi, J Mao, WD Collins, JA Edmonds, AM Thomson, JE Truesdale, AP Craig, M Branstetter, and GC Hurtt.  2017.  “Biospheric feedback effects in a synchronously coupled model of human and Earth systems.”  Nature Climate Change 7:496-500. doi:10.1038/nclimate3310

Turner SWD, JY Ng, and S Galelli.  2017.  “Examining global electricity supply vulnerability to climate change using a high-fidelity hydropower dam model.”  Science of the Total Environment 590-591:663-675. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.03.022

Turner SWD, J Bennett, D Robertson, and S Galelli.  2017.  “Complex relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in reservoir operations.”  Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 21(9):4841-4859.  doi:10.5194/hess-21-4841-2017

Voisin N, MI Hejazi, LYR Leung, L Liu, M Huang, H Li, and TK Tesfa.  2017.  “Effects of spatially distributed sectoral water management on the redistribution of water resources in an integrated water model.”  Water Resources Research 53(5):4253-4270. doi:10.1002/2016WR019767

Voisin N, MCW Kintner-Meyer, R Skaggs, TB Nguyen, D Wu, JA Dirks, YL Xie, and MI Hejazi.  2016.  “Vulnerability of the US Western Electric Grid to Hydro-Climatological Conditions: How bad can it get?”  Energy 115(Part 1):1-12.  doi:10.1016/

Weaver CP, RH Moss, K Ebi, PH Gleick, P Stern, C Tebaldi, RS Wilson, and J Arvai.  2017.  “Reframing Climate Change Assessments Around Risk: Recommendations for the U.S. National Climate Assessment.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(8):Article No. 080201. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa7494

Willner S, CA Hartin, and R Gieseke.  2017.  “pyhector: A Python interface for the simple climate model Hector.”  The Journal of Open Source Software 2(12):Article No. 248.  doi:10.21105/joss.00248

Wise MA, M Muratori, and GP Kyle.  2017.  “Biojet Fuels and Emissions Mitigation in Aviation: an Integrated Assessment Modeling Analysis.”  Transportation Research. Part D. Transport and Environment 52(Part A):244 – 253.  doi:10.1016/j.trd.2017.03.006

Wolf J, GR Asrar, and TO West.  2017.  “Revised Methane Emissions Factors and Spatially Distributed Annual Carbon Fluxes for Global Livestock.”  Carbon Balance and Management 12:Article No. 16.  doi:10.1186/s13021-017-0084-y

Yan Z, C Liu, K Todd-Brown, Y Liu, B Bond-Lamberty, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Pore-scale Investigation on the Response of Heterotrophic Respiration to Moisture Conditions in Heterogeneous Soils.”  Biogeochemistry 131(1):121-134.  doi:10.1007/s10533-016-0270-0

Yang Q, X Zhang, X Xu, and GR Asrar.  2017.  “An analysis of terrestrial and aquatic environmental controls of riverine dissolved organic carbon in the conterminous United States.”  Water 9(6):383.  doi:10.3390/w9060383

Yang Q, and X Zhang.  2016. Improving SWAT for simulating water and carbon fluxes of forest ecosystems.” Science of the Total Environment 569–570, 1478–1488.  doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.06.238

Yang Y, H Wang, SJ Smith, PL Ma, and PJ Rasch.  2017.  “Source attribution of black carbon and its direct radiative forcing in China.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 17(6):4319-4336.  doi:10.5194/acp-17-4319-2017

Yang Y, H Wang, SJ Smith, RC Easter, Jr, PL Ma, Y Qian, H Yu, C Li, and PJ Rasch.  2017.  “Global source attribution of sulfate concentration and direct and indirect radiative forcing.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 17(14):8903-8922.  doi:10.5194/acp-17-8903-2017

Yeh S, GS Mishra, LM Fulton, GP Kyle, D McCollum, J Miller, P Cazzola, and J Teter.  2017.  Detailed assessment of global transport-energy models’ structures and projections.” Transportation Research. Part D. Transport and Environment 55:294–309.  doi:10.1016/j.trd.2016.11.001

Zhang X, Q Tang, X Liu, G Leng, and Z Li.  2017.  “Soil Moisture Drought monitoring and forecasting using satellite and climate model data over Southwestern China.”  Journal of Hydrometeorology 18(1):5-23.  doi:10.1175/JHM-D-16-0045.1

Zhang L, G Wang, Q Zheng, Y Liu, D Yu, X Shi, S Xing, H Chen, and X Fan.  2017.  “Quantifying the impacts of agricultural management and climate change on soil organic carbon changes in the uplands of Eastern China.”  Soil & Tillage Research 174:81-91. doi:10.1016/j.still.2017.06.005

Zhao S, H Hu, F Tian, Q Tie, L Wang, Y Liu, and C Shi.  2017.  “Divergence of stable isotopes in tap water across China.”  Scientific Reports 7:43653-43653.  doi:10.1038/srep43653

Zhou Q, AJ Blohm, and B Liu.  2017.  “Planning Framework for Mesolevel Optimization of Urban Runoff Control Schemes.”  Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 143(4):04016083.  doi:10.1061/(asce)wr.1943-5452.0000748

Zumkehr A, TW Hilton, M Whelan, SJ Smith, and E Campbell.  2017.  “Gridded anthropogenic emissions inventory and atmospheric transport of carbonyl sulfide in the U.S.” Journal of Geophysical Research. D. (Atmospheres)122(4):2169-2178.  doi:10.1002/2016JD025550

2016 Fiscal Year

Abbott B, JB Jones, EA Schuur, FS Chapin, WB Bowden, MS Bret-Harte, HE Epstein, MD Flannigan, TK Harms, TN Hollingsworth, M Mack, AD McGuire, SM Natali, A Rocha, SE Tank, M Turetsky, JE Vonk, KP Wickland, GR Aiken, HD Alexander, RM Amon, BW Benscoter, Y Bergeron, K Bishop, O Blarquez, B Bond-Lamberty, AL Breen, I Buffam, Y Cai, C Carcaillet, SK Carey, JM Chen, HY Chen, TR Christensen, LW Cooper, JHC Cornelissen, WJ de Groot, TH DeLuca, E Dorrepaal, N Fetcher, JC Finlay, BC Forbes, NH French, S Gauthier, MP Girardin, SJ Goetz, JG Goldammer, L Gough, P Grogan, L Guo, PE Higuera, L Hinzman, FS Hu, G Hugelius, EE Jafarov, R Jandt, JF Johnstone, J Karlsson, ES Kasischke, G Kattner, R Kelly, F Keuper, G Kling, P Kortelainen, J Kouki, P Kuhry, H Laudon, I Laurion, RW Macdonald, PJ Mann, P Martikainen, JW McClelland, U Molau, SF Oberbauer, D Olefeldt, D Pare, MA Parisien, S Payette, C Peng, OS Pokrovesky, EB Rastetter, PA Raymond, MK Raynolds, G Rein, JF Reynolds, M Robards, BM Rogers, C Schadel, K Schaefer, IK Schmidt, A Shvidenko, J Sky, RG Spencer, G Starr, RG Striegl, R Teisserenc, LJ Tranvik, T Virtanen, JM Welker, and S Zimov.  2016.  “Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire: an expert assessment.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(3):Article No. 034014.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014

Asrar GR, RH Moss, and K Jacobs.  2016.  “Challenges and Opportunities in Earth-Human Systems Research.”  Eos 97:, doi:10.1029/2016EO050919

Bauer N, J Hilaire, RJ Brecha, JA Edmonds, K Jiang, E Kriegler, HH Rogner, and F Sferra.  2016.  “Assessing global fossil fuel availability in a scenario framework.”  Energy 111:580-592. doi:10.1016/

Bond-Lamberty B, H Bolton, Jr, SJ Fansler, A Heredia-Langner, C Liu, LA McCue, JL Smith, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Soil respiration and bacterial structure and function after 17 years of a reciprocal soil transplant experiment.”  PLoS One 11(3):e0150599.  doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0150599

Bond-Lamberty B, D Epron, JW Harden, M Harmon, FM Hoffman, J Kumar, AD McGuire, and R Vargas.  2016.  “Estimating heterotrophic respiration at large scales: challenges, approaches, and next steps.”  Ecosphere 7(6):e01380. doi:10.1002/ecs2.1380

Bond-Lamberty B, AP Smith, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Running an open experiment: transparency and reproducibility in soil and ecosystem science.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(8):084004.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/8/084004

Buizer JL, K Dow, ME Black, K Jacobs, A Waple, RH Moss, S Moser, A Luers, DI Gustafson, TC Richmond, SL Hays, and CB Field.  2016.  “Building a sustained climate assessment process.”  Climatic Change 135(1):23-37. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1501-4

Cai X, ZL Yang, JB Fisher, X Zhang, M Barlage, and F Chen.  2016.  “Integration of nitrogen dynamics into the Noah-MP land surface model v1.1 for climate and environmental predictions.”  Geoscientific Model Development 9(1):1-15.  doi:10.5194/gmd-9-1-2016

Calderon S, AC Alvarez, AM Loboguerrero, S Arango, KV Calvin, T Kober, K Daenzer, and K Fisher-Vanden.  2016.  “ACHIEVING CO2 REDUCTIONS IN COLOMBIA: EFFECTS OF CARBON TAXES AND ABATEMENT TARGETS.”  Energy Economics 56:575-586.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.05.010

Calvin KV, MA Wise, P Luckow, GP Kyle, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2016.  Implications of uncertain future fossil energy resources on bioenergy use and terrestrial carbon emissions.”  Climatic Change136(1):57-68.  doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0923-0

Calvin KV, RH Beach, A Gurgel, M Labriet, and AM Loboguerrero.  2016.  “Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land-Use Emissions in Latin America.”  Energy Economics 56:615–624.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.03.020

Calvin KV, S Rose, MA Wise, HC McJeon, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2015.  “Global Climate, Energy, and Economic Implications of International Energy Offsets Programs.”  Climatic Change 133(4):583-596. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1482-3

Clarke LE, J McFarland, C Octaviano, B van Ruijven, RH Beach, K Daenzer, S Herreras Martinez, A Lucena, A Kitous, M Labriet, AM Loboguerrero Rodriguez, A Mundra, and B van der Zwaan.  2016.  Long-Term Abatement Potential and Current Policy Trajectories in Latin American Countries.” Energy Economics 56:513–525.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.01.011

Di Sbroiavacca N, G Nadal, F Lallana, J Falzon, and KV Calvin.  2016.  “Emissions reduction scenarios in the Argentinean Energy Sector.”  Energy Economics 56:552-563.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.03.021

Fawcett A, GC Iyer, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, N Hultman, HC McJeon, J Rogelj, R Schuler, J Alsalam, GR Asrar, J Creason, M Jeong, J McFarland, A Mundra, and W Shi.  2015.  “Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change?”  Science 350(6265):1168-1169 .  doi:10.1126/science.aad5761

Gao J, A Zhang, SK Lam, X Zhang, AM Thomson, E Lin, K Jiang, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, GP Kyle, S Yu, Y Zhou, and S Zhou.  2016.  An integrated assessment of the potential of agricultural and forestry residues for energy production in China.”  Global Change Biology Bioenergy 8(5):880-893. doi:10.1111/gcbb.12305

Gillingham K, W Nordhaus, D Anthoff, GJ Blanford, V Bosetti, P Christensen, HC McJeon, JM Reilly, and P Sztorc.  2015.  “Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Multi-Model Comparison.”  National Bureau of Economic Research Article No. 21637.  doi:10.3386/w21637

Gough C, P Curtis, B Hardiman, C Scheuermann, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2016.  “Disturbance, complexity, and succession of net ecosystem production in North America’s temperate deciduous forests.”  Ecosphere 7(6):e01375. doi:10.1002/ecs2.1375

Hallegatte S, J Rogelj, M Allen, LE Clarke, O Edenhofer, CB Field, P Friedlingstein, L van Kesteren, R Knutti, K Mach, M Mastrandrea, A Michel, J Minx, M Oppenheimer, GK Plattner, K Riahi, M Schaeffer, T Stocker, and D Van Vuuren.  2016.  Mapping the climate change challenge.”  Nature Climate Change 6(7):663–668.  doi:10.1038/nclimate3057

Hartin CA, B Bond-Lamberty, PL Patel, and A Mundra.  2016.  “Ocean acidification over the next three centuries using a simple global climate carbon-cycle model: projections and sensitivities.”  Biogeosciences 13(15):4329-4342. doi:10.5194/bg-13-4329-2016

Hegre H, H Buhaug, KV Calvin, J Nordkvelle, ST Waldhoff, and EA Gilmore.  2016.  “Forecasting Civil Conflict along the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(5):Article No. 054002. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054002

Huang S, Q Huang, G Leng, and J Chang.  2016.  “A hybrid index for characterizing drought based on a nonparametric kernel estimator.”  Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 55(6):1377-1389. doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0295.1

Iyer GC, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, N Hultman, and HC McJeon.  2015.  “Long-term payoffs of near-term low-carbon deployment policies.”  Energy Policy 86:493–505. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.08.004

Iyer GC, JA Edmonds, AA Fawcett, N Hultman, J Alsalam, GR Asrar, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, J Creason, M Jeong, J McFarland, A Mundra, PL Patel, W Shi, and HC McJeon.  2015.  “The contribution of Paris to limit global warming to 2 °C.”  Environmental Research Letters 10(12):Article No. 125002.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125002

Kholod N, M Evans, E Gusev, S Yu, V Malyshev, S Tretyakova, and A Barinov.  2016.  “A Methodology for Calculating Transport Emissions in Cities with Limited Traffic Data: Case Study of Diesel Particulates and Black Carbon Emissions in Murmansk.”  Science of the Total Environment 547:305-313. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.12.151

Kholod N, and M Evans.  2016.  “Reducing Black Carbon Emissions from Diesel Vehicles in Russia: An Assessment and Policy Recommendations.”  Environmental Science & Policy 56:1-8.  doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2015.10.017

Kholod N, M Evans, and T Kuklinski.  2016.  Russia’s black carbon emissions: focus on diesel sources.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 16(17):11267-11281.  doi:10.5194/acp-16-11267-2016

Kim SH, MI Hejazi, L Liu, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, GP Kyle, PL Patel, MA Wise, and E Davies.  2016.  “Balancing Global Water Availability and Use at Basin Scale in an Integrated Assessment Model.”  Climatic Change 136(2):217-231. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1604-6

Kober T, J Falzon, B van der Zwaan, KV Calvin, A Kanudia, A Kitous, and M Labriet.  2016.  “A Multi-Model Study of Energy Supply Investments in Latin America under Climate Control Policy.”  Energy Economics 56:543–551. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.01.005

Kriegler E, I Mouratiadou, G Luderer, N Bauer, RJ Brecha, KV Calvin, E DeCian , JA Edmonds, K Jiang, M Tavoni, and O Edenhofer.  2016.  “Will economic growth and fossil fuel scarcity help or hinder climate stabilization? Overview of the RoSE multi-model study.”  Climatic Change 136(1):7-22.  doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1668-3

Kriegler E, I Mouratiadou, G Luderer, JA Edmonds, and O Edenhofer.  2016.  Introduction to the RoSE special issue on the impact of economic growth and fossil fuel availability on climate protection.”  Climatic Change 136(1):1-6. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1667-4

Kunkel KE, RH Moss, and A Parris.  2016.  “Innovations in science and scenarios for assessment.”  Climatic Change 135(1):55-68. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1494-z

Kyle GP, AM Thomson, MA Wise, and X Zhang.  2015.  “Assessment of the importance of spatial scale in long-term land use modelling of the Midwestern United States.”  Environmental Modelling & Software 72:261-271. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.06.006

Lawrence DM, GC Hurtt, A Arneth, V Brovkin, KV Calvin, AD Jones, CD Jones, P Lawrence, N de Noblet-Ducoudr, J Pongratz, SI Seneviratne, and E Shevliakova.  2016.  “The Land-Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) Contribution to CMIP6: Rationale and Experimental Design.”  Geoscientific Model Development 9(9):2973-2998.  doi:10.5194/gmd-2016-76

Leng G, X Zhang, M Huang, GR Asrar, and LY Leung.  2016.  “The Role of Climate Covariability on Crop Yields in the Conterminous United States.”  Scientific Reports 6:33160.  doi:10.1038/srep33160

Li H, LYR Leung, TK Tesfa, N Voisin, MI Hejazi, L Liu, Y Liu, JS Rice, H Wu, and X Yang.  2015.  “Modeling stream temperature in the Anthropocene: An earth system modeling approach.”  Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 7(4):1661-1679.  doi:10.1002/2015MS000471

Liu Y, MI Hejazi, GP Kyle, SH Kim, E Davies, D Miralles, A Teuling, Y He, and D Niyogi.  2016.  Global and regional evaluation of energy for water.”  Environmental Science & Technology 50(17):9736-9745. doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b01065

Lucas P, J Nielsen, KV Calvin, D McCollum, G Marangoni, J Strefler, B van der Zwaan, and D Van Vuuren.  2015.  “Future energy system challenges for Africa: Insights from Integrated Assessment Models.”  Energy Policy 86:705 – 717.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.08.017

Luderer G, C Bertram, KV Calvin, E De Cian, and E Kriegler.  2016.  Implications of weak near-term climate policies on long-term climate mitigation pathways .” Climatic Change 136(1):127-140. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0899-9

Luo Y, A Ahlstrom, SD Allison, NH Batjes, V Brovkin, N Carvalhais, A Chappell, P Ciais, EA Davidson, A Finzi, K Georgiou, B Guenet, O Hararuk, JW Harden, Y He, F Hopkins, L Jiang, C Koven, RB Jackson, CD Jones, MJ Lara, J Liang, AD McGuire, WJ Parton, C Peng, J Randerson, A Salazar, CA Sierra , MJ Smith, H Tian, KEO Todd-Brown, MS Torn, KJ van Groenigen, YP Wang, TO West, Y Wei, WR Wieder, J Xia, X Xu, X Xu, and T Zhou.  2016.  “Towards More Realistic Projections of Soil Carbon Dynamics by Earth System Models.” Global Biogeochemical Cycles 30(1):40-56.  doi:10.1002/2015GB005239

McFarland J, Y Zhou, LE Clarke, P Sullivan, J Colman, W Jaglom, M Colley, PL Patel, J Eom, SH Kim, GP Kyle, P Schultz, B Venkatesh, J Haydel, C Mack, and J Creason.  2015.  “Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison.”  Climatic Change 131(1):111-125.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1380-8

McFarland J, Y Zhou, LE Clarke, P Sullivan, J Colman, W Jaglom, M Colley, PL Patel, J Eom, SH Kim, GP Kyle, P Schultz, B Venkatesh, J Haydel, C Mack, and J Creason.  2015.  “Erratum to: Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison.”  Climatic Change 132(4):739. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1452-9

Moser S, J Melillo, K Jacobs, RH Moss, and JL Buizer.  2016.  “Aspirations and common tensions: larger lessons from the third US national climate assessment.”  Climatic Change 135(1):187-201.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1530-z

Moss RH.  2016.  “Assessing Decision Support Systems and Levels of Confidence to Narrow the Climate Information “Usability Gap”.”  Climatic Change 135(1):143-155.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1549-1

Muratori M, and G Rizzoni.  2016.  “Residential Demand Response: Dynamic Energy Management and Time-Varying Electricity Pricing.”  IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 31(2):1108 -1 117.  doi:10.1109/TPWRS.2015.2414880

ONeill BC, C Tebaldi, D Van Vuuren, V Eyring, P Fridelingstein, G Hurtt, R Knutti, E Kriegler, JF Lamarque, J Lowe, GA Meehl, RH Moss, K Riahi, and BM Sanderson.  2016.  The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6.” Geoscientific Model Development 9(9):3461-3482.  doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016

Orsi F, M Muratori, M Rocco, E Colombo, and G Rizzoni.  2016.  “A multi-dimensional well-to-wheels analysis of passenger vehicles in different regions: Primary energy consumption, CO2 emissions, and economic cost.”  Applied Energy 169:197-209.  doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.02.039

Rafique R, F Zhao, R de Jong, N Zeng, and GR Asrar.  2016.  “Global and Regional Variability and Change in Terrestrial Ecosystems Net Primary Production and NDVI: A Model-Data Comparison.”  Remote Sensing 8(3):177. doi:10.3390/rs8030177

Roshchanka V, and M Evans.  2016.  “Scaling up the Energy Service Company (ESCO) Business: Market Status and Company Feedback in the Russian Federation.”  Journal of Cleaner Production 112(5):3905–3914. doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.05.078

Schafer A, GP Kyle, and R Pietzcker.  2016.  Exploring the use of dynamic linear panel data models for evaluating energy/economy/environment models — an application for the transportation sector.”  Climatic Change 136(1):141-154.  doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1293-y

Schuelke-Leech BA, B Barry, M Muratori, and BJ Yurkovich.  2015.  “Big Data issues and opportunities for electric utilities.”  Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews 52:937-947.  doi:10.1016/j.rser.2015.07.128

Scott MJ, DS Daly, JE Hathaway, CS Lansing, Y Liu, HC McJeon, RH Moss, PL Patel, MJ Peterson, JS Rice, and Y Zhou.  2015.  “Calculating Impacts of Energy Standards on Energy Demand in U.S. Buildings with Uncertainty in an Integrated Assessment Model.”  Energy90(Part 2):1682-1694.  doi:10.1016/

Scott MJ, DS Daly, MI Hejazi, GP Kyle, L Liu, HC McJeon, A Mundra, PL Patel, JS Rice, and N Voisin.  2016.  “Sensitivity of Future U.S. Water Shortages to Socioeconomic and Climate Drivers: A Case Study in Georgia Using an Integrated Human-Earth System Modeling Framework.”  Climatic Change 136(2):233-246. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1602-8

Simmons A, JL Fellous, V Ramaswamy, K Trenberth, GR Asrar, MA Balmaseda, JP Burrows, P Cias, M Drinkwater, P Friedlingstein, N Gobron, E Guilyardi, D Halpern, M Heimann, J Johannessen, PF Levelt, LB Ernesto, JE Penner, R Scholes, and T Shepherd.  2016.  “Observation and integrated Earth-system science: A roadmap for 2016–2025.”  Advances in Space Research 57(10):2037-2103. doi:10.1016/j.asr.2016.03.008

Smith SJ, S Rao, K Riahi, D van Vuuren, KV Calvin, and GP Kyle.  2016.  Future Aerosol Emissions: A Multi-Model Comparison.”  Climatic Change 138(1):13–24. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1733-y

Smith P, SJ Davis, F Creutzig, S Fuss, J Minx, B Gabrielle, E Kato, RB Jackson, AL Cowie, E Kriegler, D Van Vuuren, J Rogelj, P Ciais, J Milne, JG Canadell, D McCollum, G Peters, R Andrew, V Krey, G Shrestha, P Friedlingstein, T Gasser, A Grubler, WK Heidug, M Jonas, CD Jones, F Kraxner, E Littleton, J Lowe, J Moreira, N Nakicenovic, M Obersteiner, A Patwardhan, M Rogner, ES Rubin, A Sharifi, A Torvanger, Y Yamagata, JA Edmonds, and C Yongsung.  2015.  “Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions.”  Nature Climate Change 6(1):42-50.  doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE2870

van der Zwaan B, KV Calvin, and LE Clarke.  2016.  “Climate Mitigation in Latin America: Implications for Energy and Land Use: Preface to the Special Section on the findings of the CLIMACAP-LAMP Project.”  Energy Economics 56:495–498. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.05.005

van der Zwaan B, T Kober, S Calderon, LE Clarke, K Daenzer, A Kitous, M Labriet, A Lucena, C Octaviano, and N Di Sbroiavacca.  2016.  Energy technology roll-out for climate change mitigation: A multi-model study for Latin America.”  Energy Economics 56:526–542.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.11.019

van Ruijven B, K Daenzer, K Fisher-Vanden, T Kober, S Paltsev, RH Beach, S Calderon, KV Calvin, M Labriet, A Kitous, A Lucena, and D Van Vuuren.  2016.  “Baseline Projections for Latin America: Base-Year Assumptions, Key Drivers and Greenhouse Emissions.”  Energy Economics 56:499-512. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.02.003

vanVuuren D, H van Soest, K Riahi, LE Clarke, V Krey, E Kriegler, J Rogelj, M Schaeffer, and M Tavoni.  2016.  Carbon budgets and energy transition pathways.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(7):Article No. 075002.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/075002

Veysey J, C Octaviano, KV Calvin, S Martinez, A Kitous, J McFarland, and B van der Zwaan.  2016.  “Pathways to Mexico’s Climate Change Mitigation Targets: A Multi-Model Analysis.”  Energy Economics 56:587-599. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.04.011

Wang L, PL Patel, S Yu, B Liu, JD Mcleod, LE Clarke, and W Chen.  2016.  “Win-Win strategies to promote air pollutant control policies and non-fossil energy target regulation in China.”  Applied Energy 163:244-253. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.10.189

Wobus C, M Flanner, M Sarofim, MC Pinto de Moura, and SJ Smith.  2016.  Future Arctic Temperature Change resulting from a Range of Aerosol Emissions Scenarios.” Earths Future 4(6):270-281. doi:10.1002/2016EF000361

Wolf J, TO West, YLB Le Page, GP Kyle, X Zhang, G Collatz, and ML Imhoff.  2015.  “Biogenic carbon fluxes from global agricultural production and consumption.”  Global Biogeochemical Cycles 29(10):1617-1639. doi:10.1002/2015GB005119

Yang Q, X Zhang, X Xu, GR Asrar, RA Smith, JS Shih, and S Duan.  2016.  “Spatial patterns and environmental controls of particulate organic carbon in surface waters in the conterminous United States.” Science of the Total Environment 554-555:266-275.  doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.02.164

Yang Q, H Tian, X Li, W Ren, B Zhang, X Zhang, and J Wolf.  2016.  “Spatiotemporal patterns of livestock manure nutrient production in the conterminous United States from 1930 to 2012.”  Science of the Total Environment 541:1592-1602. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.10.044

Zhang L, Q Zhuang, Y He, Y Liu, D Yu, Q Zhao, X Shi, S Xing, and G Wang.  2016.  Toward optimal Soil Organic Carbon Sequestration with effects of Agricultural Management Practices and Climate Change in Tai-Lake Paddy Soils of China.” Geoderma 275:28-39. doi:10.1016/j.geoderma.2016.04.001

Zhang Y, JH Bowden, Z Adelman, V Naik, L Horowitz, SJ Smith, and J West.  2016.  “Co-benefits of global and regional greenhouse gas mitigation for US air quality in 2050.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 16(15):9533-9548.  doi:10.5194/acp-16-9533-2016

Zhao F, N Zeng, GR Asrar, P Friedlingstein, I Akihiko, AK Jain, E Kalnay, E Kato, C Koven, B Poulter, R Rafique, S Sitch, S Shu, B Stocker, N Viovy, A Wiltshire, and S Zaehle.  2016.  “Role of CO2, climate and land use in regulating the seasonal amplitude increase of carbon fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems: a multimodel analysis.”  Biogeosciences 13(17):5121-5137. doi:10.5194/bg-2016-121

Zhu Y, CJ Munro, MJ Olszta, DJ Edwards, AB Braunschweig, MR Knecht, and ND Browning.  2016.  Dose-rate controlled energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopic mapping of the metallic components in a biohybrid nanosystem.”  Semiconductor Science and Technology 31(8):Article No. 084002.  doi:10.1088/0268-1242/31/8/084002



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