Soil carbon sequestration is an emergent technology with near-term potential for climate change mitigation. Here we assess the potential of agricultural soils of the Huang Hai Plain of China to act as a sinks for atmospheric CO2. Projected changes in temperature and precipitation during two future periods (2015-2045 and 2070-2099) under two scenarios of development were extracted from HadCM3 model runs. These scenarios were used to simulate with the EPIC model the impacts of climate change on winter wheat production and soil properties under traditional, no-tillage and rotation management practices on 18 representative farms. Yields of winter wheat increase with higher nighttime temperatures and increased precipitation, although declines are also predicted under some scenarios. The management strategies had a clear impact on soil carbon dynamics, with the no-tillage management resulting in the highest levels of soil C. Initial soil properties also influenced soil carbon dynamics. Agricultural soils of this region will continue to lose carbon unless alternative management practices are adopted. The simulations indicate that there is a significant potential for sequestering carbon in these agricultural lands.