Publications

JGCRI PUBLICATIONS

2018 Fiscal Year

Anderson-Teixeira KJ, M Wang, J Mcgarvey, V Herrmann, AJ Tepley, B Bond-Lamberty, and DS Lebauer.  2018.  “ForC: A global database of forest carbon stocks and fluxes.”  Ecology 99(6):1507-1507.  doi:10.1002/ecy.2229

Bailey VL, B Bond-Lamberty, K DeAngelis, AS Grandy, CV Hawkes, K Heckman, K Lajtha, R Phillips, BN Sulman, KEO Todd-Brown, and MD Wallenstein.  2018.  “Soil carbon cycling proxies: understanding their critical role in predicting climate change feedbacks.”  Global Change Biology 24(3):895-905.  doi:10.1111/gcb.13926

Barba J, A Cueva, M Bahn, G Barron-Gafford, B Bond-Lamberty, PJ Hanson, A Jaimes, L Kulmala, J Pumpanen, RL Scott, G Wohlfahrt, and R Vargas.  2018.  “Comparing Ecosystem and Soil Respiration: Review and Key Challenges of Tower-Based and Soil Measurements.”  Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 249:434-443.  doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.10.028

Bond-Lamberty B.  2018.  “Data sharing and scientific impact in eddy covariance research.”  Journal of Geophysical Research. Biogeosciences 123(4):1440-1443.  doi:10.1002/2018JG004502

Butler EE, A Datta, H Flores-Moreno, M Chen, K Wythers, F Fazayeli, F Banerjee, OK Atkin, J Kattge, B Amiaud, B Blonder, G Boenisch, B Bond-Lamberty, K Brown, C Byun, G Campetella, B Cerabolini, J Cornelissen, J Craine, D Craven, FT De Vries, S Diaz, TF Domingues, E Forey, A Gonzalez, N Gross, W Han, W Hattingh, T Hickler, S Jansen, K Kramer, NJ Kraft, H Kurokawa, D Laughlin, P Meir, V Minden, Ü Niinemets, Y Onoda, J Penuelas, Q Read, L Sack, B Schamp, N Soudzilovskaia, MJ Spasojevic, E Sosinski, PE Thornton, F Valladares, PM Van Bodegom, M Williams, C Wirth, and PB Reich.  2017.  “Mapping local and global variability in plant trait distributions.”  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 114(51):E10937-E10946. doi:10.1073/pnas.1708984114

Calvin KV, and K Fisher-Vanden.  2017.  “Quantifying the indirect impacts of climate on agriculture: an inter-method comparison.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(11):115004.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa843c

Edmonds JA, RP Link, ST Waldhoff, and R Cui.  2017. “A Gobal Food Demand Model for the Asessment of Complex Human-Earth Systems.”  Climate Change Economics 8(4):Article No. 1750012.  doi:10.1142/S2010007817500129

Fragkos P, K Fragkiadakis, L Paroussos, R Pierfederici, SS Vishwanathan, A Koberle, GC Iyer, CM He, and K Oshiro.  2018.  “Coupling national and global models to explore policy impacts of NDCs.”  Energy Policy 118:462-473.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2018.04.002

Garvin JB, DA Slayback, V Ferrini, JJ Frawley, C Giguere, GR Asrar, and K Andersen.  2018.  “Monitoring and Modelling the Rapid Evolution of Earth’s Newest Volcanic Island: Hunga Tonga Hunga Ha’apai (Tonga) Using State-of-the-art Satellite Observations.”  Geophysical Research Letters.  doi:10.1002/2017GL076621

Gulbeyaz O, B Bond-Lamberty, Z Akyurek, and TO West.  2018. “A New Approach to Evaluate MODIS Annual NPP Product (MOD17A3) Using Forest Field Data from Turkey.”  International Journal of Remote Sensing 39(8):2560-2578.  doi:10.1080/01431161.2018.1430913

Harden JW, G Hugelius, A Ahlstrom, J Blankinship, B Bond-Lamberty, C Lawrence, J Loisel, A Malhotra, RB Jackson, SM Ogle, C Phillips, R Ryals, KEO Todd-Brown, R Vargas, S Vergara, F Cotrufo, M Keiluweit, K Heckman, S Crow, W Silver, M Delonge, and L Nave.  2018.  “Networking our science to characterize the state, vulnerabilities, and management opportunities of soil organic matter.”  Global Change Biology 24(2):e705-e718.  doi:10.1111/gcb.13896

Hodson EL, M Brown, S Cohen, MA Wise, F Wood, J Caron, F Feijoo, GC Iyer, and K Cleary.  2018.  “U.S. Energy Sector Impacts of Technology Innovation, Fuel Price, and Electric Sector CO2 Policy: Results from the EMF 32 Model Intercomparison Study.”  Energy Economics.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2018.03.027

Hoesly RM, SJ Smith, L Feng, Z Klimont, G Janssens-Maenhout, TT Pitkanen, JJ Seibert, LD Vu, RJ Andres, RM Bolt, TC Bond, L Dawidowski, N Kholod, JI Kurokawa, M Li, L Liu, Z Lu, MC Pinto De Moura, P O’Rourke, and Q Zhang.  2018.  “Historical (1750 – 2014) anthropogenic emissions of reactive gases and aerosols from the Community Emission Data System (CEDS).”  Geoscientific Model Development 11(1):369-408.  doi:10.5194/gmd-11-369-2018

Iyer GC, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, N Hultman, CA Hartin, HC McJeon, J Aldy, and W Pizer.  2018.  “Implications of sustainable development considerations for comparability across nationally determined contributions.”  Nature Climate Change 8:124-129.  doi:10.1038/s41558-017-0039-z

Iyer GC, CM Ledna, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, HC McJeon, GP Kyle, and J Williams.  2017.  “Measuring Progress from Nationally Determined Contributions to Mid-Century Strategies.”  Nature Climate Change 7:871-874. doi:10.1038/s41558-017-0005-9

Iyer GC, and JA Edmonds.  2018.  “Energy modeling: Interpreting energy scenarios.”  Nature Energy 3:357–358.  doi:10.1038/s41560-018-0145-9

Jones CD, X Zhang, AD Reddy, GP Robertson, and RC Izaurralde.  2017.  “The greenhouse gas intensity and potential biofuel production capacity of maize stover harvest in the US Midwest.”  Global Change Biology Bioenergy 9(10):1543-1554.  doi:10.1111/gcbb.12473

Le Page Y, D Morton, CA Hartin, B Bond-Lamberty, JM Pereira, GC Hurtt, and GR Asrar.  2017. “Synergy between land use and climate change increases future fire risk in Amazon forests.”  Earth System Dynamics 8(4):1237-1246.  doi:10.5194/esd-8-1237-2017

Leng G.  2017.  “Evidence for a weakening strength of temperature-corn yield relation in the United States during 1980-2010.”  Science of the Total Environment 605-606:551-558. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.06.211

Leng G.  2017.  “Recent changes in county-level corn yield variability in the United States from observations and crop models.”  Science of the Total Environment 607-608:683-690. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.07.017

Li X, Y Zhou, GR Asrar, M Imhoff, and X Li.  2017.  “The surface urban heat island response to urban expansion: A panel analysis for the conterminous United States.”  Science of the Total Environment 605-606:426–435. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.06.229

Li X, Y Zhou, GR Asrar, and Z Zhu.  2018.  “Creating a Seamless 1 km Resolution Daily Land Surface Temperature Dataset for Urban and Surrounding Areas in the Conterminous United States.”  Remote Sensing of Environment 206:84-97.  doi:10.1016/j.rse.2017.12.010

Li X, Y Zhou, GR Asrar, and L Meng.  2017.  “Characterizing spatiotemporal dynamics in phenology of urban ecosystems based on Landsat data.”  Science of the Total Environment 605-606:721–734.  doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.06.245

Li F, DM Lawrence, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2018. “Human impacts on 20th century fire dynamics and implications for global carbon and water trajectories.”  Global and Planetary Change 162:18-27. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2018.01.002

Li X, CR Vernon, MI Hejazi, RP Link, Z Huang, L Liu, and L Feng.  2018. “Tethys – A Python Package for Spatial and Temporal Downscaling of Global Water Withdrawals”.”  Journal of Open Research Software 6(1):9.  doi:10.5334/jors.197

Li W, Y Zhou, K Cetin, J Eom, Y Wang, G Chen, and X Zhang.  2017. “Modeling urban building energy use: A review of modeling approaches and procedures.”  Energy141:2445-2457.  doi:10.1016/j.energy.2017.11.071

Liu Y, MI Hejazi, H Li, X Zhang, and G Leng.  2018. “A Hydrological Emulator for Global Applications – HE v1.0.0.” Geoscientific Model Development 11(3):1077-1092.  doi:10.5194/gmd-11-1077-2018

Lu X, Y Zhou, Y Liu, and Y Le Page.  2018.  “The role of protected areas in land use/land cover change and the carbon cycle in the conterminous United States.”  Global Change Biology 24(2):617-630.  doi:10.1111/gcb.13816

 

Luo W, MT Steptoe, Z Chang, RP Link, LE Clarke, and R Maciejewski.  2017.  “Impact of Spatial Scales on the Intercomparison of Climate Scenarios.”  IEEE Computer Graphics and Applications 37(5):40-49.  doi:10.1109/MCG.2017.3621222

Markandya A, J Sampedro, SJ Smith, R van Dingenen, C Pizarro-Irizar, Iñ Arto, and M Gonzalez-Eguino.  2018.  “Health Co-Benefits from Air Pollution and Mitigation Costs of the Paris Agreement: A Modelling Study.”  The Lancet Planetary Health 2(3):e126-e133.  doi:10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30029-9

Menzo Z, S Elliott, CA Hartin, FM Hoffman, and S Wang.  2018.  “Climate Change Impacts on Natural Sulfur Production: Ocean Acidification and Community Shifts.”  Atmosphere 9(5):Article No. 167.  doi:10.3390/atmos9050167

Mignone BK, S Showalter, F Wood, HC McJeon, and D Steinberg.  2017.  “Sensitivity of Natural Gas Deployment in the US Power Sector to Future Carbon Policy Expectations.”  Energy Policy 110:518-524.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.08.012

Ou Y, W Shi, SJ Smith, CM Ledna, JJ West, CG Nolte, and DH Loughlin.  2018.  “Estimating environmental co-benefits of U.S. low-carbon pathways using an integrated assessment model with state-level resolution.”  Applied Energy 216:482–493. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.02.122

Petrakis S, J Barba, B Bond-Lamberty, and R Vargas.  2018.  “Using greenhouse gas fluxes to define soil functional types.”  Plant and Soil 423(1-2):285-294. doi:10.1007/s11104-017-3506-4

Rogelj J, A Popp, KV Calvin, G Luderer, J Emmerling, D Gernaat, S Fujimori, J Strefler, T Hasegawa, G Marangoni, V Krey, E Kriegler, K Riahi, D Van Vuuren, J Doelman, L Drouet, JA Edmonds, O Fricko, M Harmsen, P Havlik, F Humpenoder, E Stehfest, and M Tavoni.  2018.  “Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C.”  Nature Climate Change 8:325-332.  doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0091-3

Roshchanka V, M Evans, F Ruiz, and N Kholod.  2017.  “A Strategic Approach to Selecting Policy Mechanisms for Addressing Coal Mine Methane Emissions: A Case Study on Kazakhstan.”  Environmental Science & Policy 78:185-192.  doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2017.08.005

Ruane A, C Rosenzweig, S Asseng, KJ Boote, J Elliott, F Ewert, JW Jones, P Martre, S Mcdermid, C Mueller, AC Snyder, and P Thorburn.  2017.  “An AgMIP framework for improved agricultural representation in integrated assessment models.”  Environmental Research Letters 12:125003.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8da6

Shi W, Y Ou, SJ Smith, CM Ledna, CG Nolte, and DH Loughlin.  2017.  “Projecting state-level air pollutant emissions using an integrated assessment model: GCAM-USA.”  Applied Energy 208:511-521.  doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.09.122

Smith AP, B Bond-Lamberty, BW Benscoter, MM Tfaily, R Hinkle, C Liu, and VL Bailey.  2017.  “Shifts in pore connectivity from precipitation versus groundwater rewetting increases soil carbon loss after drought.”  Nature Communications 8:Article No.1335.  doi:10.1038/s41467-017-01320-x

Snyder AC, RP Link, and KV Calvin.  2017.  “Evaluation of integrated assessment model hindcast experiments: A case study of the GCAM 3.0 land use module.”  Geoscientific Model Development 10(12):4307-4319.  doi:10.5194/gmd-10-4307-2017

Srinivasan S, N Kholod, V Chaturvedi, PP Ghosh, R Mathur,LE Clarke, M Evans, MI Hejazi, A Kanudia, P Nagar Koti, B Liu, K Parikh, MS Ali, and K Sharma.  2018.  “Water for Electricity in India: A Multi-Model Study of Future Challenges and Linkages to Climate Change Mitigation.”  Applied Energy 210:673-684. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.04.079

Tan Z, LY Leung, H Li, TK Tesfa, M Vanmaercke, J Poesen, X Zhang, H Lu, and J Hartmann.  2017.  “A global data analysis for representing sediment and particulate organic carbon yield in Earth System Models.”  Water Resources Research 53(12):10674–10700.  doi:10.1002/2017WR020806

Turner SWD, MI Hejazi, SH Kim, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2017.  “Climate impacts on hydropower and consequences for global electricity supply investment needs.”  Energy 141:2081-2090.  doi:10.1016/j.energy.2017.11.089

Wan W, J Zhao, HY Li, AK Mishra, LY Leung, MI Hejazi, W Wang, H Lu, Z Deng, Y Demissie, and H Wang.  2017.  “Hydrological Drought in the Anthropocene: Impacts of Local Water Extraction and Reservoir Regulation in the U.S.”  Journal of Geophysical Research. D. (Atmospheres) 122(21):11,313–11,328. doi:10.1002/2017JD026899

Wang X, C Wang, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2017.  “Quantifying and reducing the differences in forest CO2-fluxes estimated by eddy covariance, biometric and chamber methods: A global synthesis.”  Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 247:93-103.  doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.07.023

Yang Y, H Wang, SJ Smith, RC Easter, Jr, and PJ Rasch.  2018.  “Sulfate aerosol in the Arctic: source attribution and direct radiative forcing.”  Journal of Geophysical Research. D. (Atmospheres) 123(3):1899-1918. doi:10.1002/2017JD027298

Yang Y, H Wang, SJ Smith, R Zhang, S Lou, Y Qian, PL Ma, and PJ Rasch.  2018.  “Recent intensification of winter haze in China linked to foreign emissions and meteorology.”  Scientific Reports 8:Article No. 2107.  doi:10.1038/s41598-018-20437-7

Yu S, Q Tan, M Evans, GP Kyle, LD Vu, and PL Patel.  2017. “Improving Building Energy Efficiency in India: State-level Analysis of Building Energy Efficiency Policies.”  Energy Policy 110:331-341. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.07.013

Zhang X, H Li, Z Deng, C Ringler, Y Gao, MI Hejazi, and LYR Leung.  2018.  “Impacts of Climate Change, Policy and Water-Energy-Food Nexus on Hydropower Development.”  Renewable Energy 116(Part A):827-834.  doi:10.1016/j.renene.2017.10.030

Zhang Y, SJ Smith, JH Bowden, Z Adelman, and J West.  2017.  “Co-benefits of global, domestic, and sectoral greenhouse gas mitigation for US air quality and human health in 2050.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(11):Article No. 114033.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8f76

Zhang L, Y Liu, X Li, L Huang, D Yu, X Shi, H Chen, and S Xing.  2018.  “Effects of soil map scales on simulating soil organic carbon changes of upland soils in Eastern China.”  Geoderma 312:159-169. doi:10.1016/j.geoderma.2017.10.017

Zhang X, Q Tang, G Leng, X Liu, Z Li, and Z Huang.  2017.  “On the Dominant Factor Controlling Seasonal Hydrological Forecast Skill in China.”  Water 9(11):Article No. 902.  doi:10.3390/w9110902

Zhou Q, G Leng, and M Huang.  2018.  “Impacts of future climate change on urban flood volumes in Hohhot in northern China: benefits of climate change mitigation and adaptations.”  Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 22(1):305-316. doi:10.5194/hess-22-305-2018

Zhou T, N Voisin, G Leng, M Huang, and IP Kraucunas.  2018.  “Sensitivity of regulated flow regime to climate change in the Western United States.”  Journal of Hydrometeorology 19(3):499-515.  doi:10.1175/JHM-D-17-0095.1

Zhou S, Y Wang, Y Zhou, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2018. “Roles of wind and solar energy in China’s power sector: Implications of intermittency constraints.”  Applied Energy 213:22-30.  doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.01.025

Zhu Y, S Huang, J Chang, and G Leng.  2017. “Spatial-temporal changes in potential evaporation patterns based on the Cloud model and their possible causes.”  Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 31(8):2147-2158.  doi:10.1007/s00477-016-1304-9

2017 Fiscal Year

Aldy J, W Pizer, M Tavoni, L Reis, K Akimoto, GJ Blanford, C Carraro, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, GC Iyer, HC McJeon, RG Richels, S Rose, and F Sano.  2016.  “Economic Tools to Promote Transparency and Comparability in the Paris Agreement.”  Nature Climate Change 6:1000 – 1006.  doi:10.1038/nclimate3106

Alexander P, R Prestele, PH Verburg, A Arneth, C Baranzelli, F Batista e Silva, C Brown, A Butler, KV Calvin, N Dendoncker, J Doelman, R Dunford, K Engstrom, D Eitelberg, S Fujimori, P Harrison, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, S Holzhauer, F Humpenoder, C Jacobs-Crisioni, AK Jain, T Krisztin, GP Kyle, C Lavalle, T Lenton, J Liu, P Meiyappan, A Popp, T Powell, R Sands, R Schaldach, E Stehfest, J Steinbuks, A Tabeau, H van Meijl, MA Wise, and M Rounsevell.  2017.  “Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections.”  Global Change Biology 23(2):767-781.  doi:10.1063/1.4974492

Bailey VL, AP Smith, MM Tfaily, SJ Fansler, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2017. “Differences in Soluble Organic Carbon Chemistry in Pore Waters Sampled from Different Pore Size Domains.”  Soil Biology and Biochemistry 107:133-143.  doi:10.1016/j.soilbio.2016.11.025

Bauer N, KV Calvin, J Emmerling, O Fricko, S Fujimori, J Hilaire, J Eom, V Krey, E Kriegler, I Mouratiadou, H Sytze de Boer, M van den Berg, S Carrara, V Daioglou, L Drouet, JA Edmonds, D Gernaat, P Havlik, N Johnson, D Klein, GP Kyle, G Marangoni, T Masui, R Pietzcker, M Strubegger, MA Wise, K Riahi, and D Van Vuuren.  2017.  Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives.” Global Environmental Change 42:316-330.  doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006

Bond-Lamberty B, AP Smith, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Temperature and moisture effects on greenhouse gas emissions from deep active-layer boreal soils.”  Biogeosciences 13(24):6669-6681.  doi:10.5194/bg-13-6669-2016

Calvin KV, B Bond-Lamberty, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, J Eom, CA Hartin, SH Kim, GP Kyle, RP Link, RH Moss, HC McJeon, PL Patel, SJ Smith, ST Waldhoff, and MA Wise.  2017.  The SSP4: A World of Deepening Inequality.”  Global Environmental Change 42:284-296. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.010

Campbell JE, J Berry, U Seibt, SJ Smith, S Montzka, T Launois, S Belviso, L Bopp, and M Laine.  2017.  Large historical growth in global terrestrial gross primary production.” Nature 544(7648):84–87. doi:10.1038/nature22030

Chang J, P Ciais, X Wang, SL Piao, GR Asrar, R Betts, F Chevallier, M Dury, L Francois, K Frieler, AG Ros, AJ Henrot, T Hickler, A Ito, C Morfopoulos, G Munhoven, K Nishina, S Ostberg, S Pan, S Peng, R Rafique, C Reyer, C Rodenbeck, S Schaphoff, Jö Steinkamp, H Tian, N Viovy, J Yang, N Zeng, and F Zhao.  2017.  “Benchmarking carbon fluxes of the ISIMIP2a biome models.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(4):Article No. 045002.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa63fa

Chen M, R Rafique, GR Asrar, B Bond-Lamberty, P Ciais, F Zhao, C Reyer, S Ostberg, J Chang, A Ito, J Yang, N Zeng, E Kalnay, TO West, G Leng, L Francois, G Munhoven, AJ Henrot, H Tian, S Pan, K Nishina, N Viovy, C Morfopoulos, R Betts, S Schaphoff, J Steinkamp, and T Hickler.  2017.  “Regional Contribution to Variability and Trends of Global Gross Primary Productivity.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(10):105005.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8978

Collins W, JF Lamarque, M Schulz, O Boucher, V Eyring, MI Hegglin, A Maycock, G Myhre, M Prather, DT Shindell, and SJ Smith.  2017. “AerChemMIP: Quantifying the effects of chemistry and aerosols in CMIP6.”  Geoscientific Model Development 10(2):585-607.  doi:10.5194/gmd-10-585-2017

Dahowski RT, CL Davidson, S Yu, JD Horing, N Wei, LE Clarke, and SR Bender.  2017.  “The impact of CCS readiness on the evolution of China’s electric power sector.”  Energy Procedia 114:6631-6637. doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.1817

Davidson CL, RT Dahowski, HC McJeon, LE Clarke, GC Iyer, and M Muratori.  2017.  “The value of CCS under current policy scenarios: NDCs and beyond.”  Energy Procedia 114:7521-7527. doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.1885

Di Vittorio A, GP Kyle, and WD Collins.  2016.  What are the effects of Agro-Ecological Zones and land use region boundaries on land resource projection using the Global Change Assessment Model?”  Environmental Modelling & Software 85:246-265.  doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.08.016

Edelenbosch OY, K Kermeli, W Crijns-Graus, E Worrell, R Bibas, B Fais, S Fujimori, GP Kyle, F Sano, and D Van Vuuren.  2017.  Comparing projections of industrial energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions in long-term energy models.”  Energy 122:701–710.  doi:10.1016/j.energy.2017.01.017

Evans M, V Roshchanka, and P Graham.  2017.  “An International Survey of Building Energy Codes and Their Implementation.”  Journal of Cleaner Production 158:382-389.  doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.01.007

Evans M, N Kholod, T Kuklinski, A Denysenko, SJ Smith, AJ Staniszewski, WM Hao, L Liu, and TC Bond.  2017.  “Black carbon emissions in Russia: A critical review.”  Atmospheric Environment 163:9–21. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.05.026

Gu D, AB Guenther, JE Shilling, H Yu, M Huang, C Zhao, Q Yang, ST Martin, P Artaxo, S Kim, R Seco, T Stavrakou, K Longo, J Tota, R Augusto Ferreira de Souza, O Vega, Y Liu, MKB Shrivastava, E Alves, F Cavalcante Dos Santos, G Leng, and Z Hu.  2017.  “Airborne observations reveal elevational gradient in tropical forest isoprene emissions.”  Nature Communications 8:15541.  doi:10.1038/ncomms15541

Güneralp B, Y Zhou, D Ürge-Vorsatz, M Gupta, S Yu, PL Patel, M Fragkias, X Li, and K Seto.  2017.  Global scenarios of urban density and its impacts on building energy use through 2050.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 114(34):8945–8950. doi:10.1073/pnas.1606035114

Hattermann FF, V Krysanova, SN Gosling, R Dankers, P Daggupati, C Donnelly, M Florke, S Huang, Y Motovilov, S Buda, T Yang, C Mueller, G Leng, Q Tang, FT Portmann, S Hagemann, D Gerten , Y Wada, Y Masaki, T Alemayehu, Y Satoh, and L Samaniego.  2017.  Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins.”  Climatic Change 141(3):561-576. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1829-4

Huang L, H Fang, X Xu, G He, X Zhang, and D Reible.  2017.  “Stochastic modeling of phosphorus transport in the Three Gorges Reservoir by incorporating variability associated with the phosphorus partition coefficient.”  Science of the Total Environment 592:649–661.  doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.02.227

Huang S, B Ming, Q Huang, G Leng, and B Hou.  2017.  “A case study on a combination NDVI forecasting model based on the entropy weight method.”  Water Resources Management 31(11):3667–3681. doi:10.1007/s11269-017-1692-8

Huang S, Q Huang, G Leng, M Zhao, and E Meng.  2017.  “Variations in annual water-energy balance and their correlations with vegetation and soil moisture dynamics: A case study in the Wei River Basin, China.”  Journal of Hydrology 546:515–525. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.12.060

Ibrahim K, AFA Shabudin, KC Koshy, and GR Asrar.  2016. A new framework for integrated climate finance and inclusive responses to sustainable development in Malaysia.”  Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk 7(6):1754-1768.  doi:10.1080/19475705.2016.1155503

Irvine P, BS Kravitz, MG Lawrence, D Gerten , C Caminade, S Gosling, , E Hendy , B Kassie , DW Kissling , H Muri, A Oschlies, and SJ Smith.  2017. Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering.” Earths Future 5(1):93–106. doi:10.1002/2016EF000389

Iyer GC, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, and N Hultman.  2016.  “Do national-level policies to promote low-carbon technology deployment pay off for the investor countries?”  Energy Policy98:400–411.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2016.08.017

Iyer GC, and JA Edmonds.  2017. “Emission scenarios: Explaining differences.”  Nature Climate Change 7:99-100.  doi:10.1038/nclimate3200

Izaurralde RC, WB Mcgill, JR Williams, CD Jones, RP Link, D Manowitz, DE Schwab, X Zhang, GP Robertson, and N Milar.  2017.  “Simulating microbial denitrification with EPIC: Model description and initial testing.”  Ecological Modelling 359:349 – 362.  doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.06.007

Kravitz BS, CD Lynch, CA Hartin, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2017.  “Exploring precipitation pattern scaling methodologies and robustness among CMIP5 models.” Geoscientific Model Development 10(5):1889-1902.  doi:10.5194/gmd-10-1889-2017

Kriegler E, N Bauer, A Popp, F Humpenoder, M Leimbach, J Strefler, L Baumstark, B Bodirsky, J Hilaire, D Klein, I Mouratiadou, I Weindl, C Bertram, JP Dietrich, G Luderer, M Pehl, R Pietzcker, F Piontek, H Lotze-Campen, A Biewald, M Bonsch, A Giannousakis, U Kreidenweis, C Mueller, S Rolinski, A Schultes, J Schwanitz, M Stefanovic, KV Calvin, J Emmerling, S Fujimori, and O Edenhofer.  2017.  Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): an energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century.”  Global Environmental Change 42:297-315.  doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.015

Leng G, X Zhang, M Huang, Q Yang, R Rafique, GR Asrar, and LYR Leung.  2016.  “Simulating County-Level Crop Yields in the Conterminous United States Using the Community Land Model: the Effects of Optimizing Irrigation and Fertilization.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 8(4):1912–1931.  doi:10.1002/2016MS000645

Leng G, M Huang, N Voisin, X Zhang, GR Asrar, and LYR Leung.  2016.  “Emergence of new hydrologic regimes of surface water resources in the Conterminous United States under future warming.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(11):Article No. 114003.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/114003

Leng G, LY Leung, and M Huang.  2017.  “Significant impacts of irrigation water sources and methods on modeling irrigation effects in the ACME Land Model.”  Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 9(3):1665 – 1683.  doi:10.1002/2016MS000885

Leng G, and M Huang.  2017.  “Crop yield response to climate change varies with crop spatial distribution pattern.”  Scientific Reports 7:1463.  doi:10.1038/s41598-017-01599-2

Li F, DM Lawrence, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2017. “Impact of fire on global land surface air temperature and energy budget for the 20th century due to changes within ecosystems.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(4):Article No. 044014. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa6685

Li X, Y Zhou, GR Asrar, J Mao, X Li, and W Li.  2017.  “Response of vegetation phenology to urbanization in the conterminous United States.”  Global Change Biology 23(7):2818-2830.  doi:10.1111/gcb.13562

Li X, CR Vernon, MI Hejazi, RP Link, L Feng, Y Liu, and LT Rauchenstein.  2017.  “Xanthos – A Global Hydrologic Model.”  Journal of Open Research Software 5(1):21.  doi:10.5334/jors.181

Liu S, B Bond-Lamberty, LR Boysen, JD Ford, A Fox, K Gallo, J Hatfield, G Henebry, TG Huntington, Z Liu, T Loveland, RJ Norby, T Sohl, AL Steiner, W Yuan, Z Zhang, and S Zhao.  2017.  “Grand Challenges in Understanding the Interplay of Climate and Land Changes.”  Earth Interactions 21(2):1-43.  doi:10.1175/EI-D-16-0012.1

Liu B, M Evans, S Yu, V Roshchanka, S Dukkipati, and A Sreenivas.  2017.  “Effective Energy Data Management for Low-carbon Growth Planning: An Analytical Framework for Assessment.”  Energy Policy 107:32-42.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.03.059

Liu L, MI Hejazi, HY Li, B Forman, and X Zhang.  2017.  “Vulnerability of US thermoelectric power generation to climate change when incorporating state-level environmental regulations.”  Nature Energy 2:17109. doi:10.1038/nenergy.2017.109

Liu Y, MI Hejazi, H Li, X Zhang, and G Leng.  2017. A Hydrological Emulator for Global Applications.”  Geoscientific Model Development 1-37.  doi:10.5194/gmd-2017-113

Lu X, M Chen, Y Liu, D Miralles, and F Wang.  2017.  “Enhanced water use efficiency in global terrestrial ecosystems under increasing aerosol loadings.”  Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 237-238:39-49.  doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.02.002

Lynch CD, CA Hartin, B Bond-Lamberty, and BS Kravitz.  2017.  “An open-access CMIP5 pattern library for temperature and precipitation: Description and methodology.”  Earth System Science Data 9(1):281-292. doi:10.5194/essd-2016-68

Meehl GA, and RH Moss.  2016.  “Aspen Global Change Institute: 25 Years of Interdisciplinary Global Change Science.”  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 97(11):20027-2037. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00204.1

Mignone BK, S Showalter, F Wood, HC McJeon, and D Steinberg.  2017.  “Sensitivity of Natural Gas Deployment in the US Power Sector to Future Carbon Policy Expectations.”  Energy Policy 110:518-524. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.08.012

Motesharrei S, J Rivas, E Kalnay, GR Asrar, A Busalacchi, RF Cahalan, M Cane, RR Colwell, K Feng, RS Franklin, K Hubacek, F Miralles-Wilhelm, T Miyoshi, M Ruth, R Sagdeev, A Shirmohammadi, J Shukla, J Srebric, VM Yakovenko, and N Zeng.  2016.  “Modeling sustainability: population, inequality, consumption, and bidirectional coupling of the Earth and Human Systems.”  National Science Review 3(4):470–494.  doi:10.1093/nsr/nww081

Muratori M, CM Ledna, HC McJeon, GP Kyle, PL Patel, SH Kim, MA Wise, H Kheshgi, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2017.  “Cost of Power or Power of Cost: a U.S. Modeling Perspective.”  Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews 77:861-874.  doi:10.1016/j.rser.2017.04.055

Muratori M, H Kheshgi, BK Mignone, LE Clarke, HC McJeon, and JA Edmonds.  2017. Carbon Capture and Storage across Fuels and Sectors in Energy System Transformation Pathways.”  International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 57:34-41. doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2016.11.026

Muratori M, SJ Smith, GP Kyle, RP Link, BK Mignone, and H Kheshgi.  2017.  Role of the Freight Sector in Future Climate Change Mitigation Scenarios.”  Environmental Science & Technology 51(6):3526–3533.  doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b04515

Muratori M, H Kheshgi, BK Mignone, HC McJeon, and LE Clarke.  2017.  “The future role of CCS in electricity and liquid fuel supply.”  Energy Procedia 114:7606 – 7614.  doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.1893

Pan X, W Chen, LE Clarke, L Wang, and L Guannan.  2017.  “China’s energy system transformation towards the 2 °C goal: Implications of different effort-sharing principles.”  Energy Policy 103:116-126.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.01.020

Phillips C, B Bond-Lamberty, AR Desai, M Lavoie, D Risk, J Tang, KEO Todd-Brown, and R Vargas.  2017.  “The value of soil respiration measurements for interpreting and modeling terrestrial carbon cycling.”  Plant and Soil 413(1):1-25.  doi:10.1007/s11104-016-3084-x

Prestele R, P Alexander, M Rounsevell, A Arneth, KV Calvin, J Doelman, D Eitelberg, K Engstrom, S Fujimori, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, F Humpenoder, AK Jain, T Krisztin, GP Kyle, P Meiyappan, A Popp, R Sands, R Schaldach, J Schungel, E Stehfest, A Tabeau, H van Meijl, J Van Vliet, and PH Verburg.  2016.  Hotspots of uncertainty in land use and land cover change projections: a global scale model comparison.”  Global Change Biology22(12):3967-3983.  doi:10.1111/gcb.13337

Rafique R, J Xia, O Hararuk, G Leng, GR Asrar, and Y Luo.  2017.  “Comparing the performance of three land models in global C cycle simulations: A detailed structural analysis.”  Land Degradation and Development 28(2):524-533.  doi:10.1002/ldr.2506

Rao S, Z Klimont, J Leitao, K Riahi, R van Dingenen, L Reis, KV Calvin, F Dentener, L Drouet, S Fujimori, JHM Harmsen, G Luderer, C Heyes, J Stefler, M Tavoni, and D Van Vuuren.  2016.  A multi-model assessment of the co-benefits of climate mitigation for global air quality.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(12):Article No. 124013.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124013

Rao S, Z Klimont, SJ Smith, R van Dingenen, F Dentener, L Bouwman, K Riahi, M Amann, B Bodirsky, D Van Vuuren, L Reis, KV Calvin, L Drouet, O Fricko, S Fujimori, D Gernaat, P Havlik, M Harmsen, T Hasegawa, C Heyes, J Hilaire, G Luderer, T Masui, E Stehfest, J Strefler, S van der Sluis, and M Tavoni.  2017.  Future Air Pollution in the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways.”  Global Environmental Change 42:346-358. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.012

Riahi K, D Van Vuuren, E Kriegler, JA Edmonds, B O’Neill, S Fujimori, N Bauer, KV Calvin, R Dellink, O Fricko, W Lutz, A Popp, J Crespo Cuaresma, S Kc, M Leimbach, L Jiang, T Kram, S Rao, J Emmerling, K Ebi, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, F Humpenoder, L Da Silva, SJ Smith, E Stehfest, V Bosetti, J Eom, D Gernaat, T Masui, J Rogelj, J Strefler, L Drouet, V Krey, G Luderer, M Harmsen, K Takahashi, L Baumstark, J Doelman, M Kainuma, Z Klimont, G Marangoni, H Lotze-Campen, M Obersteiner, A Tabeau, and M Tavoni.  2017.  The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their Energy, Land Use, and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Implications: An Overview.”  Global Environmental Change 42:153–168. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009

Sarofim M, ST Waldhoff, and SC Anenberg.  2017.  Valuing the ozone-related health benefits of methane emissions controls.”  Environmental and Resource Economics 66(1):45-63.  doi:10.1007/s10640-015-9937-6

Shu L, Q Jiang, X Zhang, and K Zhao.  2017.  “Potential and limitations of satellite laser altimetry for monitoring water surface dynamics: ICESat for US lakes.”  International Journal of Agricultural and Biological Engineering 10(5):154-165.  doi:10.25165/j.ijabe.20171005.3426

Stegen JC, CG Anderson, B Bond-Lamberty, AR Crump, X Chen, and NJ Hess.  2017.  “Soil respiration across a permafrost transition zone: spatial structure and environmental correlates.”  Biogeosciences14(18):4341-4354.  doi:10.5194/bg-14-4341-2017

Stevens B, S Fiedler, S Kinne, K Peters, S Rast, J Musse, SJ Smith, and T Mauritsen.  2017.  “MACv2-SP: A parameterization of anthropogenic aerosol optical properties and an associated Twomey effect for use in CMIP6.”  Geoscientific Model Development 10(1):433-452.  doi:10.5194/gmd-10-433-2017

Talati SK, H Zhai, GP Kyle, MG Morgan, PL Patel, and L Liu.  2016.  Consumptive Water Use from Electricity Generation in the Southwest under Alternative Climate, Technology and Policy Futures.”  Environmental Science & Technology 50(22):12095-12104. doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b01389

Thornton PE, KV Calvin, AD Jones, A Di Vittorio, B Bond-Lamberty, LM Chini, X Shi, J Mao, WD Collins, JA Edmonds, AM Thomson, JE Truesdale, AP Craig, M Branstetter, and GC Hurtt.  2017.  “Biospheric feedback effects in a synchronously coupled model of human and Earth systems.”  Nature Climate Change 7:496-500. doi:10.1038/nclimate3310

Turner SWD, JY Ng, and S Galelli.  2017.  “Examining global electricity supply vulnerability to climate change using a high-fidelity hydropower dam model.”  Science of the Total Environment 590-591:663-675. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.03.022

Turner SWD, J Bennett, D Robertson, and S Galelli.  2017.  “Complex relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in reservoir operations.”  Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 21(9):4841-4859.  doi:10.5194/hess-21-4841-2017

Voisin N, MI Hejazi, LYR Leung, L Liu, M Huang, H Li, and TK Tesfa.  2017.  “Effects of spatially distributed sectoral water management on the redistribution of water resources in an integrated water model.”  Water Resources Research 53(5):4253-4270. doi:10.1002/2016WR019767

Voisin N, MCW Kintner-Meyer, R Skaggs, TB Nguyen, D Wu, JA Dirks, YL Xie, and MI Hejazi.  2016.  “Vulnerability of the US Western Electric Grid to Hydro-Climatological Conditions: How bad can it get?”  Energy 115(Part 1):1-12.  doi:10.1016/j.energy.2016.08.059

Weaver CP, RH Moss, K Ebi, PH Gleick, P Stern, C Tebaldi, RS Wilson, and J Arvai.  2017.  “Reframing Climate Change Assessments Around Risk: Recommendations for the U.S. National Climate Assessment.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(8):Article No. 080201. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa7494

Willner S, CA Hartin, and R Gieseke.  2017.  “pyhector: A Python interface for the simple climate model Hector.”  The Journal of Open Source Software 2(12):Article No. 248.  doi:10.21105/joss.00248

Wise MA, M Muratori, and GP Kyle.  2017.  “Biojet Fuels and Emissions Mitigation in Aviation: an Integrated Assessment Modeling Analysis.”  Transportation Research. Part D. Transport and Environment 52(Part A):244 – 253.  doi:10.1016/j.trd.2017.03.006

Wolf J, GR Asrar, and TO West.  2017.  “Revised Methane Emissions Factors and Spatially Distributed Annual Carbon Fluxes for Global Livestock.”  Carbon Balance and Management 12:Article No. 16.  doi:10.1186/s13021-017-0084-y

Yan Z, C Liu, K Todd-Brown, Y Liu, B Bond-Lamberty, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Pore-scale Investigation on the Response of Heterotrophic Respiration to Moisture Conditions in Heterogeneous Soils.”  Biogeochemistry 131(1):121-134.  doi:10.1007/s10533-016-0270-0

Yang Q, X Zhang, X Xu, and GR Asrar.  2017.  “An analysis of terrestrial and aquatic environmental controls of riverine dissolved organic carbon in the conterminous United States.”  Water 9(6):383.  doi:10.3390/w9060383

Yang Q, and X Zhang.  2016. Improving SWAT for simulating water and carbon fluxes of forest ecosystems.” Science of the Total Environment 569–570, 1478–1488.  doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.06.238

Yang Y, H Wang, SJ Smith, PL Ma, and PJ Rasch.  2017.  “Source attribution of black carbon and its direct radiative forcing in China.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 17(6):4319-4336.  doi:10.5194/acp-17-4319-2017

Yang Y, H Wang, SJ Smith, RC Easter, Jr, PL Ma, Y Qian, H Yu, C Li, and PJ Rasch.  2017.  “Global source attribution of sulfate concentration and direct and indirect radiative forcing.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 17(14):8903-8922.  doi:10.5194/acp-17-8903-2017

Yeh S, GS Mishra, LM Fulton, GP Kyle, D McCollum, J Miller, P Cazzola, and J Teter.  2017.  Detailed assessment of global transport-energy models’ structures and projections.” Transportation Research. Part D. Transport and Environment 55:294–309.  doi:10.1016/j.trd.2016.11.001

Zhang X, Q Tang, X Liu, G Leng, and Z Li.  2017.  “Soil Moisture Drought monitoring and forecasting using satellite and climate model data over Southwestern China.”  Journal of Hydrometeorology 18(1):5-23.  doi:10.1175/JHM-D-16-0045.1

Zhang L, G Wang, Q Zheng, Y Liu, D Yu, X Shi, S Xing, H Chen, and X Fan.  2017.  “Quantifying the impacts of agricultural management and climate change on soil organic carbon changes in the uplands of Eastern China.”  Soil & Tillage Research 174:81-91. doi:10.1016/j.still.2017.06.005

Zhao S, H Hu, F Tian, Q Tie, L Wang, Y Liu, and C Shi.  2017.  “Divergence of stable isotopes in tap water across China.”  Scientific Reports 7:43653-43653.  doi:10.1038/srep43653

Zhou Q, AJ Blohm, and B Liu.  2017.  “Planning Framework for Mesolevel Optimization of Urban Runoff Control Schemes.”  Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 143(4):04016083.  doi:10.1061/(asce)wr.1943-5452.0000748

Zumkehr A, TW Hilton, M Whelan, SJ Smith, and E Campbell.  2017.  “Gridded anthropogenic emissions inventory and atmospheric transport of carbonyl sulfide in the U.S.” Journal of Geophysical Research. D. (Atmospheres)122(4):2169-2178.  doi:10.1002/2016JD025550

2016 Fiscal Year

Abbott B, JB Jones, EA Schuur, FS Chapin, WB Bowden, MS Bret-Harte, HE Epstein, MD Flannigan, TK Harms, TN Hollingsworth, M Mack, AD McGuire, SM Natali, A Rocha, SE Tank, M Turetsky, JE Vonk, KP Wickland, GR Aiken, HD Alexander, RM Amon, BW Benscoter, Y Bergeron, K Bishop, O Blarquez, B Bond-Lamberty, AL Breen, I Buffam, Y Cai, C Carcaillet, SK Carey, JM Chen, HY Chen, TR Christensen, LW Cooper, JHC Cornelissen, WJ de Groot, TH DeLuca, E Dorrepaal, N Fetcher, JC Finlay, BC Forbes, NH French, S Gauthier, MP Girardin, SJ Goetz, JG Goldammer, L Gough, P Grogan, L Guo, PE Higuera, L Hinzman, FS Hu, G Hugelius, EE Jafarov, R Jandt, JF Johnstone, J Karlsson, ES Kasischke, G Kattner, R Kelly, F Keuper, G Kling, P Kortelainen, J Kouki, P Kuhry, H Laudon, I Laurion, RW Macdonald, PJ Mann, P Martikainen, JW McClelland, U Molau, SF Oberbauer, D Olefeldt, D Pare, MA Parisien, S Payette, C Peng, OS Pokrovesky, EB Rastetter, PA Raymond, MK Raynolds, G Rein, JF Reynolds, M Robards, BM Rogers, C Schadel, K Schaefer, IK Schmidt, A Shvidenko, J Sky, RG Spencer, G Starr, RG Striegl, R Teisserenc, LJ Tranvik, T Virtanen, JM Welker, and S Zimov.  2016.  “Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire: an expert assessment.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(3):Article No. 034014.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014

Asrar GR, RH Moss, and K Jacobs.  2016.  “Challenges and Opportunities in Earth-Human Systems Research.”  Eos 97:, doi:10.1029/2016EO050919

Bauer N, J Hilaire, RJ Brecha, JA Edmonds, K Jiang, E Kriegler, HH Rogner, and F Sferra.  2016.  “Assessing global fossil fuel availability in a scenario framework.”  Energy 111:580-592. doi:10.1016/j.energy.2016.05.088

Bond-Lamberty B, H Bolton, Jr, SJ Fansler, A Heredia-Langner, C Liu, LA McCue, JL Smith, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Soil respiration and bacterial structure and function after 17 years of a reciprocal soil transplant experiment.”  PLoS One 11(3):e0150599.  doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0150599

Bond-Lamberty B, D Epron, JW Harden, M Harmon, FM Hoffman, J Kumar, AD McGuire, and R Vargas.  2016.  “Estimating heterotrophic respiration at large scales: challenges, approaches, and next steps.”  Ecosphere 7(6):e01380. doi:10.1002/ecs2.1380

Bond-Lamberty B, AP Smith, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Running an open experiment: transparency and reproducibility in soil and ecosystem science.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(8):084004.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/8/084004

Buizer JL, K Dow, ME Black, K Jacobs, A Waple, RH Moss, S Moser, A Luers, DI Gustafson, TC Richmond, SL Hays, and CB Field.  2016.  “Building a sustained climate assessment process.”  Climatic Change 135(1):23-37. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1501-4

Cai X, ZL Yang, JB Fisher, X Zhang, M Barlage, and F Chen.  2016.  “Integration of nitrogen dynamics into the Noah-MP land surface model v1.1 for climate and environmental predictions.”  Geoscientific Model Development 9(1):1-15.  doi:10.5194/gmd-9-1-2016

Calderon S, AC Alvarez, AM Loboguerrero, S Arango, KV Calvin, T Kober, K Daenzer, and K Fisher-Vanden.  2016.  “ACHIEVING CO2 REDUCTIONS IN COLOMBIA: EFFECTS OF CARBON TAXES AND ABATEMENT TARGETS.”  Energy Economics 56:575-586.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.05.010

Calvin KV, MA Wise, P Luckow, GP Kyle, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2016.  Implications of uncertain future fossil energy resources on bioenergy use and terrestrial carbon emissions.”  Climatic Change136(1):57-68.  doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0923-0

Calvin KV, RH Beach, A Gurgel, M Labriet, and AM Loboguerrero.  2016.  “Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land-Use Emissions in Latin America.”  Energy Economics 56:615–624.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.03.020

Calvin KV, S Rose, MA Wise, HC McJeon, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2015.  “Global Climate, Energy, and Economic Implications of International Energy Offsets Programs.”  Climatic Change 133(4):583-596. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1482-3

Clarke LE, J McFarland, C Octaviano, B van Ruijven, RH Beach, K Daenzer, S Herreras Martinez, A Lucena, A Kitous, M Labriet, AM Loboguerrero Rodriguez, A Mundra, and B van der Zwaan.  2016.  Long-Term Abatement Potential and Current Policy Trajectories in Latin American Countries.” Energy Economics 56:513–525.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.01.011

Di Sbroiavacca N, G Nadal, F Lallana, J Falzon, and KV Calvin.  2016.  “Emissions reduction scenarios in the Argentinean Energy Sector.”  Energy Economics 56:552-563.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.03.021

Fawcett A, GC Iyer, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, N Hultman, HC McJeon, J Rogelj, R Schuler, J Alsalam, GR Asrar, J Creason, M Jeong, J McFarland, A Mundra, and W Shi.  2015.  “Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change?”  Science 350(6265):1168-1169 .  doi:10.1126/science.aad5761

Gao J, A Zhang, SK Lam, X Zhang, AM Thomson, E Lin, K Jiang, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, GP Kyle, S Yu, Y Zhou, and S Zhou.  2016.  An integrated assessment of the potential of agricultural and forestry residues for energy production in China.”  Global Change Biology Bioenergy 8(5):880-893. doi:10.1111/gcbb.12305

Gillingham K, W Nordhaus, D Anthoff, GJ Blanford, V Bosetti, P Christensen, HC McJeon, JM Reilly, and P Sztorc.  2015.  “Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Multi-Model Comparison.”  National Bureau of Economic Research Article No. 21637.  doi:10.3386/w21637

Gough C, P Curtis, B Hardiman, C Scheuermann, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2016.  “Disturbance, complexity, and succession of net ecosystem production in North America’s temperate deciduous forests.”  Ecosphere 7(6):e01375. doi:10.1002/ecs2.1375

Hallegatte S, J Rogelj, M Allen, LE Clarke, O Edenhofer, CB Field, P Friedlingstein, L van Kesteren, R Knutti, K Mach, M Mastrandrea, A Michel, J Minx, M Oppenheimer, GK Plattner, K Riahi, M Schaeffer, T Stocker, and D Van Vuuren.  2016.  Mapping the climate change challenge.”  Nature Climate Change 6(7):663–668.  doi:10.1038/nclimate3057

Hartin CA, B Bond-Lamberty, PL Patel, and A Mundra.  2016.  “Ocean acidification over the next three centuries using a simple global climate carbon-cycle model: projections and sensitivities.”  Biogeosciences 13(15):4329-4342. doi:10.5194/bg-13-4329-2016

Hegre H, H Buhaug, KV Calvin, J Nordkvelle, ST Waldhoff, and EA Gilmore.  2016.  “Forecasting Civil Conflict along the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(5):Article No. 054002. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054002

Huang S, Q Huang, G Leng, and J Chang.  2016.  “A hybrid index for characterizing drought based on a nonparametric kernel estimator.”  Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 55(6):1377-1389. doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0295.1

Iyer GC, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, N Hultman, and HC McJeon.  2015.  “Long-term payoffs of near-term low-carbon deployment policies.”  Energy Policy 86:493–505. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.08.004

Iyer GC, JA Edmonds, AA Fawcett, N Hultman, J Alsalam, GR Asrar, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, J Creason, M Jeong, J McFarland, A Mundra, PL Patel, W Shi, and HC McJeon.  2015.  “The contribution of Paris to limit global warming to 2 °C.”  Environmental Research Letters 10(12):Article No. 125002.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125002

Kholod N, M Evans, E Gusev, S Yu, V Malyshev, S Tretyakova, and A Barinov.  2016.  “A Methodology for Calculating Transport Emissions in Cities with Limited Traffic Data: Case Study of Diesel Particulates and Black Carbon Emissions in Murmansk.”  Science of the Total Environment 547:305-313. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.12.151

Kholod N, and M Evans.  2016.  “Reducing Black Carbon Emissions from Diesel Vehicles in Russia: An Assessment and Policy Recommendations.”  Environmental Science & Policy 56:1-8.  doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2015.10.017

Kholod N, M Evans, and T Kuklinski.  2016.  Russia’s black carbon emissions: focus on diesel sources.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 16(17):11267-11281.  doi:10.5194/acp-16-11267-2016

Kim SH, MI Hejazi, L Liu, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, GP Kyle, PL Patel, MA Wise, and E Davies.  2016.  “Balancing Global Water Availability and Use at Basin Scale in an Integrated Assessment Model.”  Climatic Change 136(2):217-231. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1604-6

Kober T, J Falzon, B van der Zwaan, KV Calvin, A Kanudia, A Kitous, and M Labriet.  2016.  “A Multi-Model Study of Energy Supply Investments in Latin America under Climate Control Policy.”  Energy Economics 56:543–551. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.01.005

Kriegler E, I Mouratiadou, G Luderer, N Bauer, RJ Brecha, KV Calvin, E DeCian , JA Edmonds, K Jiang, M Tavoni, and O Edenhofer.  2016.  “Will economic growth and fossil fuel scarcity help or hinder climate stabilization? Overview of the RoSE multi-model study.”  Climatic Change 136(1):7-22.  doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1668-3

Kriegler E, I Mouratiadou, G Luderer, JA Edmonds, and O Edenhofer.  2016.  Introduction to the RoSE special issue on the impact of economic growth and fossil fuel availability on climate protection.”  Climatic Change 136(1):1-6. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1667-4

Kunkel KE, RH Moss, and A Parris.  2016.  “Innovations in science and scenarios for assessment.”  Climatic Change 135(1):55-68. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1494-z

Kyle GP, AM Thomson, MA Wise, and X Zhang.  2015.  “Assessment of the importance of spatial scale in long-term land use modelling of the Midwestern United States.”  Environmental Modelling & Software 72:261-271. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.06.006

Lawrence DM, GC Hurtt, A Arneth, V Brovkin, KV Calvin, AD Jones, CD Jones, P Lawrence, N de Noblet-Ducoudr, J Pongratz, SI Seneviratne, and E Shevliakova.  2016.  “The Land-Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) Contribution to CMIP6: Rationale and Experimental Design.”  Geoscientific Model Development 9(9):2973-2998.  doi:10.5194/gmd-2016-76

Leng G, X Zhang, M Huang, GR Asrar, and LY Leung.  2016.  “The Role of Climate Covariability on Crop Yields in the Conterminous United States.”  Scientific Reports 6:33160.  doi:10.1038/srep33160

Li H, LYR Leung, TK Tesfa, N Voisin, MI Hejazi, L Liu, Y Liu, JS Rice, H Wu, and X Yang.  2015.  “Modeling stream temperature in the Anthropocene: An earth system modeling approach.”  Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 7(4):1661-1679.  doi:10.1002/2015MS000471

Liu Y, MI Hejazi, GP Kyle, SH Kim, E Davies, D Miralles, A Teuling, Y He, and D Niyogi.  2016.  Global and regional evaluation of energy for water.”  Environmental Science & Technology 50(17):9736-9745. doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b01065

Lucas P, J Nielsen, KV Calvin, D McCollum, G Marangoni, J Strefler, B van der Zwaan, and D Van Vuuren.  2015.  “Future energy system challenges for Africa: Insights from Integrated Assessment Models.”  Energy Policy 86:705 – 717.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.08.017

Luderer G, C Bertram, KV Calvin, E De Cian, and E Kriegler.  2016.  Implications of weak near-term climate policies on long-term climate mitigation pathways .” Climatic Change 136(1):127-140. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0899-9

Luo Y, A Ahlstrom, SD Allison, NH Batjes, V Brovkin, N Carvalhais, A Chappell, P Ciais, EA Davidson, A Finzi, K Georgiou, B Guenet, O Hararuk, JW Harden, Y He, F Hopkins, L Jiang, C Koven, RB Jackson, CD Jones, MJ Lara, J Liang, AD McGuire, WJ Parton, C Peng, J Randerson, A Salazar, CA Sierra , MJ Smith, H Tian, KEO Todd-Brown, MS Torn, KJ van Groenigen, YP Wang, TO West, Y Wei, WR Wieder, J Xia, X Xu, X Xu, and T Zhou.  2016.  “Towards More Realistic Projections of Soil Carbon Dynamics by Earth System Models.” Global Biogeochemical Cycles 30(1):40-56.  doi:10.1002/2015GB005239

McFarland J, Y Zhou, LE Clarke, P Sullivan, J Colman, W Jaglom, M Colley, PL Patel, J Eom, SH Kim, GP Kyle, P Schultz, B Venkatesh, J Haydel, C Mack, and J Creason.  2015.  “Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison.”  Climatic Change 131(1):111-125.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1380-8

McFarland J, Y Zhou, LE Clarke, P Sullivan, J Colman, W Jaglom, M Colley, PL Patel, J Eom, SH Kim, GP Kyle, P Schultz, B Venkatesh, J Haydel, C Mack, and J Creason.  2015.  “Erratum to: Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison.”  Climatic Change 132(4):739. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1452-9

Moser S, J Melillo, K Jacobs, RH Moss, and JL Buizer.  2016.  “Aspirations and common tensions: larger lessons from the third US national climate assessment.”  Climatic Change 135(1):187-201.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1530-z

Moss RH.  2016.  “Assessing Decision Support Systems and Levels of Confidence to Narrow the Climate Information “Usability Gap”.”  Climatic Change 135(1):143-155.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1549-1

Muratori M, and G Rizzoni.  2016.  “Residential Demand Response: Dynamic Energy Management and Time-Varying Electricity Pricing.”  IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 31(2):1108 -1 117.  doi:10.1109/TPWRS.2015.2414880

ONeill BC, C Tebaldi, D Van Vuuren, V Eyring, P Fridelingstein, G Hurtt, R Knutti, E Kriegler, JF Lamarque, J Lowe, GA Meehl, RH Moss, K Riahi, and BM Sanderson.  2016.  The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6.” Geoscientific Model Development 9(9):3461-3482.  doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016

Orsi F, M Muratori, M Rocco, E Colombo, and G Rizzoni.  2016.  “A multi-dimensional well-to-wheels analysis of passenger vehicles in different regions: Primary energy consumption, CO2 emissions, and economic cost.”  Applied Energy 169:197-209.  doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.02.039

Rafique R, F Zhao, R de Jong, N Zeng, and GR Asrar.  2016.  “Global and Regional Variability and Change in Terrestrial Ecosystems Net Primary Production and NDVI: A Model-Data Comparison.”  Remote Sensing 8(3):177. doi:10.3390/rs8030177

Roshchanka V, and M Evans.  2016.  “Scaling up the Energy Service Company (ESCO) Business: Market Status and Company Feedback in the Russian Federation.”  Journal of Cleaner Production 112(5):3905–3914. doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.05.078

Schafer A, GP Kyle, and R Pietzcker.  2016.  Exploring the use of dynamic linear panel data models for evaluating energy/economy/environment models — an application for the transportation sector.”  Climatic Change 136(1):141-154.  doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1293-y

Schuelke-Leech BA, B Barry, M Muratori, and BJ Yurkovich.  2015.  “Big Data issues and opportunities for electric utilities.”  Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews 52:937-947.  doi:10.1016/j.rser.2015.07.128

Scott MJ, DS Daly, JE Hathaway, CS Lansing, Y Liu, HC McJeon, RH Moss, PL Patel, MJ Peterson, JS Rice, and Y Zhou.  2015.  “Calculating Impacts of Energy Standards on Energy Demand in U.S. Buildings with Uncertainty in an Integrated Assessment Model.”  Energy90(Part 2):1682-1694.  doi:10.1016/j.energy.2015.06.127

Scott MJ, DS Daly, MI Hejazi, GP Kyle, L Liu, HC McJeon, A Mundra, PL Patel, JS Rice, and N Voisin.  2016.  “Sensitivity of Future U.S. Water Shortages to Socioeconomic and Climate Drivers: A Case Study in Georgia Using an Integrated Human-Earth System Modeling Framework.”  Climatic Change 136(2):233-246. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1602-8

Simmons A, JL Fellous, V Ramaswamy, K Trenberth, GR Asrar, MA Balmaseda, JP Burrows, P Cias, M Drinkwater, P Friedlingstein, N Gobron, E Guilyardi, D Halpern, M Heimann, J Johannessen, PF Levelt, LB Ernesto, JE Penner, R Scholes, and T Shepherd.  2016.  “Observation and integrated Earth-system science: A roadmap for 2016–2025.”  Advances in Space Research 57(10):2037-2103. doi:10.1016/j.asr.2016.03.008

Smith SJ, S Rao, K Riahi, D van Vuuren, KV Calvin, and GP Kyle.  2016.  Future Aerosol Emissions: A Multi-Model Comparison.”  Climatic Change 138(1):13–24. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1733-y

Smith P, SJ Davis, F Creutzig, S Fuss, J Minx, B Gabrielle, E Kato, RB Jackson, AL Cowie, E Kriegler, D Van Vuuren, J Rogelj, P Ciais, J Milne, JG Canadell, D McCollum, G Peters, R Andrew, V Krey, G Shrestha, P Friedlingstein, T Gasser, A Grubler, WK Heidug, M Jonas, CD Jones, F Kraxner, E Littleton, J Lowe, J Moreira, N Nakicenovic, M Obersteiner, A Patwardhan, M Rogner, ES Rubin, A Sharifi, A Torvanger, Y Yamagata, JA Edmonds, and C Yongsung.  2015.  “Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions.”  Nature Climate Change 6(1):42-50.  doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE2870

van der Zwaan B, KV Calvin, and LE Clarke.  2016.  “Climate Mitigation in Latin America: Implications for Energy and Land Use: Preface to the Special Section on the findings of the CLIMACAP-LAMP Project.”  Energy Economics 56:495–498. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.05.005

van der Zwaan B, T Kober, S Calderon, LE Clarke, K Daenzer, A Kitous, M Labriet, A Lucena, C Octaviano, and N Di Sbroiavacca.  2016.  Energy technology roll-out for climate change mitigation: A multi-model study for Latin America.”  Energy Economics 56:526–542.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.11.019

van Ruijven B, K Daenzer, K Fisher-Vanden, T Kober, S Paltsev, RH Beach, S Calderon, KV Calvin, M Labriet, A Kitous, A Lucena, and D Van Vuuren.  2016.  “Baseline Projections for Latin America: Base-Year Assumptions, Key Drivers and Greenhouse Emissions.”  Energy Economics 56:499-512. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.02.003

vanVuuren D, H van Soest, K Riahi, LE Clarke, V Krey, E Kriegler, J Rogelj, M Schaeffer, and M Tavoni.  2016.  Carbon budgets and energy transition pathways.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(7):Article No. 075002.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/075002

Veysey J, C Octaviano, KV Calvin, S Martinez, A Kitous, J McFarland, and B van der Zwaan.  2016.  “Pathways to Mexico’s Climate Change Mitigation Targets: A Multi-Model Analysis.”  Energy Economics 56:587-599. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.04.011

Wang L, PL Patel, S Yu, B Liu, JD Mcleod, LE Clarke, and W Chen.  2016.  “Win-Win strategies to promote air pollutant control policies and non-fossil energy target regulation in China.”  Applied Energy 163:244-253. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.10.189

Wobus C, M Flanner, M Sarofim, MC Pinto de Moura, and SJ Smith.  2016.  Future Arctic Temperature Change resulting from a Range of Aerosol Emissions Scenarios.” Earths Future 4(6):270-281. doi:10.1002/2016EF000361

Wolf J, TO West, YLB Le Page, GP Kyle, X Zhang, G Collatz, and ML Imhoff.  2015.  “Biogenic carbon fluxes from global agricultural production and consumption.”  Global Biogeochemical Cycles 29(10):1617-1639. doi:10.1002/2015GB005119

Yang Q, X Zhang, X Xu, GR Asrar, RA Smith, JS Shih, and S Duan.  2016.  “Spatial patterns and environmental controls of particulate organic carbon in surface waters in the conterminous United States.” Science of the Total Environment 554-555:266-275.  doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.02.164

Yang Q, H Tian, X Li, W Ren, B Zhang, X Zhang, and J Wolf.  2016.  “Spatiotemporal patterns of livestock manure nutrient production in the conterminous United States from 1930 to 2012.”  Science of the Total Environment 541:1592-1602. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.10.044

Zhang L, Q Zhuang, Y He, Y Liu, D Yu, Q Zhao, X Shi, S Xing, and G Wang.  2016.  Toward optimal Soil Organic Carbon Sequestration with effects of Agricultural Management Practices and Climate Change in Tai-Lake Paddy Soils of China.” Geoderma 275:28-39. doi:10.1016/j.geoderma.2016.04.001

Zhang Y, JH Bowden, Z Adelman, V Naik, L Horowitz, SJ Smith, and J West.  2016.  “Co-benefits of global and regional greenhouse gas mitigation for US air quality in 2050.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 16(15):9533-9548.  doi:10.5194/acp-16-9533-2016

Zhao F, N Zeng, GR Asrar, P Friedlingstein, I Akihiko, AK Jain, E Kalnay, E Kato, C Koven, B Poulter, R Rafique, S Sitch, S Shu, B Stocker, N Viovy, A Wiltshire, and S Zaehle.  2016.  “Role of CO2, climate and land use in regulating the seasonal amplitude increase of carbon fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems: a multimodel analysis.”  Biogeosciences 13(17):5121-5137. doi:10.5194/bg-2016-121

Zhu Y, CJ Munro, MJ Olszta, DJ Edwards, AB Braunschweig, MR Knecht, and ND Browning.  2016.  Dose-rate controlled energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopic mapping of the metallic components in a biohybrid nanosystem.”  Semiconductor Science and Technology 31(8):Article No. 084002.  doi:10.1088/0268-1242/31/8/084002

2015 JGCRI PUBLICATIONS

 

Alonso, W. J., B. J. J. McCormick, M. A. Miller, C. Schuck-Paim, and G. R. Asrar (2015), Beyond crystal balls: crosscutting solutions in global health to prepare for an unpredictable future, BMC Public Health, 15(1), doi:10.1186/s12889-015-2285-1.

Arent, D. et al. (2015), A review of water and greenhouse gas impacts of unconventional natural gas development in the United States, MRS Energy & Sustainability, 2, doi:10.1557/mre.2015.5.

Barron, R., and H. McJeon (2015), The differential impact of low-carbon technologies on climate change mitigation cost under a range of socioeconomic and climate policy scenarios, Energy Policy, 80, 264–274, doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.01.038.

Bauer, N. et al. (2015), CO2 emission mitigation and fossil fuel markets: Dynamic and international aspects of climate policies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 243–256, doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.009.

Beach, R. H. et al. (2015), Climate change impacts on US agriculture and forestry: benefits of global climate stabilization, Environmental Research Letters, 10(9), 95004, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/095004.

Bertram, C., N. Johnson, G. Luderer, K. Riahi, M. Isaac, and J. Eom (2015), Carbon lock-in through capital stock inertia associated with weak near-term climate policies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 62–72, doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.001.

Bond-Lamberty, B., K. Calvin, A. D. Jones, J. Mao, P. Patel, X. Y. Shi, A. Thomson, P. Thornton, and Y. Zhou (2014), On linking an Earth system model to the equilibrium carbon representation of an economically optimizing land use model, Geoscientific Model Development, 7(6), 2545–2555, doi:10.5194/gmd-7-2545-2014.

Bond-Lamberty, B., J. P. Fisk, J. A. Holm, V. Bailey, G. Bohrer, and C. M. Gough (2015), Moderate forest disturbance as a stringent test for gap and big-leaf models, Biogeosciences, 12(2), 513–526, doi:10.5194/bg-12-513-2015.

Bosetti, V., G. Marangoni, E. Borgonovo, L. Diaz Anadon, R. Barron, H. C. McJeon, S. Politis, and P. Friley (2015), Sensitivity to energy technology costs: A multi-model comparison analysis, Energy Policy, 80, 244–263, doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2014.12.012.

Calvin, K., B. Bond-Lamberty, J. Edmonds, M. Hejazi, S. Waldhoff, M. Wise, and Y. Zhou (2015), The effects of climate sensitivity and carbon cycle interactions on mitigation policy stringency, Climatic Change, 131(1), 35–50, doi:10.1007/s10584-013-1026-7.

Campbell, J. E., M. E. Whelan, U. Seibt, S. J. Smith, J. A. Berry, and T. W. Hilton (2015), Atmospheric carbonyl sulfide sources from anthropogenic activity: Implications for carbon cycle constraints: Atmospheric OCS sources, Geophysical Research Letters, 42(8), 3004–3010, doi:10.1002/2015GL063445.

Chaturvedi, V., and S. H. Kim (2015), Long term energy and emission implications of a global shift to electricity-based public rail transportation system, Energy Policy, 81, 176–185, doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2014.11.013.

Chaturvedi, V., M. Hejazi, J. Edmonds, L. Clarke, P. Kyle, E. Davies, and M. Wise (2015), Climate mitigation policy implications for global irrigation water demand, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 20(3), 389–407, doi:10.1007/s11027-013-9497-4.

Chen, J. M., J. W. Fung, G. Mo, F. Deng, and T. O. West (2015), Atmospheric inversion of surface carbon flux with consideration of the spatial distribution of US crop production and consumption, Biogeosciences, 12(2), 323–343, doi:10.5194/bg-12-323-2015.

Collins, W. D. et al. (2015), The integrated Earth system model version 1: formulation and functionality, Geoscientific Model Development, 8(7), 2203–2219, doi:10.5194/gmd-8-2203-2015.

Davidson, C. L., D. J. Watson, J. J. Dooley, and R. T. Dahowski (2014a), Benefits and Costs of Brine Extraction for Increasing Injection Efficiency In geologic CO2 Sequestration, Energy Procedia, 63, 4745–4749, doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.504.

Davidson, C. L., R. T. Dahowski, J. J. Dooley, and B. P. McGrail (2014b), Modelling the Deployment of CO2 Storage in U.S. Gas-bearing Shales, Energy Procedia, 63, 7272–7279, doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.763.

Di Vittorio, A. V. et al. (2014), From land use to land cover: restoring the afforestation signal in a coupled integrated assessment–earth system model and the implications for CMIP5 RCP simulations, Biogeosciences, 11(22), 6435–6450, doi:10.5194/bg-11-6435-2014.

Engle, N. L., A. de Bremond, E. L. Malone, and R. H. Moss (2014), Towards a resilience indicator framework for making climate-change adaptation decisions, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 19(8), 1295–1312, doi:10.1007/s11027-013-9475-x.

Eom, J., J. Edmonds, V. Krey, N. Johnson, T. Longden, G. Luderer, K. Riahi, and D. P. Van Vuuren (2015), The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 73–88, doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.017.

Evans, M., N. Kholod, V. Malyshev, S. Tretyakova, E. Gusev, S. Yu, and A. Barinov (2015), Black carbon emissions from Russian diesel sources: case study of Murmansk, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15(14), 8349–8359, doi:10.5194/acp-15-8349-2015.

Falster, D. S. et al. (2015), BAAD: a Biomass And Allometry Database for woody plants: Ecological Archives E096-128, Ecology, 96(5), 1445–1445, doi:10.1890/14-1889.1.

Gernaat, D. E. H. J., K. Calvin, P. L. Lucas, G. Luderer, S. A. C. Otto, S. Rao, J. Strefler, and D. P. van Vuuren (2015), Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios, Global Environmental Change, 33, 142–153, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.04.010.

Hartin, C. A., P. Patel, A. Schwarber, R. P. Link, and B. P. Bond-Lamberty (2015), A simple object-oriented and open-source model for scientific and policy analyses of the global climate system – Hector v1.0, Geoscientific Model Development, 8(4), 939–955, doi:10.5194/gmd-8-939-2015.

Hejazi, M. I. et al. (2015), 21st century United States emissions mitigation could increase water stress more than the climate change it is mitigating, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112(34), 10635–10640, doi:10.1073/pnas.1421675112.

Iyer, G., N. Hultman, J. Eom, H. McJeon, P. Patel, and L. Clarke (2015a), Diffusion of low-carbon technologies and the feasibility of long-term climate targets, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 103–118, doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.08.025.

Iyer, G. C., L. E. Clarke, J. A. Edmonds, B. P. Flannery, N. E. Hultman, H. C. McJeon, and D. G. Victor (2015b), Improved representation of investment decisions in assessments of CO2 mitigation, Nature Climate Change, 5(5), 436–440, doi:10.1038/nclimate2553.

Jones, A. D., K. V. Calvin, W. D. Collins, and J. Edmonds (2015), Accounting for radiative forcing from albedo change in future global land-use scenarios, Climatic Change, 131(4), 691–703, doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1411-5.

King, A. W. et al. (2015), North America’s net terrestrial CO<sub>2</sub> exchange with the atmosphere 1990–2009, Biogeosciences, 12(2), 399–414, doi:10.5194/bg-12-399-2015.

Kraucunas, I. et al. (2015), Investigating the nexus of climate, energy, water, and land at decision-relevant scales: the Platform for Regional Integrated Modeling and Analysis (PRIMA), Climatic Change, 129(3–4), 573–588, doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1064-9.

Kriegler, E. et al. (2015), Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 45–61, doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.020.

Le Page, Y., D. Morton, B. Bond-Lamberty, J. M. C. Pereira, and G. Hurtt (2015), HESFIRE: a global fire model to explore the role of anthropogenic and weather drivers, Biogeosciences, 12(3), 887–903, doi:10.5194/bg-12-887-2015.

Leng, G., Q. Tang, M. Huang, and L. R. Leung (2015a), A comparative analysis of the impacts of climate change and irrigation on land surface and subsurface hydrology in the North China Plain, Regional Environmental Change, 15(2), 251–263, doi:10.1007/s10113-014-0640-x.

Leng, G., M. Huang, Q. Tang, and L. R. Leung (2015b), A modeling study of irrigation effects on global surface water and groundwater resources under a changing climate: IRRIGATION EFFECTS ON WATER RESOURCES, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 7(3), 1285–1304, doi:10.1002/2015MS000437.

Leng, G., Q. Tang, M. Huang, Y. Hong, and L. L. Ruby (2015c), Projected changes in mean and interannual variability of surface water over continental China, Science China Earth Sciences, 58(5), 739–754, doi:10.1007/s11430-014-4987-0.

Liu, L., M. Hejazi, P. Patel, P. Kyle, E. Davies, Y. Zhou, L. Clarke, and J. Edmonds (2015a), Water demands for electricity generation in the U.S.: Modeling different scenarios for the water–energy nexus, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 94, 318–334, doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2014.11.004.

Liu, Y. et al. (2015b), Agriculture intensifies soil moisture decline in Northern China, Scientific Reports, 5, 11261, doi:10.1038/srep11261.

Malone, E. L., and S. Kinnear (2015), How and why: complementary analyses of social network structures and cultural values: improving flood response networks in Queensland, Australia, Quality & Quantity, 49(1), 203–220, doi:10.1007/s11135-013-9982-6.

McFarland, J. et al. (2015), Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison, Climatic Change, 131(1), 111–125, doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1380-8.

McJeon, H. et al. (2014), Limited impact on decadal-scale climate change from increased use of natural gas, Nature, 514(7523), 482–485, doi:10.1038/nature13837.

Moura, M. C. P., S. J. Smith, and D. B. Belzer (2015), 120 Years of U.S. Residential Housing Stock and Floor Space, edited by W.-X. Zhou, PLOS ONE, 10(8), e0134135, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0134135.

Ogle, S. M. et al. (2015), An approach for verifying biogenic greenhouse gas emissions inventories with atmospheric CO 2 concentration data, Environmental Research Letters, 10(3), 34012, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/3/034012.

Pizer, W. et al. (2014), Using and improving the social cost of carbon, Science, 346(6214), 1189–1190, doi:10.1126/science.1259774.

Rafique, R., S. Kumar, Y. Luo, G. Kiely, and G. Asrar (2015a), An algorithmic calibration approach to identify globally optimal parameters for constraining the DayCent model, Ecological Modelling, 297, 196–200, doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.11.022.

Rafique, R., J. Xia, O. Hararuk, G. Asrar, Y. Wang, and Y. Luo (2015b), Divergent predictions of carbon storage between two global land models: attribution of the causes through traceability analysis, Earth System Dynamics Discussions, 6(2), 1579–1604, doi:10.5194/esdd-6-1579-2015.

Riahi, K. et al. (2015), Locked into Copenhagen pledges — Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 8–23, doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.016.

Robertson, G. P., P. R. Grace, R. C. Izaurralde, W. P. Parton, and X. Zhang (2014), CO2 emissions from crop residue-derived biofuels, Nature Climate Change, 4(11), 933–934, doi:10.1038/nclimate2402.

Sahajpal, R., X. Zhang, R. C. Izaurralde, I. Gelfand, and G. C. Hurtt (2014), Identifying representative crop rotation patterns and grassland loss in the US Western Corn Belt, Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 108, 173–182, doi:10.1016/j.compag.2014.08.005.

Sarofim, M. C., S. T. Waldhoff, and S. C. Anenberg (2015), Valuing the Ozone-Related Health Benefits of Methane Emission Controls, Environmental and Resource Economics, doi:10.1007/s10640-015-9937-6.

Schäfer, A., P. Kyle, and R. Pietzcker (2016), Exploring the use of dynamic linear panel data models for evaluating energy/economy/environment models — an application for the transportation sector, Climatic Change, 136(1), 141–154, doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1293-y.

Sinistore, J. C., D. J. Reinemann, R. C. Izaurralde, K. R. Cronin, P. J. Meier, T. M. Runge, and X. Zhang (2015), Life Cycle Assessment of Switchgrass Cellulosic Ethanol Production in the Wisconsin and Michigan Agricultural Contexts, BioEnergy Research, 8(3), 897–909, doi:10.1007/s12155-015-9611-4.

Smith, S. J. et al. (2015a), Long history of IAM comparisons, Nature Climate Change, 5(5), 391–391, doi:10.1038/nclimate2576.

Smith, S. J., J. Edmonds, C. A. Hartin, A. Mundra, and K. Calvin (2015b), Near-term acceleration in the rate of temperature change, Nature Climate Change, 5(4), 333–336, doi:10.1038/nclimate2552.

Strzepek, K. et al. (2015), Benefits of greenhouse gas mitigation on the supply, management, and use of water resources in the United States, Climatic Change, 131(1), 127–141, doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1279-9.

Tavoni, M. et al. (2014), Post-2020 climate agreements in the major economies assessed in the light of global models, Nature Climate Change, 5(2), 119–126, doi:10.1038/nclimate2475.

Tian, H. et al. (2015), Global patterns and controls of soil organic carbon dynamics as simulated by multiple terrestrial biosphere models: Current status and future directions: MODELING GLOBAL SOIL CARBON DYNAMICS, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29(6), 775–792, doi:10.1002/2014GB005021.

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Yang, X., C. Liu, Y. Fang, R. Hinkle, H.-Y. Li, V. Bailey, and B. Bond-Lamberty (2015), Simulations of ecosystem hydrological processes using a unified multi-scale model, Ecological Modelling, 296, 93–101, doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.10.032.

Yin, X., W. Chen, J. Eom, L. E. Clarke, S. H. Kim, P. L. Patel, S. Yu, and G. P. Kyle (2015), China’s transportation energy consumption and CO2 emissions from a global perspective, Energy Policy, 82, 233–248, doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.03.021.

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Zhang, X., R. C. Izaurralde, D. H. Manowitz, R. Sahajpal, T. O. West, A. M. Thomson, M. Xu, K. Zhao, S. D. LeDuc, and J. R. Williams (2015), Regional scale cropland carbon budgets: Evaluating a geospatial agricultural modeling system using inventory data, Environmental Modelling & Software, 63, 199–216, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.10.005.

Zhao, N., Y. Zhou, and E. L. Samson (2015), Correcting Incompatible DN Values and Geometric Errors in Nighttime Lights Time-Series Images, IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 53(4), 2039–2049, doi:10.1109/TGRS.2014.2352598.

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Zhou, Y., S. J. Smith, K. Zhao, M. Imhoff, A. Thomson, B. Bond-Lamberty, G. R. Asrar, X. Zhang, C. He, and C. D. Elvidge (2015b), A global map of urban extent from nightlights, Environmental Research Letters, 10(5), 54011, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054011.

 

 

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