2018 Fiscal Year

Barba J, A Cueva, M Bahn, G Barron-Gafford, B Bond-Lamberty, PJ Hanson, A Jaimes, L Kulmala, J Pumpanen, RL Scott, G Wohlfahrt, and R Vargas.  2018.  “Comparing Ecosystem and Soil Respiration: Review and Key Challenges of Tower-Based and Soil Measurements.”  Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 249:434-443.  doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.10.028

Butler EE, A Datta, H Flores-Moreno, M Chen, K Wythers, F Fazayeli, F Banerjee, OK Atkin, J Kattge, B Amiaud, B Blonder, G Boenisch, B Bond-Lamberty, K Brown, C Byun, G Campetella, B Cerabolini, J Cornelissen, J Craine, D Craven, FT De Vries, S Diaz, TF Domingues, E Forey, A Gonzalez, N Gross, W Han, W Hattingh, T Hickler, S Jansen, K Kramer, NJ Kraft, H Kurokawa, D Laughlin, P Meir, V Minden, Ü Niinemets, Y Onoda, J Penuelas, Q Read, L Sack, B Schamp, N Soudzilovskaia, MJ Spasojevic, E Sosinski, PE Thornton, F Valladares, PM Van Bodegom, M Williams, C Wirth, and PB Reich.  2017.  “Mapping local and global variability in plant trait distributions.”  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 114(51):E10937-E10946. doi:10.1073/pnas.1708984114

Calvin KV, and K Fisher-Vanden.  2017.  “Quantifying the indirect impacts of climate on agriculture: an inter-method comparison.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(11):115004.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa843c

Edmonds JA, RP Link, ST Waldhoff, and R Cui.  2017.  “A Gobal Food Demand Model for the Asessment of Complex Human-Earth Systems.”  Climate Change Economics 8(4):Article No. 1750012.  doi:10.1142/S2010007817500129

Harden JW, G Hugelius, A Ahlstrom, J Blankinship, B Bond-Lamberty, C Lawrence, J Loisel, A Malhotra, RB Jackson, SM Ogle, C Phillips, R Ryals, KEO Todd-Brown, R Vargas, S Vergara, F Cotrufo, M Keiluweit, K Heckman, S Crow, W Silver, M Delonge, and L Nave.  2018.  “Networking our science to characterize the state, vulnerabilities, and management opportunities of soil organic matter.”  Global Change Biology 24(2):e705-e718. doi:10.1111/gcb.13896

Harden JW, G Hugelius, A Ahlstrom, JC Blankinship, B Bond-Lamberty, C Lawrence, J Loisel, A Malhotra, RB Jackson, S Ogle, C Phillips, R Ryals, KEO Todd-Brown, R Vargas, S Vergara, F Cotrufo, M Keiluweit, KA Heckman, S Crow, W Silver, M Delonge, and L Nave.  2018.  “Networking our science to characterize the state, vulnerabilities, and management opportunities of soil organic matter.”  Global Change Biology 24(2):e705-e718. doi:10.1111/gcb.13896

Hodson EL, M Brown, S Cohen, MA Wise, F Wood, J Caron, F Feijoo, GC Iyer, and K Cleary.  2018.  “U.S. Energy Sector Impacts of Technology Innovation, Fuel Price, and Electric Sector CO2 Policy: Results from the EMF 32 Model Intercomparison Study.”  Energy Economics.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2018.03.027

Hoesly RM, SJ Smith, L Feng, Z Klimont, G Janssens-Maenhout, TT Pitkanen, JJ Seibert, LD Vu, RJ Andres, RM Bolt, TC Bond, L Dawidowski, N Kholod, JI Kurokawa, M Li, L Liu, Z Lu, MC Pinto De Moura, P O’Rourke, and Q Zhang.  2018.  “Historical (1750 – 2014) anthropogenic emissions of reactive gases and aerosols from the Community Emission Data System (CEDS).”  Geoscientific Model Development 11(1):369-408.  doi:10.5194/gmd-11-369-2018

Iyer GC, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, N Hultman, CA Hartin, HC McJeon, J Aldy, and W Pizer.  2018.  “Implications of sustainable development considerations for comparability across nationally determined contributions.”  Nature Climate Change 8:124-129.  doi:10.1038/s41558-017-0039-z

Iyer GC, CM Ledna, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, HC McJeon, GP Kyle, and J Williams.  2017.  “Measuring Progress from Nationally Determined Contributions to Mid-Century Strategies.”  Nature Climate Change 7:871-874. doi:10.1038/s41558-017-0005-9

Jones CD, X Zhang, AD Reddy, GP Robertson, and RC Izaurralde.  2017.  “The greenhouse gas intensity and potential biofuel production capacity of maize stover harvest in the US Midwest.”  Global Change Biology Bioenergy 9(10):1543-1554.  doi:10.1111/gcbb.12473

Le Page Y, D Morton, CA Hartin, B Bond-Lamberty, JM Pereira, GC Hurtt, and GR Asrar.  2017. “Synergy between land use and climate change increases future fire risk in Amazon forests.”  Earth System Dynamics 8(4):1237-1246.  doi:10.5194/esd-8-1237-2017

Leng G.  2017.  “Evidence for a weakening strength of temperature-corn yield relation in the United States during 1980-2010.”  Science of the Total Environment 605-606:551-558. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.06.211

Leng G.  2017.  “Recent changes in county-level corn yield variability in the United States from observations and crop models.”  Science of the Total Environment 607-608:683-690. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.07.017

Li X, Y Zhou, GR Asrar, M Imhoff, and X Li.  2017.  “The surface urban heat island response to urban expansion: A panel analysis for the conterminous United States.”  Science of the Total Environment 605-606:426–435. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.06.229

Li X, Y Zhou, GR Asrar, and Z Zhu.  2018.  “Creating a Seamless 1 km Resolution Daily Land Surface Temperature Dataset for Urban and Surrounding Areas in the Conterminous United States.”  Remote Sensing of Environment 206:84-97.  doi:10.1016/j.rse.2017.12.010

Li X, Y Zhou, GR Asrar, and L Meng.  2017.  “Characterizing spatiotemporal dynamics in phenology of urban ecosystems based on Landsat data.”  Science of the Total Environment 605-606:721–734.  doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.06.245

Li F, DM Lawrence, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2018. “Human impacts on 20th century fire dynamics and implications for global carbon and water trajectories.”  Global and Planetary Change 162:18-27. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2018.01.002

Li X, CR Vernon, MI Hejazi, RP Link, Z Huang, L Liu, and L Feng.  2018. “Tethys – A Python Package for Spatial and Temporal Downscaling of Global Water Withdrawals”.”  Journal of Open Research Software 6(1):9.  doi:10.5334/jors.197

Li W, Y Zhou, K Cetin, J Eom, Y Wang, G Chen, and X Zhang.  2017. “Modeling urban building energy use: A review of modeling approaches and procedures.”  Energy141:2445-2457.  doi:10.1016/

Lu X, Y Zhou, Y Liu, and Y Le Page.  2018.  “The role of protected areas in land use/land cover change and the carbon cycle in the conterminous United States.”  Global Change Biology 24(2):617-630.  doi:10.1111/gcb.13816

Luo W, MT Steptoe, Z Chang, RP Link, LE Clarke, and R Maciejewski.  2017.  “Impact of Spatial Scales on the Intercomparison of Climate Scenarios.”  IEEE Computer Graphics and Applications 37(5):40-49.  doi:10.1109/MCG.2017.3621222

Markandya A, J Sampedro, SJ Smith, R van Dingenen, C Pizarro-Irizar, Iñ Arto, and M Gonzalez-Eguino.  2018.  “Health Co-Benefits from Air Pollution and Mitigation Costs of the Paris Agreement: A Modelling Study.”  The Lancet Planetary Health 2(3):e126-e133.  doi:10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30029-9

Ou Y, W Shi, SJ Smith, CM Ledna, JJ West, CG Nolte, and DH Loughlin.  2018.  “Estimating environmental co-benefits of U.S. low-carbon pathways using an integrated assessment model with state-level resolution.”  Applied Energy 216:482–493. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.02.122

Petrakis S, J Barba, B Bond-Lamberty, and R Vargas.  2018.  “Using greenhouse gas fluxes to define soil functional types.”  Plant and Soil 423(1-2):285-294. doi:10.1007/s11104-017-3506-4

Roshchanka V, M Evans, F Ruiz, and N Kholod.  2017.  “A Strategic Approach to Selecting Policy Mechanisms for Addressing Coal Mine Methane Emissions: A Case Study on Kazakhstan.”  Environmental Science & Policy 78:185-192.  doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2017.08.005

Shi W, Y Ou, SJ Smith, CM Ledna, CG Nolte, and DH Loughlin.  2017.  “Projecting state-level air pollutant emissions using an integrated assessment model: GCAM-USA.”  Applied Energy 208:511-521.  doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.09.122

Smith AP, B Bond-Lamberty, BW Benscoter, MM Tfaily, R Hinkle, C Liu, and VL Bailey.  2017.  “Shifts in pore connectivity from precipitation versus groundwater rewetting increases soil carbon loss after drought.”  Nature Communications 8:Article No.1335.  doi:10.1038/s41467-017-01320-x

Snyder AC, RP Link, and KV Calvin.  2017.  “Evaluation of integrated assessment model hindcast experiments: A case study of the GCAM 3.0 land use module.”  Geoscientific Model Development 10(12):4307-4319.  doi:10.5194/gmd-10-4307-2017

Srinivasan S, N Kholod, V Chaturvedi, PP Ghosh, R Mathur,LE Clarke, M Evans, MI Hejazi, A Kanudia, P Nagar Koti, B Liu, K Parikh, MS Ali, and K Sharma.  2018.  “Water for Electricity in India: A Multi-Model Study of Future Challenges and Linkages to Climate Change Mitigation.”  Applied Energy 210:673-684. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.04.079

Tan Z, LY Leung, H Li, TK Tesfa, M Vanmaercke, J Poesen, X Zhang, H Lu, and J Hartmann.  2017.  “A global data analysis for representing sediment and particulate organic carbon yield in Earth System Models.”  Water Resources Research 53(12):10674–10700.  doi:10.1002/2017WR020806

Turner SWD, MI Hejazi, SH Kim, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2017.  “Climate impacts on hydropower and consequences for global electricity supply investment needs.”  Energy 141:2081-2090.  doi:10.1016/

Wan W, J Zhao, HY Li, AK Mishra, LY Leung, MI Hejazi, W Wang, H Lu, Z Deng, Y Demissie, and H Wang.  2017.  “Hydrological Drought in the Anthropocene: Impacts of Local Water Extraction and Reservoir Regulation in the U.S.”  Journal of Geophysical Research. D. (Atmospheres) 122(21):11,313–11,328. doi:10.1002/2017JD026899

Wang X, C Wang, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2017.  “Quantifying and reducing the differences in forest CO2-fluxes estimated by eddy covariance, biometric and chamber methods: A global synthesis.”  Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 247:93-103.  doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.07.023

Yang Y, H Wang, SJ Smith, RC Easter, Jr, and PJ Rasch.  2018.  “Sulfate aerosol in the Arctic: source attribution and direct radiative forcing.”  Journal of Geophysical Research. D. (Atmospheres) 123(3):1899-1918. doi:10.1002/2017JD027298

Yang Y, H Wang, SJ Smith, R Zhang, S Lou, Y Qian, PL Ma, and PJ Rasch.  2018.  “Recent intensification of winter haze in China linked to foreign emissions and meteorology.”  Scientific Reports 8:Article No. 2107.  doi:10.1038/s41598-018-20437-7

Yu S, Q Tan, M Evans, GP Kyle, LD Vu, and PL Patel.  2017. “Improving Building Energy Efficiency in India: State-level Analysis of Building Energy Efficiency Policies.”  Energy Policy 110:331-341. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.07.013

Zhang X, H Li, Z Deng, C Ringler, Y Gao, MI Hejazi, and LYR Leung.  2018.  “Impacts of Climate Change, Policy and Water-Energy-Food Nexus on Hydropower Development.”  Renewable Energy 116(Part A):827-834.  doi:10.1016/j.renene.2017.10.030

Zhang Y, SJ Smith, JH Bowden, Z Adelman, and J West.  2017.  “Co-benefits of global, domestic, and sectoral greenhouse gas mitigation for US air quality and human health in 2050.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(11):Article No. 114033.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8f76

Zhang L, Y Liu, X Li, L Huang, D Yu, X Shi, H Chen, and S Xing.  2018.  “Effects of soil map scales on simulating soil organic carbon changes of upland soils in Eastern China.”  Geoderma 312:159-169. doi:10.1016/j.geoderma.2017.10.017

Zhang X, Q Tang, G Leng, X Liu, Z Li, and Z Huang.  2017.  “On the Dominant Factor Controlling Seasonal Hydrological Forecast Skill in China.”  Water 9(11):Article No. 902.  doi:10.3390/w9110902

Zhou Q, G Leng, and M Huang.  2018.  “Impacts of future climate change on urban flood volumes in Hohhot in northern China: benefits of climate change mitigation and adaptations.”  Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 22(1):305-316. doi:10.5194/hess-22-305-2018

Zhou T, N Voisin, G Leng, M Huang, and IP Kraucunas.  2018.  “Sensitivity of regulated flow regime to climate change in the Western United States.”  Journal of Hydrometeorology 19(3):499-515.  doi:10.1175/JHM-D-17-0095.1

Zhu Y, S Huang, J Chang, and G Leng.  2017. “Spatial-temporal changes in potential evaporation patterns based on the Cloud model and their possible causes.”  Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 31(8):2147-2158.  doi:10.1007/s00477-016-1304-9

2017 Fiscal Year

Aldy J, W Pizer, M Tavoni, L Reis, K Akimoto, GJ Blanford, C Carraro, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, GC Iyer, HC McJeon, RG Richels, S Rose, and F Sano.  2016.  “Economic Tools to Promote Transparency and Comparability in the Paris Agreement.”  Nature Climate Change 6:1000 – 1006.  doi:10.1038/nclimate3106

Alexander P, R Prestele, PH Verburg, A Arneth, C Baranzelli, F Batista e Silva, C Brown, A Butler, KV Calvin, N Dendoncker, J Doelman, R Dunford, K Engstrom, D Eitelberg, S Fujimori, P Harrison, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, S Holzhauer, F Humpenoder, C Jacobs-Crisioni, AK Jain, T Krisztin, GP Kyle, C Lavalle, T Lenton, J Liu, P Meiyappan, A Popp, T Powell, R Sands, R Schaldach, E Stehfest, J Steinbuks, A Tabeau, H van Meijl, MA Wise, and M Rounsevell.  2017.  “Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections.”  Global Change Biology 23(2):767-781.  doi:10.1063/1.4974492

Bailey VL, AP Smith, MM Tfaily, SJ Fansler, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2017. “Differences in Soluble Organic Carbon Chemistry in Pore Waters Sampled from Different Pore Size Domains.”  Soil Biology and Biochemistry 107:133-143.  doi:10.1016/j.soilbio.2016.11.025

Bauer N, KV Calvin, J Emmerling, O Fricko, S Fujimori, J Hilaire, J Eom, V Krey, E Kriegler, I Mouratiadou, H Sytze de Boer, M van den Berg, S Carrara, V Daioglou, L Drouet, JA Edmonds, D Gernaat, P Havlik, N Johnson, D Klein, GP Kyle, G Marangoni, T Masui, R Pietzcker, M Strubegger, MA Wise, K Riahi, and D Van Vuuren.  2017.  Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives.” Global Environmental Change 42:316-330.  doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006

Bond-Lamberty B, AP Smith, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Temperature and moisture effects on greenhouse gas emissions from deep active-layer boreal soils.”  Biogeosciences 13(24):6669-6681.  doi:10.5194/bg-13-6669-2016

Calvin KV, B Bond-Lamberty, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, J Eom, CA Hartin, SH Kim, GP Kyle, RP Link, RH Moss, HC McJeon, PL Patel, SJ Smith, ST Waldhoff, and MA Wise.  2017.  The SSP4: A World of Deepening Inequality.”  Global Environmental Change 42:284-296. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.010

Campbell JE, J Berry, U Seibt, SJ Smith, S Montzka, T Launois, S Belviso, L Bopp, and M Laine.  2017.  Large historical growth in global terrestrial gross primary production.” Nature 544(7648):84–87. doi:10.1038/nature22030

Chang J, P Ciais, X Wang, SL Piao, GR Asrar, R Betts, F Chevallier, M Dury, L Francois, K Frieler, AG Ros, AJ Henrot, T Hickler, A Ito, C Morfopoulos, G Munhoven, K Nishina, S Ostberg, S Pan, S Peng, R Rafique, C Reyer, C Rodenbeck, S Schaphoff, Jö Steinkamp, H Tian, N Viovy, J Yang, N Zeng, and F Zhao.  2017.  “Benchmarking carbon fluxes of the ISIMIP2a biome models.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(4):Article No. 045002.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa63fa

Chen M, R Rafique, GR Asrar, B Bond-Lamberty, P Ciais, F Zhao, C Reyer, S Ostberg, J Chang, A Ito, J Yang, N Zeng, E Kalnay, TO West, G Leng, L Francois, G Munhoven, AJ Henrot, H Tian, S Pan, K Nishina, N Viovy, C Morfopoulos, R Betts, S Schaphoff, J Steinkamp, and T Hickler.  2017.  “Regional Contribution to Variability and Trends of Global Gross Primary Productivity.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(10):105005.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8978

Collins W, JF Lamarque, M Schulz, O Boucher, V Eyring, MI Hegglin, A Maycock, G Myhre, M Prather, DT Shindell, and SJ Smith.  2017. “AerChemMIP: Quantifying the effects of chemistry and aerosols in CMIP6.”  Geoscientific Model Development 10(2):585-607.  doi:10.5194/gmd-10-585-2017

Dahowski RT, CL Davidson, S Yu, JD Horing, N Wei, LE Clarke, and SR Bender.  2017.  “The impact of CCS readiness on the evolution of China’s electric power sector.”  Energy Procedia 114:6631-6637. doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.1817

Davidson CL, RT Dahowski, HC McJeon, LE Clarke, GC Iyer, and M Muratori.  2017.  “The value of CCS under current policy scenarios: NDCs and beyond.”  Energy Procedia 114:7521-7527. doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.1885

Di Vittorio A, GP Kyle, and WD Collins.  2016.  What are the effects of Agro-Ecological Zones and land use region boundaries on land resource projection using the Global Change Assessment Model?”  Environmental Modelling & Software 85:246-265.  doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.08.016

Edelenbosch OY, K Kermeli, W Crijns-Graus, E Worrell, R Bibas, B Fais, S Fujimori, GP Kyle, F Sano, and D Van Vuuren.  2017.  Comparing projections of industrial energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions in long-term energy models.”  Energy 122:701–710.  doi:10.1016/

Evans M, V Roshchanka, and P Graham.  2017.  “An International Survey of Building Energy Codes and Their Implementation.”  Journal of Cleaner Production 158:382-389.  doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.01.007

Evans M, N Kholod, T Kuklinski, A Denysenko, SJ Smith, AJ Staniszewski, WM Hao, L Liu, and TC Bond.  2017.  “Black carbon emissions in Russia: A critical review.”  Atmospheric Environment 163:9–21. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.05.026

Gu D, AB Guenther, JE Shilling, H Yu, M Huang, C Zhao, Q Yang, ST Martin, P Artaxo, S Kim, R Seco, T Stavrakou, K Longo, J Tota, R Augusto Ferreira de Souza, O Vega, Y Liu, MKB Shrivastava, E Alves, F Cavalcante Dos Santos, G Leng, and Z Hu.  2017.  “Airborne observations reveal elevational gradient in tropical forest isoprene emissions.”  Nature Communications 8:15541.  doi:10.1038/ncomms15541

Güneralp B, Y Zhou, D Ürge-Vorsatz, M Gupta, S Yu, PL Patel, M Fragkias, X Li, and K Seto.  2017.  Global scenarios of urban density and its impacts on building energy use through 2050.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 114(34):8945–8950. doi:10.1073/pnas.1606035114

Hattermann FF, V Krysanova, SN Gosling, R Dankers, P Daggupati, C Donnelly, M Florke, S Huang, Y Motovilov, S Buda, T Yang, C Mueller, G Leng, Q Tang, FT Portmann, S Hagemann, D Gerten , Y Wada, Y Masaki, T Alemayehu, Y Satoh, and L Samaniego.  2017.  Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins.”  Climatic Change 141(3):561-576. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1829-4

Huang L, H Fang, X Xu, G He, X Zhang, and D Reible.  2017.  “Stochastic modeling of phosphorus transport in the Three Gorges Reservoir by incorporating variability associated with the phosphorus partition coefficient.”  Science of the Total Environment 592:649–661.  doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.02.227

Huang S, B Ming, Q Huang, G Leng, and B Hou.  2017.  “A case study on a combination NDVI forecasting model based on the entropy weight method.”  Water Resources Management 31(11):3667–3681. doi:10.1007/s11269-017-1692-8

Huang S, Q Huang, G Leng, M Zhao, and E Meng.  2017.  “Variations in annual water-energy balance and their correlations with vegetation and soil moisture dynamics: A case study in the Wei River Basin, China.”  Journal of Hydrology 546:515–525. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.12.060

Ibrahim K, AFA Shabudin, KC Koshy, and GR Asrar.  2016. A new framework for integrated climate finance and inclusive responses to sustainable development in Malaysia.”  Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk 7(6):1754-1768.  doi:10.1080/19475705.2016.1155503

Irvine P, BS Kravitz, MG Lawrence, D Gerten , C Caminade, S Gosling, , E Hendy , B Kassie , DW Kissling , H Muri, A Oschlies, and SJ Smith.  2017. Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering.” Earths Future 5(1):93–106. doi:10.1002/2016EF000389

Iyer GC, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, and N Hultman.  2016.  “Do national-level policies to promote low-carbon technology deployment pay off for the investor countries?”  Energy Policy98:400–411.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2016.08.017

Iyer GC, and JA Edmonds.  2017. “Emission scenarios: Explaining differences.”  Nature Climate Change 7:99-100.  doi:10.1038/nclimate3200

Izaurralde RC, WB Mcgill, JR Williams, CD Jones, RP Link, D Manowitz, DE Schwab, X Zhang, GP Robertson, and N Milar.  2017.  “Simulating microbial denitrification with EPIC: Model description and initial testing.”  Ecological Modelling 359:349 – 362.  doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.06.007

Kravitz BS, CD Lynch, CA Hartin, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2017.  “Exploring precipitation pattern scaling methodologies and robustness among CMIP5 models.” Geoscientific Model Development 10(5):1889-1902.  doi:10.5194/gmd-10-1889-2017

Kriegler E, N Bauer, A Popp, F Humpenoder, M Leimbach, J Strefler, L Baumstark, B Bodirsky, J Hilaire, D Klein, I Mouratiadou, I Weindl, C Bertram, JP Dietrich, G Luderer, M Pehl, R Pietzcker, F Piontek, H Lotze-Campen, A Biewald, M Bonsch, A Giannousakis, U Kreidenweis, C Mueller, S Rolinski, A Schultes, J Schwanitz, M Stefanovic, KV Calvin, J Emmerling, S Fujimori, and O Edenhofer.  2017.  Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): an energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century.”  Global Environmental Change 42:297-315.  doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.015

Leng G, X Zhang, M Huang, Q Yang, R Rafique, GR Asrar, and LYR Leung.  2016.  “Simulating County-Level Crop Yields in the Conterminous United States Using the Community Land Model: the Effects of Optimizing Irrigation and Fertilization.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 8(4):1912–1931.  doi:10.1002/2016MS000645

Leng G, M Huang, N Voisin, X Zhang, GR Asrar, and LYR Leung.  2016.  “Emergence of new hydrologic regimes of surface water resources in the Conterminous United States under future warming.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(11):Article No. 114003.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/114003

Leng G, LY Leung, and M Huang.  2017.  “Significant impacts of irrigation water sources and methods on modeling irrigation effects in the ACME Land Model.”  Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 9(3):1665 – 1683.  doi:10.1002/2016MS000885

Leng G, and M Huang.  2017.  “Crop yield response to climate change varies with crop spatial distribution pattern.”  Scientific Reports 7:1463.  doi:10.1038/s41598-017-01599-2

Li F, DM Lawrence, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2017. “Impact of fire on global land surface air temperature and energy budget for the 20th century due to changes within ecosystems.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(4):Article No. 044014. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa6685

Li X, Y Zhou, GR Asrar, J Mao, X Li, and W Li.  2017.  “Response of vegetation phenology to urbanization in the conterminous United States.”  Global Change Biology 23(7):2818-2830.  doi:10.1111/gcb.13562

Li X, CR Vernon, MI Hejazi, RP Link, L Feng, Y Liu, and LT Rauchenstein.  2017.  “Xanthos – A Global Hydrologic Model.”  Journal of Open Research Software 5(1):21.  doi:10.5334/jors.181

Liu S, B Bond-Lamberty, LR Boysen, JD Ford, A Fox, K Gallo, J Hatfield, G Henebry, TG Huntington, Z Liu, T Loveland, RJ Norby, T Sohl, AL Steiner, W Yuan, Z Zhang, and S Zhao.  2017.  “Grand Challenges in Understanding the Interplay of Climate and Land Changes.”  Earth Interactions 21(2):1-43.  doi:10.1175/EI-D-16-0012.1

Liu B, M Evans, S Yu, V Roshchanka, S Dukkipati, and A Sreenivas.  2017.  “Effective Energy Data Management for Low-carbon Growth Planning: An Analytical Framework for Assessment.”  Energy Policy 107:32-42.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.03.059

Liu L, MI Hejazi, HY Li, B Forman, and X Zhang.  2017.  “Vulnerability of US thermoelectric power generation to climate change when incorporating state-level environmental regulations.”  Nature Energy 2:17109. doi:10.1038/nenergy.2017.109

Liu Y, MI Hejazi, H Li, X Zhang, and G Leng.  2017. A Hydrological Emulator for Global Applications.”  Geoscientific Model Development 1-37.  doi:10.5194/gmd-2017-113

Lu X, M Chen, Y Liu, D Miralles, and F Wang.  2017.  “Enhanced water use efficiency in global terrestrial ecosystems under increasing aerosol loadings.”  Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 237-238:39-49.  doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.02.002

Lynch CD, CA Hartin, B Bond-Lamberty, and BS Kravitz.  2017.  “An open-access CMIP5 pattern library for temperature and precipitation: Description and methodology.”  Earth System Science Data 9(1):281-292. doi:10.5194/essd-2016-68

Meehl GA, and RH Moss.  2016.  “Aspen Global Change Institute: 25 Years of Interdisciplinary Global Change Science.”  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 97(11):20027-2037. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00204.1

Mignone BK, S Showalter, F Wood, HC McJeon, and D Steinberg.  2017.  “Sensitivity of Natural Gas Deployment in the US Power Sector to Future Carbon Policy Expectations.”  Energy Policy 110:518-524. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.08.012

Motesharrei S, J Rivas, E Kalnay, GR Asrar, A Busalacchi, RF Cahalan, M Cane, RR Colwell, K Feng, RS Franklin, K Hubacek, F Miralles-Wilhelm, T Miyoshi, M Ruth, R Sagdeev, A Shirmohammadi, J Shukla, J Srebric, VM Yakovenko, and N Zeng.  2016.  “Modeling sustainability: population, inequality, consumption, and bidirectional coupling of the Earth and Human Systems.”  National Science Review 3(4):470–494.  doi:10.1093/nsr/nww081

Muratori M, CM Ledna, HC McJeon, GP Kyle, PL Patel, SH Kim, MA Wise, H Kheshgi, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2017.  “Cost of Power or Power of Cost: a U.S. Modeling Perspective.”  Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews 77:861-874.  doi:10.1016/j.rser.2017.04.055

Muratori M, H Kheshgi, BK Mignone, LE Clarke, HC McJeon, and JA Edmonds.  2017. Carbon Capture and Storage across Fuels and Sectors in Energy System Transformation Pathways.”  International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 57:34-41. doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2016.11.026

Muratori M, SJ Smith, GP Kyle, RP Link, BK Mignone, and H Kheshgi.  2017.  Role of the Freight Sector in Future Climate Change Mitigation Scenarios.”  Environmental Science & Technology 51(6):3526–3533.  doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b04515

Muratori M, H Kheshgi, BK Mignone, HC McJeon, and LE Clarke.  2017.  “The future role of CCS in electricity and liquid fuel supply.”  Energy Procedia 114:7606 – 7614.  doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.1893

Pan X, W Chen, LE Clarke, L Wang, and L Guannan.  2017.  “China’s energy system transformation towards the 2 °C goal: Implications of different effort-sharing principles.”  Energy Policy 103:116-126.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.01.020

Phillips C, B Bond-Lamberty, AR Desai, M Lavoie, D Risk, J Tang, KEO Todd-Brown, and R Vargas.  2017.  “The value of soil respiration measurements for interpreting and modeling terrestrial carbon cycling.”  Plant and Soil 413(1):1-25.  doi:10.1007/s11104-016-3084-x

Prestele R, P Alexander, M Rounsevell, A Arneth, KV Calvin, J Doelman, D Eitelberg, K Engstrom, S Fujimori, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, F Humpenoder, AK Jain, T Krisztin, GP Kyle, P Meiyappan, A Popp, R Sands, R Schaldach, J Schungel, E Stehfest, A Tabeau, H van Meijl, J Van Vliet, and PH Verburg.  2016.  Hotspots of uncertainty in land use and land cover change projections: a global scale model comparison.”  Global Change Biology22(12):3967-3983.  doi:10.1111/gcb.13337

Rafique R, J Xia, O Hararuk, G Leng, GR Asrar, and Y Luo.  2017.  “Comparing the performance of three land models in global C cycle simulations: A detailed structural analysis.”  Land Degradation and Development 28(2):524-533.  doi:10.1002/ldr.2506

Rao S, Z Klimont, J Leitao, K Riahi, R van Dingenen, L Reis, KV Calvin, F Dentener, L Drouet, S Fujimori, JHM Harmsen, G Luderer, C Heyes, J Stefler, M Tavoni, and D Van Vuuren.  2016.  A multi-model assessment of the co-benefits of climate mitigation for global air quality.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(12):Article No. 124013.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124013

Rao S, Z Klimont, SJ Smith, R van Dingenen, F Dentener, L Bouwman, K Riahi, M Amann, B Bodirsky, D Van Vuuren, L Reis, KV Calvin, L Drouet, O Fricko, S Fujimori, D Gernaat, P Havlik, M Harmsen, T Hasegawa, C Heyes, J Hilaire, G Luderer, T Masui, E Stehfest, J Strefler, S van der Sluis, and M Tavoni.  2017.  Future Air Pollution in the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways.”  Global Environmental Change 42:346-358. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.012

Riahi K, D Van Vuuren, E Kriegler, JA Edmonds, B O’Neill, S Fujimori, N Bauer, KV Calvin, R Dellink, O Fricko, W Lutz, A Popp, J Crespo Cuaresma, S Kc, M Leimbach, L Jiang, T Kram, S Rao, J Emmerling, K Ebi, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, F Humpenoder, L Da Silva, SJ Smith, E Stehfest, V Bosetti, J Eom, D Gernaat, T Masui, J Rogelj, J Strefler, L Drouet, V Krey, G Luderer, M Harmsen, K Takahashi, L Baumstark, J Doelman, M Kainuma, Z Klimont, G Marangoni, H Lotze-Campen, M Obersteiner, A Tabeau, and M Tavoni.  2017.  The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their Energy, Land Use, and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Implications: An Overview.”  Global Environmental Change 42:153–168. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009

Sarofim M, ST Waldhoff, and SC Anenberg.  2017.  Valuing the ozone-related health benefits of methane emissions controls.”  Environmental and Resource Economics 66(1):45-63.  doi:10.1007/s10640-015-9937-6

Shu L, Q Jiang, X Zhang, and K Zhao.  2017.  “Potential and limitations of satellite laser altimetry for monitoring water surface dynamics: ICESat for US lakes.”  International Journal of Agricultural and Biological Engineering 10(5):154-165.  doi:10.25165/j.ijabe.20171005.3426

Stegen JC, CG Anderson, B Bond-Lamberty, AR Crump, X Chen, and NJ Hess.  2017.  “Soil respiration across a permafrost transition zone: spatial structure and environmental correlates.”  Biogeosciences14(18):4341-4354.  doi:10.5194/bg-14-4341-2017

Stevens B, S Fiedler, S Kinne, K Peters, S Rast, J Musse, SJ Smith, and T Mauritsen.  2017.  “MACv2-SP: A parameterization of anthropogenic aerosol optical properties and an associated Twomey effect for use in CMIP6.”  Geoscientific Model Development 10(1):433-452.  doi:10.5194/gmd-10-433-2017

Talati SK, H Zhai, GP Kyle, MG Morgan, PL Patel, and L Liu.  2016.  Consumptive Water Use from Electricity Generation in the Southwest under Alternative Climate, Technology and Policy Futures.”  Environmental Science & Technology 50(22):12095-12104. doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b01389

Thornton PE, KV Calvin, AD Jones, A Di Vittorio, B Bond-Lamberty, LM Chini, X Shi, J Mao, WD Collins, JA Edmonds, AM Thomson, JE Truesdale, AP Craig, M Branstetter, and GC Hurtt.  2017.  “Biospheric feedback effects in a synchronously coupled model of human and Earth systems.”  Nature Climate Change 7:496-500. doi:10.1038/nclimate3310

Turner SWD, JY Ng, and S Galelli.  2017.  “Examining global electricity supply vulnerability to climate change using a high-fidelity hydropower dam model.”  Science of the Total Environment 590-591:663-675. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.03.022

Turner SWD, J Bennett, D Robertson, and S Galelli.  2017.  “Complex relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in reservoir operations.”  Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 21(9):4841-4859.  doi:10.5194/hess-21-4841-2017

Voisin N, MI Hejazi, LYR Leung, L Liu, M Huang, H Li, and TK Tesfa.  2017.  “Effects of spatially distributed sectoral water management on the redistribution of water resources in an integrated water model.”  Water Resources Research 53(5):4253-4270. doi:10.1002/2016WR019767

Voisin N, MCW Kintner-Meyer, R Skaggs, TB Nguyen, D Wu, JA Dirks, YL Xie, and MI Hejazi.  2016.  “Vulnerability of the US Western Electric Grid to Hydro-Climatological Conditions: How bad can it get?”  Energy 115(Part 1):1-12.  doi:10.1016/

Weaver CP, RH Moss, K Ebi, PH Gleick, P Stern, C Tebaldi, RS Wilson, and J Arvai.  2017.  “Reframing Climate Change Assessments Around Risk: Recommendations for the U.S. National Climate Assessment.”  Environmental Research Letters 12(8):Article No. 080201. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa7494

Willner S, CA Hartin, and R Gieseke.  2017.  “pyhector: A Python interface for the simple climate model Hector.”  The Journal of Open Source Software 2(12):Article No. 248.  doi:10.21105/joss.00248

Wise MA, M Muratori, and GP Kyle.  2017.  “Biojet Fuels and Emissions Mitigation in Aviation: an Integrated Assessment Modeling Analysis.”  Transportation Research. Part D. Transport and Environment 52(Part A):244 – 253.  doi:10.1016/j.trd.2017.03.006

Wolf J, GR Asrar, and TO West.  2017.  “Revised Methane Emissions Factors and Spatially Distributed Annual Carbon Fluxes for Global Livestock.”  Carbon Balance and Management 12:Article No. 16.  doi:10.1186/s13021-017-0084-y

Yan Z, C Liu, K Todd-Brown, Y Liu, B Bond-Lamberty, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Pore-scale Investigation on the Response of Heterotrophic Respiration to Moisture Conditions in Heterogeneous Soils.”  Biogeochemistry 131(1):121-134.  doi:10.1007/s10533-016-0270-0

Yang Q, X Zhang, X Xu, and GR Asrar.  2017.  “An analysis of terrestrial and aquatic environmental controls of riverine dissolved organic carbon in the conterminous United States.”  Water 9(6):383.  doi:10.3390/w9060383

Yang Q, and X Zhang.  2016. Improving SWAT for simulating water and carbon fluxes of forest ecosystems.” Science of the Total Environment 569–570, 1478–1488.  doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.06.238

Yang Y, H Wang, SJ Smith, PL Ma, and PJ Rasch.  2017.  “Source attribution of black carbon and its direct radiative forcing in China.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 17(6):4319-4336.  doi:10.5194/acp-17-4319-2017

Yang Y, H Wang, SJ Smith, RC Easter, Jr, PL Ma, Y Qian, H Yu, C Li, and PJ Rasch.  2017.  “Global source attribution of sulfate concentration and direct and indirect radiative forcing.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 17(14):8903-8922.  doi:10.5194/acp-17-8903-2017

Yeh S, GS Mishra, LM Fulton, GP Kyle, D McCollum, J Miller, P Cazzola, and J Teter.  2017.  Detailed assessment of global transport-energy models’ structures and projections.” Transportation Research. Part D. Transport and Environment 55:294–309.  doi:10.1016/j.trd.2016.11.001

Zhang X, Q Tang, X Liu, G Leng, and Z Li.  2017.  “Soil Moisture Drought monitoring and forecasting using satellite and climate model data over Southwestern China.”  Journal of Hydrometeorology 18(1):5-23.  doi:10.1175/JHM-D-16-0045.1

Zhang L, G Wang, Q Zheng, Y Liu, D Yu, X Shi, S Xing, H Chen, and X Fan.  2017.  “Quantifying the impacts of agricultural management and climate change on soil organic carbon changes in the uplands of Eastern China.”  Soil & Tillage Research 174:81-91. doi:10.1016/j.still.2017.06.005

Zhao S, H Hu, F Tian, Q Tie, L Wang, Y Liu, and C Shi.  2017.  “Divergence of stable isotopes in tap water across China.”  Scientific Reports 7:43653-43653.  doi:10.1038/srep43653

Zhou Q, AJ Blohm, and B Liu.  2017.  “Planning Framework for Mesolevel Optimization of Urban Runoff Control Schemes.”  Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 143(4):04016083.  doi:10.1061/(asce)wr.1943-5452.0000748

Zumkehr A, TW Hilton, M Whelan, SJ Smith, and E Campbell.  2017.  “Gridded anthropogenic emissions inventory and atmospheric transport of carbonyl sulfide in the U.S.” Journal of Geophysical Research. D. (Atmospheres)122(4):2169-2178.  doi:10.1002/2016JD025550

2016 Fiscal Year

Abbott B, JB Jones, EA Schuur, FS Chapin, WB Bowden, MS Bret-Harte, HE Epstein, MD Flannigan, TK Harms, TN Hollingsworth, M Mack, AD McGuire, SM Natali, A Rocha, SE Tank, M Turetsky, JE Vonk, KP Wickland, GR Aiken, HD Alexander, RM Amon, BW Benscoter, Y Bergeron, K Bishop, O Blarquez, B Bond-Lamberty, AL Breen, I Buffam, Y Cai, C Carcaillet, SK Carey, JM Chen, HY Chen, TR Christensen, LW Cooper, JHC Cornelissen, WJ de Groot, TH DeLuca, E Dorrepaal, N Fetcher, JC Finlay, BC Forbes, NH French, S Gauthier, MP Girardin, SJ Goetz, JG Goldammer, L Gough, P Grogan, L Guo, PE Higuera, L Hinzman, FS Hu, G Hugelius, EE Jafarov, R Jandt, JF Johnstone, J Karlsson, ES Kasischke, G Kattner, R Kelly, F Keuper, G Kling, P Kortelainen, J Kouki, P Kuhry, H Laudon, I Laurion, RW Macdonald, PJ Mann, P Martikainen, JW McClelland, U Molau, SF Oberbauer, D Olefeldt, D Pare, MA Parisien, S Payette, C Peng, OS Pokrovesky, EB Rastetter, PA Raymond, MK Raynolds, G Rein, JF Reynolds, M Robards, BM Rogers, C Schadel, K Schaefer, IK Schmidt, A Shvidenko, J Sky, RG Spencer, G Starr, RG Striegl, R Teisserenc, LJ Tranvik, T Virtanen, JM Welker, and S Zimov.  2016.  “Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire: an expert assessment.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(3):Article No. 034014.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014

Asrar GR, RH Moss, and K Jacobs.  2016.  “Challenges and Opportunities in Earth-Human Systems Research.”  Eos 97:, doi:10.1029/2016EO050919

Bauer N, J Hilaire, RJ Brecha, JA Edmonds, K Jiang, E Kriegler, HH Rogner, and F Sferra.  2016.  “Assessing global fossil fuel availability in a scenario framework.”  Energy 111:580-592. doi:10.1016/

Bond-Lamberty B, H Bolton, Jr, SJ Fansler, A Heredia-Langner, C Liu, LA McCue, JL Smith, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Soil respiration and bacterial structure and function after 17 years of a reciprocal soil transplant experiment.”  PLoS One 11(3):e0150599.  doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0150599

Bond-Lamberty B, D Epron, JW Harden, M Harmon, FM Hoffman, J Kumar, AD McGuire, and R Vargas.  2016.  “Estimating heterotrophic respiration at large scales: challenges, approaches, and next steps.”  Ecosphere 7(6):e01380. doi:10.1002/ecs2.1380

Bond-Lamberty B, AP Smith, and VL Bailey.  2016.  “Running an open experiment: transparency and reproducibility in soil and ecosystem science.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(8):084004.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/8/084004

Buizer JL, K Dow, ME Black, K Jacobs, A Waple, RH Moss, S Moser, A Luers, DI Gustafson, TC Richmond, SL Hays, and CB Field.  2016.  “Building a sustained climate assessment process.”  Climatic Change 135(1):23-37. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1501-4

Cai X, ZL Yang, JB Fisher, X Zhang, M Barlage, and F Chen.  2016.  “Integration of nitrogen dynamics into the Noah-MP land surface model v1.1 for climate and environmental predictions.”  Geoscientific Model Development 9(1):1-15.  doi:10.5194/gmd-9-1-2016

Calderon S, AC Alvarez, AM Loboguerrero, S Arango, KV Calvin, T Kober, K Daenzer, and K Fisher-Vanden.  2016.  “ACHIEVING CO2 REDUCTIONS IN COLOMBIA: EFFECTS OF CARBON TAXES AND ABATEMENT TARGETS.”  Energy Economics 56:575-586.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.05.010

Calvin KV, MA Wise, P Luckow, GP Kyle, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2016.  Implications of uncertain future fossil energy resources on bioenergy use and terrestrial carbon emissions.”  Climatic Change136(1):57-68.  doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0923-0

Calvin KV, RH Beach, A Gurgel, M Labriet, and AM Loboguerrero.  2016.  “Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land-Use Emissions in Latin America.”  Energy Economics 56:615–624.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.03.020

Calvin KV, S Rose, MA Wise, HC McJeon, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds.  2015.  “Global Climate, Energy, and Economic Implications of International Energy Offsets Programs.”  Climatic Change 133(4):583-596. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1482-3

Clarke LE, J McFarland, C Octaviano, B van Ruijven, RH Beach, K Daenzer, S Herreras Martinez, A Lucena, A Kitous, M Labriet, AM Loboguerrero Rodriguez, A Mundra, and B van der Zwaan.  2016.  Long-Term Abatement Potential and Current Policy Trajectories in Latin American Countries.” Energy Economics 56:513–525.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.01.011

Di Sbroiavacca N, G Nadal, F Lallana, J Falzon, and KV Calvin.  2016.  “Emissions reduction scenarios in the Argentinean Energy Sector.”  Energy Economics 56:552-563.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.03.021

Fawcett A, GC Iyer, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, N Hultman, HC McJeon, J Rogelj, R Schuler, J Alsalam, GR Asrar, J Creason, M Jeong, J McFarland, A Mundra, and W Shi.  2015.  “Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change?”  Science 350(6265):1168-1169 .  doi:10.1126/science.aad5761

Gao J, A Zhang, SK Lam, X Zhang, AM Thomson, E Lin, K Jiang, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, GP Kyle, S Yu, Y Zhou, and S Zhou.  2016.  An integrated assessment of the potential of agricultural and forestry residues for energy production in China.”  Global Change Biology Bioenergy 8(5):880-893. doi:10.1111/gcbb.12305

Gillingham K, W Nordhaus, D Anthoff, GJ Blanford, V Bosetti, P Christensen, HC McJeon, JM Reilly, and P Sztorc.  2015.  “Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Multi-Model Comparison.”  National Bureau of Economic Research Article No. 21637.  doi:10.3386/w21637

Gough C, P Curtis, B Hardiman, C Scheuermann, and B Bond-Lamberty.  2016.  “Disturbance, complexity, and succession of net ecosystem production in North America’s temperate deciduous forests.”  Ecosphere 7(6):e01375. doi:10.1002/ecs2.1375

Hallegatte S, J Rogelj, M Allen, LE Clarke, O Edenhofer, CB Field, P Friedlingstein, L van Kesteren, R Knutti, K Mach, M Mastrandrea, A Michel, J Minx, M Oppenheimer, GK Plattner, K Riahi, M Schaeffer, T Stocker, and D Van Vuuren.  2016.  Mapping the climate change challenge.”  Nature Climate Change 6(7):663–668.  doi:10.1038/nclimate3057

Hartin CA, B Bond-Lamberty, PL Patel, and A Mundra.  2016.  “Ocean acidification over the next three centuries using a simple global climate carbon-cycle model: projections and sensitivities.”  Biogeosciences 13(15):4329-4342. doi:10.5194/bg-13-4329-2016

Hegre H, H Buhaug, KV Calvin, J Nordkvelle, ST Waldhoff, and EA Gilmore.  2016.  “Forecasting Civil Conflict along the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.”  Environmental Research Letters 11(5):Article No. 054002. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054002

Huang S, Q Huang, G Leng, and J Chang.  2016.  “A hybrid index for characterizing drought based on a nonparametric kernel estimator.”  Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 55(6):1377-1389. doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0295.1

Iyer GC, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, N Hultman, and HC McJeon.  2015.  “Long-term payoffs of near-term low-carbon deployment policies.”  Energy Policy 86:493–505. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.08.004

Iyer GC, JA Edmonds, AA Fawcett, N Hultman, J Alsalam, GR Asrar, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, J Creason, M Jeong, J McFarland, A Mundra, PL Patel, W Shi, and HC McJeon.  2015.  “The contribution of Paris to limit global warming to 2 °C.”  Environmental Research Letters 10(12):Article No. 125002.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125002

Kholod N, M Evans, E Gusev, S Yu, V Malyshev, S Tretyakova, and A Barinov.  2016.  “A Methodology for Calculating Transport Emissions in Cities with Limited Traffic Data: Case Study of Diesel Particulates and Black Carbon Emissions in Murmansk.”  Science of the Total Environment 547:305-313. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.12.151

Kholod N, and M Evans.  2016.  “Reducing Black Carbon Emissions from Diesel Vehicles in Russia: An Assessment and Policy Recommendations.”  Environmental Science & Policy 56:1-8.  doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2015.10.017

Kholod N, M Evans, and T Kuklinski.  2016.  Russia’s black carbon emissions: focus on diesel sources.”  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 16(17):11267-11281.  doi:10.5194/acp-16-11267-2016

Kim SH, MI Hejazi, L Liu, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, GP Kyle, PL Patel, MA Wise, and E Davies.  2016.  “Balancing Global Water Availability and Use at Basin Scale in an Integrated Assessment Model.”  Climatic Change 136(2):217-231. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1604-6

Kober T, J Falzon, B van der Zwaan, KV Calvin, A Kanudia, A Kitous, and M Labriet.  2016.  “A Multi-Model Study of Energy Supply Investments in Latin America under Climate Control Policy.”  Energy Economics 56:543–551. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.01.005

Kriegler E, I Mouratiadou, G Luderer, N Bauer, RJ Brecha, KV Calvin, E DeCian , JA Edmonds, K Jiang, M Tavoni, and O Edenhofer.  2016.  “Will economic growth and fossil fuel scarcity help or hinder climate stabilization? Overview of the RoSE multi-model study.”  Climatic Change 136(1):7-22.  doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1668-3

Kriegler E, I Mouratiadou, G Luderer, JA Edmonds, and O Edenhofer.  2016.  Introduction to the RoSE special issue on the impact of economic growth and fossil fuel availability on climate protection.”  Climatic Change 136(1):1-6. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1667-4

Kunkel KE, RH Moss, and A Parris.  2016.  “Innovations in science and scenarios for assessment.”  Climatic Change 135(1):55-68. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1494-z

Kyle GP, AM Thomson, MA Wise, and X Zhang.  2015.  “Assessment of the importance of spatial scale in long-term land use modelling of the Midwestern United States.”  Environmental Modelling & Software 72:261-271. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.06.006

Lawrence DM, GC Hurtt, A Arneth, V Brovkin, KV Calvin, AD Jones, CD Jones, P Lawrence, N de Noblet-Ducoudr, J Pongratz, SI Seneviratne, and E Shevliakova.  2016.  “The Land-Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) Contribution to CMIP6: Rationale and Experimental Design.”  Geoscientific Model Development 9(9):2973-2998.  doi:10.5194/gmd-2016-76

Leng G, X Zhang, M Huang, GR Asrar, and LY Leung.  2016.  “The Role of Climate Covariability on Crop Yields in the Conterminous United States.”  Scientific Reports 6:33160.  doi:10.1038/srep33160

Li H, LYR Leung, TK Tesfa, N Voisin, MI Hejazi, L Liu, Y Liu, JS Rice, H Wu, and X Yang.  2015.  “Modeling stream temperature in the Anthropocene: An earth system modeling approach.”  Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 7(4):1661-1679.  doi:10.1002/2015MS000471

Liu Y, MI Hejazi, GP Kyle, SH Kim, E Davies, D Miralles, A Teuling, Y He, and D Niyogi.  2016.  Global and regional evaluation of energy for water.”  Environmental Science & Technology 50(17):9736-9745. doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b01065

Lucas P, J Nielsen, KV Calvin, D McCollum, G Marangoni, J Strefler, B van der Zwaan, and D Van Vuuren.  2015.  “Future energy system challenges for Africa: Insights from Integrated Assessment Models.”  Energy Policy 86:705 – 717.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.08.017

Luderer G, C Bertram, KV Calvin, E De Cian, and E Kriegler.  2016.  Implications of weak near-term climate policies on long-term climate mitigation pathways .” Climatic Change 136(1):127-140. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0899-9

Luo Y, A Ahlstrom, SD Allison, NH Batjes, V Brovkin, N Carvalhais, A Chappell, P Ciais, EA Davidson, A Finzi, K Georgiou, B Guenet, O Hararuk, JW Harden, Y He, F Hopkins, L Jiang, C Koven, RB Jackson, CD Jones, MJ Lara, J Liang, AD McGuire, WJ Parton, C Peng, J Randerson, A Salazar, CA Sierra , MJ Smith, H Tian, KEO Todd-Brown, MS Torn, KJ van Groenigen, YP Wang, TO West, Y Wei, WR Wieder, J Xia, X Xu, X Xu, and T Zhou.  2016.  “Towards More Realistic Projections of Soil Carbon Dynamics by Earth System Models.” Global Biogeochemical Cycles 30(1):40-56.  doi:10.1002/2015GB005239

McFarland J, Y Zhou, LE Clarke, P Sullivan, J Colman, W Jaglom, M Colley, PL Patel, J Eom, SH Kim, GP Kyle, P Schultz, B Venkatesh, J Haydel, C Mack, and J Creason.  2015.  “Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison.”  Climatic Change 131(1):111-125.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1380-8

McFarland J, Y Zhou, LE Clarke, P Sullivan, J Colman, W Jaglom, M Colley, PL Patel, J Eom, SH Kim, GP Kyle, P Schultz, B Venkatesh, J Haydel, C Mack, and J Creason.  2015.  “Erratum to: Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison.”  Climatic Change 132(4):739. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1452-9

Moser S, J Melillo, K Jacobs, RH Moss, and JL Buizer.  2016.  “Aspirations and common tensions: larger lessons from the third US national climate assessment.”  Climatic Change 135(1):187-201.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1530-z

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Orsi F, M Muratori, M Rocco, E Colombo, and G Rizzoni.  2016.  “A multi-dimensional well-to-wheels analysis of passenger vehicles in different regions: Primary energy consumption, CO2 emissions, and economic cost.”  Applied Energy 169:197-209.  doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.02.039

Rafique R, F Zhao, R de Jong, N Zeng, and GR Asrar.  2016.  “Global and Regional Variability and Change in Terrestrial Ecosystems Net Primary Production and NDVI: A Model-Data Comparison.”  Remote Sensing 8(3):177. doi:10.3390/rs8030177

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Schafer A, GP Kyle, and R Pietzcker.  2016.  Exploring the use of dynamic linear panel data models for evaluating energy/economy/environment models — an application for the transportation sector.”  Climatic Change 136(1):141-154.  doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1293-y

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