Ninth Annual Meeting Call for Abstracts

Call for Abstracts for the Ninth Annual Meeting of the IAMC to be held
from December 5‐7, 2016, in Beijing, China.
The purpose of the IAMC Annual Meeting is to (1) present and discuss the state of the
art in integrated assessment modeling, (2) review the status of ongoing community
activities including both multi‐model studies and the activities of the IAMC Scientific
Working Groups, (3) facilitate interaction with collaborating communities, and (4)
evaluate and revisit the priorities of the integrated assessment community.
As with past meetings, a major part of this year’s meeting will be devoted to parallel
sessions on cutting edge areas of integrated assessment model development and
research. And, as with last year’s meeting, we will hold a poster session which is open to
poster presentations covering any topic of interest (and which will be grouped
thematically at the meeting). This year the parallel sessions will include a session on
regional low carbon transformation pathways. Integrated assessment modelers and
other researchers working on national and regional pathways are explicitly encouraged
to submit contributions on this topic.
The IAMC is now soliciting abstracts for oral and poster presentations on five selected
topics. Poster abstracts on topics different from those five indicated will also be
considered.
The selected topics are listed below. The meeting’s organizing committee reserves the
right to assign topics to parallel sessions and the poster session depending on the
number and quality of submitted abstracts.
Selected topics:
(1) Analysis of climate change, climate impacts and adaptation in IAM applications
Changes in the Earth’s climate have implications for global and regional energy
systems, agriculture, land use, water, and health. Human activities, in turn, influence
climate through changes in emissions and land cover. This session invites
contributions on recent work exploring interactions between human and Earth
systems using Integrated Assessment Models. We encourage both presentations
exploring the effect of climate change on human systems (e.g., energy, water, land),
including the effect of extreme events and the role of adaptation to reduce climate
change impacts, and presentations exploring the effect of human systems on climate
change. Presentations on the climate impacts and adaptation needs in a 1.5oC or 2oC
warmer world are welcome. Presentations on the economic impacts of climate
change, including analysis of the social cost of carbon, will also be considered under
this topic.
(2) Uncertainty and the use of IAM projections
Projections from IAMs are useful because they provide insights about the future
that can, ultimately, inform decisions. Yet, it is not possible to be certain about any
of these insights, or any quantitative projections from IAMs, because IAMs are
simplified models of highly complex phenomenon and because we cannot know
today how key factors that drive IAM projections, relating to model inputs and
parameters such as population, economic growth, social and institutional structures
and substitution elasticities, will evolve over time. This uncertainty complicates the
use of interpretation of IAM projections. This session invites presentations exploring
the treatment of uncertainty in IAM projections and how this uncertainty can be
understood, communicated, and used to enhance understanding and decisions.
Possible topics include: the tradeoff between process detail and transparency in
IAMs; the use of evaluation and diagnostic methods to communicate uncertainty;
treatment of uncertainty from storyline‐based scenario sets such as the Shared
Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs); examples of stochastic modeling in climate change
policy analysis; the meaning and robustness of quantitative estimates of
uncertainty; and insights about uncertainty from model intercomparison studies.
(3) From climate policy to broader sustainable development analysis: New IAM
analyses on the climate policy – sustainable development nexus and sustainable
development strategies
With the adoption of new sustainable development goals (SDGs) in 2015 and a
renewed discussion of planetary boundaries, there is increasing interest in the
analysis of long‐term sustainable development strategies and/or embedding climate
change analysis in a broader sustainable development context. IAMs can be key
tools for such analyses. This session invites contributions on recent work on the
climate change – sustainable development nexus, the interaction between climate
impacts and sustainable development, and the use of IAMs to evaluate sustainable
development strategies.
(4) Global deep transformation pathways
The Paris Agreement has set the ambitious goal of holding global mean temperature
increase to well below 2oC since preindustrial times, and pursuing efforts to limit it
to 1.5oC. This has reinforced the debate about the assumptions and characteristics
of deep transformation pathways towards the 1.5oC and 2oC targets. We encourage
presentations discussing the latest insights on the various factors ‐ sectoral,
technological, behavioral or political ‐ that need to fall in place to enable deep
transformation of the energy and land use system on the global scale. We also invite
presentations on modelling work exploring global scenarios of how the Paris
agreement could achieve its long term ambition.
(5) National and regional transformation pathways, including INDCs and midcentury
mitigation strategies
National and regional climate action will provide the basis for mitigating climate
change under the Paris Agreement which builds on nationally determined
contributions (NDCs) to achieve its long term climate goals. This puts national and
regional transformation pathways as they would emerge under intended NDCs or
national policies as well as longer term emissions development strategies into the
focus of interest. We encourage presentations of modelling work
analyzing national / regional transformation pathways under planned or

  • analyzing national / regional transformation pathways under planned or
    aspirational national climate action or
  • exploring options for deep transformation on a national / regional level until
    2050 or beyond

The parallel sessions will include presentations on cutting edge research activities from
members of the community followed by open group discussion of key priorities in these
areas of research. It is expected that each session will include six to eight short
presentations, potentially including several invited presentations.
The poster session was a highlight of last year’s annual meeting. As with last year’s
session, it will be a great opportunity to have more in‐depth conversations about new
work. It will be a formal part of the meeting, held at an advantageous time and
accompanied by food and other refreshments.
Extended abstracts (about 600 up to a maximum of 1000 words and 13 figures) in pdf
version and a short summary of ca. 100 words should be submitted online at the IAMC
website by July 30, 2016.
Please ensure that the methodological approach and results of the study are sufficiently
well described in the extended abstract to allow for a comprehensive review of the
submitted work. Multiple submissions are allowed.