IAMC Newsletter – 2016, Issue 1

You are reading the newsletter of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium. This newsletter will be delivered biannually, with the objective of keeping the community apprised of recent and future events. If you have feedback or suggestions please do not hesitate to send them to: Mariesse.vanSluisveld@pbl.nl or matteo.muratori@pnnl.gov.

News and Updates

The eight annual IAMC meeting

Participants of IAMC meeting taking place at Seminaris Hotel Potsdam from 16-18 November 2015

Participants of IAMC meeting taking place at Seminaris Hotel Potsdam from 16-18 November 2015

The 8th meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modelling Consortium (IAMC) was organized and hosted by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in November 2015. Around 140 representatives from the IAM and collaborating communities joined more than 80 oral and poster presentations and shared views on the state of the art and future prospects in integrated assessment modelling.

Participants discussed the relevance of IAMs in informing policy with a focus on the IAM contribution to the Paris negotiations, and their role in evaluating the Paris outcomes, especially the intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs). Moreover, main IAM community achievements were presented, including the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs), which will be published in 2016.

At the heart of the conference, scientists presented progress on four focus areas, namely the analysis of climate change impacts, different approaches to handle uncertainty of IAM projections, the linkage between climate policy and broader sustainable development objectives as well as potentials and risks of climate engineering and carbon dioxide removal technologies.

A specific session was dedicated to the presentation of 44 posters on recent IAM work. Two posters were selected for the Best Poster Award: the poster by Oliver Fricko (IIASA) on the water-energy nexus and the poster by Jessica Strefler (PIK) on the role of enhanced weathering for climate mitigation. Leon Clarke (PNNL) was awarded the IAMC Annual Award 2014 for outstanding achievements in the field of integrated assessment and leadership in ensuring that the work of the IAM community was represented in the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Participants concluded that there is scope for further development and improvements, including work on model evaluation to strengthen and maintain confidence in IAMs. However, all participants also recognized the importance of IAMs in their unequalled capability to develop long-term transformation strategies needed to address climate change.

Data Protocols and Management Working Group

The Scientific Working Group on Data Protocols and Management, led by Kate Calvin (PNNL) and Volker Krey (IIASA), has been created to standardize the reporting formats used in model intercomparison projects to reduce the burden on both the modeling teams when exporting model results for a particular study as well as project leaders who analyze scenario data.. Updates on recent activities of the SWG on Data Protocols and Managements can be found here.

Scenarios Working Group

The Scientific Working Group on Scenarios – led by Keywan Riahi (IIASA), Detlef van Vuuren (PBL) and Tom Kram (PBL) – has worked on a variety of things over the last year, several of which were presented in more detail in the plenary sessions of the 8th Annual IAMC Conference. Accomplishments and activities included:

  • an updated SWG page on the IAMC site
  • coordination of the final SSP marker scenarios, and their documentation in series of articles in a special issue of GEC
  • engaging in ongoing and planned global assessments such as AgMIP, ISI-MIP, CMIP6, IPBES and GLO, with the aim to encourage the use of SSP narratives, key driving forces and scenarios derived thereof in the interest of enhanced comparability between different fields of interest

Over the next year, the SWG will be involved with writing a high-impact paper on next steps in the new, community-led, scenario process to support climate change research, set against broader sustainable development goals. Following an SWG discussion session, a subgroup will be formed to guide and facilitate implementation of SSP-based scenarios by as many IAMC member teams  as possible.

Evaluation and Diagnostics Working Group

The Scientific Working Group on Evaluation and Diagnostics, led by Jae Edmonds (PNNL), Elmar Kriegler (PIK) and John Weyant (Stanford), exists to foster activities that help describe, document and understand the performance of integrated assessment models so as to improve model performance and reliability and to make recommendations in the areas of priorities for community activities and standards of best practice. Updates on recent activities of the SWG on Evaluation ad Diagnostics can be found here.

Future Events

  • The 43rd Session of the IPCC is scheduled for 11-13April 2016 in Nairobi, Kenya. Main issues include plans for the 6th assessment cycle of the IPCC, comprising reports of the three Working Groups, a Synthesis Report and Special Reports, the latter probably including a report addressing 1.5 degrees warming as requested by the UNFCCC.
  • European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2016 Vienna | Austria | 17–22 April 2016
  • University of Maryland to Jointly Host Climate Action 2016 Summit in May, Will Convene Global Leaders to Shift Conversation from Commitment to Action.
  • Advanced Clean Transportation (ACT) Expo on May 2-5, 2016 in Long Beach where transportation industry leaders will present on the key considerations and timelines for AFV fleet deployment, as well as advancements in fueling, equipment, technology, and policy that are driving the future of sustainable transportation.
  •  IEA-ETSAP, TIMES workshop from Wed-Fri May 25th – 27th, and Mon-Tues 30-31th May the regular ETSAP workshop. Cork.
  • The 35th edition of theInternational Energy Workshop (IEW) will be hosted by the University College Cork in Cork, Ireland on June 1–3, 2016.
  • The Energy Systems Conference: 21st Century Challenges, which will take place in London on 14-15 June 2016
  • The 3rdOffshore Energy and Storage Symposium,OSES 2016, organized by the universities of Malta, Nottingham, Edinburgh, Leeds, and Windsor, will be held in Malta on 13 – 15th July 2016.
  • The 3rd International Congress on Water, Waste and Energy Management and the 2nd International Conference on Green Chemistry and Sustainable Engineering will be held in Rome, Italy, on 18 – 22 July 2016.
  • The Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies (GHGT) conference will be held in Lausanne, Switzerland, on November 14 – 18  2016.

Contact

If you have any feedback or suggestions for the next newsletter, please send it toMariesse.vanSluisveld@pbl.nlor Matteo.Muratori@pnnl.gov.