Call for Abstracts, Tenth Annual Meeting of the IAMC

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The deadline for submission of oral and poster presentation abstracts was July, 22 and submissions have been closed.

Call for Abstracts for the Tenth Annual Meeting of the IAMC to be held from December 5-7, 2017, in Recife, Brazil.

The IAMC is now soliciting abstracts for oral and poster presentations on selected topics. Poster abstracts on topics different from the selection will also be considered.

Extended abstracts (about 600 up to a maximum of 1000 words and 1-3 figures) in pdf version and a short summary of ca. 100 words should be submitted online at the dedicated page for the 10th IAMC meeting at IAMC website.

The purpose of the IAMC Annual Meeting is to (1) present and discuss the state of the art in integrated assessment modeling, (2) review the status of ongoing community activities including both multi-model studies and the activities of the IAMC Scientific Working Groups, (3) facilitate interaction with collaborating communities, and (4) evaluate and revisit the priorities of the integrated assessment community.

As with past meetings, a major part of this year’s meeting will be devoted to parallel sessions on cutting edge areas of integrated assessment model development and research. And, as with last year’s meeting, we will hold a poster session which is open to poster presentations covering any topic of interest (and which will be grouped thematically at the meeting). Each parallel session will also have an open group discussion of key priorities in these areas of research. It is expected that each session will include six to eight short presentations, potentially including several invited presentations. The poster session has been a highlight of several annual meetings now. It provides a great opportunity to have more in-depth conversations about new work.

The selected topics are listed below. The meeting’s organizing committee reserves the right to assign topics to parallel sessions and the poster session depending on the number and quality of submitted abstracts.

Extended abstracts:

The Abstracts may include 600-1000 words and 1-3 Figures as well as a summary with a maximum of 100 words. Please ensure that the methodological approach and results of the study are sufficiently well described in the extended abstract to allow for a comprehensive review of the submitted work. Multiple submissions are allowed.

Selected topics:

  1. From climate policy to broader sustainable development analysis: New IAM analyses on the climate policy – sustainable development nexus and sustainable development strategies
  2. Land-based mitigation. Analysis of effectiveness and possible consequences for sustainable development.
  3. Analysis of climate change, climate impacts and adaptation in IAM applications
  4. Global deep transformation pathways
  5. National and regional transformation pathways, including INDCs and mid-century mitigation strategies
  6. Uncertainty and the use of IAM projections
  7. Climate policy and finance (including energy markets).
  8. Demand for different resources and the role of behavioral change.

 

Detailed descriptions

(1) From climate policy to broader sustainable development analysis: New IAM analyses on the climate policy – sustainable development nexus and sustainable development strategies

With the adoption of new sustainable development goals (SDGs) in 2015 and a renewed discussion of planetary boundaries, there is increasing interest in the analysis of long-term sustainable development strategies and/or embedding climate change analysis in a broader sustainable development context. IAMs can be key tools for such analyses. This session invites contributions on recent work on the climate change – sustainable development nexus, the interaction between climate impacts and sustainable development, and the use of IAMs to evaluate sustainable development strategies.

(2) Land-based mitigation. Analysis of effectiveness and possible consequences for sustainable development.

Analysis of stringent climate targets so-far has shown that there could be an important role for land-based mitigation options such as bio-energy, reforestation, and afforestation. As these options require land there could be important trade-offs (directly or indirectly) with other goals such as production of food and biodiversity protection. Moreover, the effectiveness of land-based mitigation options is often uncertain given the possible implications for the carbon cycle, non-CO2 emissions and biophysical impacts (e.g. changes in the planet’s albedo). On the other hand, other studies have emphasized synergies with other goals (including prevention of land degradation and biodiversity). This session invites contributions that explore these issues in further detail.

(3) Analysis of climate change, climate impacts and adaptation in IAM applications

Changes in the Earth’s climate have implications for global and regional energy systems, agriculture, land use, water, and health. Human activities, in turn, influence climate through changes in emissions and land cover. This session invites contributions on recent work exploring interactions between human and Earth systems using Integrated Assessment Models. We encourage both presentations exploring the effect of climate change on human systems (e.g., energy, water, land), including the effect of extreme events and the role of adaptation to reduce climate change impacts, and presentations exploring the effect of human systems on climate change. Presentations on the climate impacts and adaptation needs in a 1.5oC or 2oC warmer world are welcome. Presentations on the economic impacts of climate change, including analysis of the social cost of carbon, will also be considered under this topic.

(4) Global deep transformation pathways

The Paris Agreement has set the ambitious goal of holding global mean temperature increase to well below 2oC since preindustrial times, and pursuing efforts to limit it to 1.5oC. This has reinforced the debate about the assumptions and characteristics of deep transformation pathways towards the 1.5oC and 2oC targets. We encourage presentations discussing the latest insights on the various factors – sectoral, technological, behavioral or political – that need to fall in place to enable deep transformation of the energy and land use system on the global scale. We also invite presentations on modelling work exploring global scenarios of how the Paris agreement could achieve its long-term ambition. Finally, we also invite contributions that look into the issues of implementation of deep mitigation strategies, including accounting for current barriers and revealed preferences (thus building upon collaboration of IAM analysis and social-science studies).

(5) National and regional transformation pathways, including INDCs and mid-century mitigation strategies

National and regional climate action will provide the basis for mitigating climate change under the Paris Agreement which builds on nationally determined contributions (NDCs) to achieve its long term climate goals. This puts national and regional transformation pathways as they would emerge under intended NDCs or national policies as well as longer term emissions development strategies into the focus of interest. We encourage presentations of modelling work 1) analyzing national / regional transformation pathways under planned or aspirational national climate action or, 2) exploring options for deep transformation on a national / regional level until 2050 or beyond.

(6) Uncertainty and the use of IAM projections

Projections from IAMs are useful because they provide insights about the future that can, ultimately, inform decisions. Yet, there are important uncertainties that complicate the use of interpretation of IAM projections. This session invites presentations exploring the treatment of uncertainty in IAM projections and how this uncertainty can be understood, communicated, and used to enhance understanding and decisions. Possible topics include: the tradeoff between process detail and transparency in IAMs; the use of evaluation and diagnostic methods to communicate uncertainty; treatment of uncertainty from storyline-based scenario sets such as the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs); examples of stochastic modeling in climate change policy analysis; the meaning and robustness of quantitative estimates of uncertainty; and insights about uncertainty from model intercomparison studies.

(7) Climate policy and finance (including energy markets).

The implementation of climate policy will require significant investments to be made. As a result, there is strong link between climate policy and financial markets. But there other links as well, as climate policy will influence the performance of different industries, including fossil fuel industries. Several financial analysts have argued for full transparency of climate-policy related risks for companies as a mean to both strengthen awareness of companies about their environmental impact and to reduce financial risks. In this session, we invite presentations and posters that provide analysis of financial and energy market consequences of climate policy.

(8) Demand for different resources and the role of behavioral change.

Increasing demand of energy and other resources (such as food and water) play a key role in sustainability problems. Yet, in most IAMs there is a much less extensive representation of demand-side dynamics and technologies than those on the supply-side. Clearly, on the demand-side also behavior plays a key role. In the last few years, several IAM teams have started to explore how to better represent demand-side dynamics, the scope for efficiency improvement and behavior in their models. In this session, we invite presentations of advanced modelling of these issues.