Call for Abstracts, Ninth Annual Meeting of the IAMC

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Call for Abstracts for the Ninth Annual Meeting of the IAMC to be held from December 5‐7, 2016, in Beijing, China.

The purpose of the IAMC Annual Meeting is to

  1. Present and discuss the state of the art in integrated assessment modeling
  2. Review the status of ongoing community activities including both multi-model studies and the activities of the IAMC Scientific Working Groups
  3. Facilitate interaction with collaborating communities
  4. Evaluate and revisit the priorities of the integrated assessment community.

As with past meetings, a major part of this year’s meeting will be devoted to parallel sessions on cutting edge areas of integrated assessment model development and research. And, as with last year’s meeting, we will hold a poster session which is open to poster presentations covering any topic of interest (and which will be grouped thematically at the meeting). This year the parallel sessions will include a session on regional low carbon transformation pathways. Integrated assessment modelers and other researchers working on national and regional pathways are explicitly encouraged to submit contributions on this topic.

The deadline to submit an abstract is July 31st, 2016.

The IAMC is now soliciting abstracts for oral and poster presentations on five selected topics. Poster abstracts on topics different from those five indicated will also be considered.

The selected topics are listed below. The meeting’s organizing committee reserves the right to assign topics to parallel sessions and the poster session depending on the number and quality of submitted abstracts.

Selected topics:

(1) Analysis of climate change, climate impacts and adaptation in IAM applications
Changes in the Earth’s climate have implications for global and regional energy systems, agriculture, land use, water, and health. Human activities, in turn, influence climate through changes in emissions and land cover. This session invites contributions on recent work exploring interactions between human and Earth systems using Integrated Assessment Models. We encourage both presentations exploring the effect of climate change on human systems (e.g., energy, water, land), including the effect of extreme events and the role of adaptation to reduce climate change impacts, and presentations exploring the effect of human systems on climate change. Presentations on the climate impacts and adaptation needs in a 1.5oC or 2oC warmer world are welcome. Presentations on the economic impacts of climate change, including analysis of the social cost of carbon, will also be considered under this topic.

(2) Uncertainty and the use of IAM projections
Projections from IAMs are useful because they provide insights about the future that can, ultimately, inform decisions. Yet, it is not possible to be certain about any of these insights, or any quantitative projections from IAMs, because IAMs are simplified models of highly complex phenomenon and because we cannot know today how key factors that drive IAM projections, relating to model inputs and parameters such as population, economic growth, social and institutional structures and substitution elasticities, will evolve over time. This uncertainty complicates the use of interpretation of IAM projections. This session invites presentations exploring the treatment of uncertainty in IAM projections and how this uncertainty can be understood, communicated, and used to enhance understanding and decisions.
Possible topics include: the tradeoff between process detail and transparency in IAMs; the use of evaluation and diagnostic methods to communicate uncertainty; treatment of uncertainty from storyline‐based scenario sets such as the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs); examples of stochastic modeling in climate change policy analysis; the meaning and robustness of quantitative estimates of uncertainty; and insights about uncertainty from model intercomparison studies.

(3) From climate policy to broader sustainable development analysis: New IAM analyses on the climate policy – sustainable development nexus and sustainable development strategies
With the adoption of new sustainable development goals (SDGs) in 2015 and a renewed discussion of planetary boundaries, there is increasing interest in the analysis of long‐term sustainable development strategies and/or embedding climate change analysis in a broader sustainable development context. IAMs can be key tools for such analyses. This session invites contributions on recent work on the climate change – sustainable development nexus, the interaction between climate impacts and sustainable development, and the use of IAMs to evaluate sustainable development strategies.

(4) Global deep transformation pathways
The Paris Agreement has set the ambitious goal of holding global mean temperature increase to well below 2oC since preindustrial times, and pursuing efforts to limit it to 1.5oC. This has reinforced the debate about the assumptions and characteristics of deep transformation pathways towards the 1.5oC and 2oC targets. We encourage presentations discussing the latest insights on the various factors ‐ sectoral, technological, behavioral or political ‐ that need to fall in place to enable deep transformation of the energy and land use system on the global scale. We also invite presentations on modelling work exploring global scenarios of how the Paris agreement could achieve its long term ambition.

(5) National and regional transformation pathways, including INDCs and mid‐century mitigation strategies
National and regional climate action will provide the basis for mitigating climate change under the Paris Agreement which builds on nationally determined contributions (NDCs) to achieve its long term climate goals. This puts national and regional transformation pathways as they would emerge under intended NDCs or national policies as well as longer term emissions development strategies into the focus of interest. We encourage presentations of modelling work

  • analyzing national / regional transformation pathways under planned or aspirational national climate action or
  • exploring options for deep transformation on a national / regional level until 2050 or beyond.

The parallel sessions will include presentations on cutting edge research activities from members of the community followed by open group discussion of key priorities in these areas of research. It is expected that each session will include six to eight short presentations, potentially including several invited presentations.

The poster session was a highlight of last year’s annual meeting. As with last year’s session, it will be a great opportunity to have more in‐depth conversations about new work. It will be a formal part of the meeting, held at an advantageous time and accompanied by food and other refreshments.

Extended abstracts (about 600 up to a maximum of 1000 words and 1‐3 figures) in pdf version and a short summary of ca. 100 words should be submitted online at the IAMC website by July 30, 2016.

Please ensure that the methodological approach and results of the study are sufficiently well described in the extended abstract to allow for a comprehensive review of the submitted work. Multiple submissions are allowed.